‘WINNER’ IS DAQMAN SCORER AT 7-1: Daqman’s a winner and so was his big winner yesterday when a selection called Winner Massagot won easily at 7-1. It looked plain sailing for seven successful bets on the day until his banker nap slipped up when cruising to victory, spoiling two doubles and a treble. It left him with four winners:
WON 7-1 Winner Massagot
WON 9-4 Tenor Nivernais
WON 1-1 Welsh Shadow
WON 8-13 Thomas Brown
DAQMAN ALSO 7-1 OVER PRICEWISE: After super prices for winning naps at 2-1, 4-5, 11-4 and 11-10, Daqman had gone for a short one to make it five out of six when the sauntering banker, Kilcrea Vale, fell. That leaves the lays as his current best sequence, though he’s not doing so badly against Pricewise: they clash today in the 2.05 and 3.15 Ascot; 2.25 and 3.35 Haydock:
Naps: 113211011101F
Bankers: 211F
Lays: 1111111111
Bull’s-eye bets: 000210
Daqman 7, Pricewise 1
SYMONDS SECRET MIDNIGHT PLOT AT ASCOT
1.30 Ascot A scrappy start to the meeting with a brace of novice events, which I won’t go into, but this is an interesting race, which trainer Tom Symonds recently won back to back (2012-13) and it’s clear from the form book that this is Midnight Belle’s target, switched from chasing.
Her prep run, when she had absolutely no chance, rated 33lb behind the winner, served its purpose, to bring her on for this: 9.2 on BETDAQ early mouse, with improving novice Smart Talk the danger but giving weight to the experienced Symonds mare.
2.05 Ascot I made out a Christmas list, adding other obvious contenders, for the usual six-weeks’ spree of ‘buying money’ from bankers, which seem sure to win barring a mistake or a slip. In a short-odds series, mistakes are costly because taking out chunks of profit, like Kilcrea Vale yesterday.
Vautour was not in my short-shots horses-to-follow list, because they don’t know which way to go with him.
Willie Mullins said in March, after Vautour won the Golden Miller at the Cheltenham Festival: ‘We’ll definitely go down the Gold Cup route.’ But the yard also has Don Poli and last year’s runner-up, Djakadam, near the front of the Gold market.
However, if they switch to the Champion Chase for Vautour, he is in a headlong clash with another stablemate, Un De Sceaux, whose high standing will be confirmed or denied by the Tingle Creek Chase.
It all makes Cheltenham a wait-and-see pudding in this season of a wealth of young chasers and an embarrassment of riches for Mullins.
Willie will not be drawn to future planning in his trade-paper article today, saying of this afternoon’s race ‘we’ll take it from there,’ and Sam Twiston-Davies on his nearest rival, Ptit Zig, talks only of closing the gap. I’ll put Vautour in my Daq Multiples but give the bankers a rest for a while.
2.40 Ascot Hurdle This race has had its own wealth of riches, with recent winners Silviniaco Conti, Annie Power and Faugheen, but their trainers – English and Irish champions, Paul Nicholls and Willie Mullins – have swerved the race this year.
And the high ratings, between 155 and 161, that those super youngsters took into this race, are carried today by old boys Court Minstrel, seeking a hat-trick today, and the former Champion Hurdler, Rock On Ruby.
Both have to be feared but there’s an improver in the race, the sole youngster off 155, six-year-old Brother Tedd, who was vying for favouritism with ‘Ruby’ this morning.
The pair are locked together on around 2.65 each, so you pays your money and you takes your choice. I would always take the improver, so Brother Tedd.
EXPECT PURE THEATRE FROM ‘SOME JUMPER’
3.15 Ascot It was the obvious thing to do to aim last month’s Listed Ascot CD winner Cold March at this one-grade-lower race but that works as a double imposition in that he’s been saddled with a 10lb ratings rise, but has 17lb more in the handicap in actual weight to be carried because of the drop in class. And this is totally different ground.
There’s a gulf of 16lb from Cold March down to Crown Theatre, a soft-heavy winner described by one of his winning jockeys as ‘some jumper!’ Barry Geraghty takes over on the Irish raider, who looks a nap bet at 6.8 on BETDAQ this morning.
Fago is a glass horse who has run only four times since 2013 and needs an easier track; Workbench and Arkaim have shown their improvement on top of the ground.
Dresden is the enigma. Racing Post racereaders said of his Aintree win a fortnight ago that further improvement would be needed to show that it was no fluke. But the handicapper has taken no chances: he’s hit him with a 10lb rise.
Turn Over Sivola’s stable is in hot form but he was well behind Workbench and Dunraven Storm at Cheltenham last month and a strike rate of 1-15 over fences is hardly encouraging. The handicapper says he’s improved only 5lb since his steeplechase career started two years ago.
ALCALA FOR ANOTHER BIG NICHOLLS HURDLE
1.15 Haydock Gunner Fifteen, a novice, a glass horse, one win in two years, changed stables, hooded first time.. Should he really be so short this morning?
Well, Hunters Hoof gives him lumps of weight and has no form on the soft and Stilletto, a stuffy horse, unlikely to be fully fit, is also hooded first run back.
But I’d still rather be on Rock The Kasbah at the offers: 5.8 this mud-lover, who appeared to improve at Chepstow and will be in his element this afternoon.
2.25 Haydock (Fixed Brush Hurdle) This race has recently been farmed by David Pipe (Low Key and Batavir) and Nick Williams (Tea For Two) – it’s Pipe 3, Williams 2 since 2009 – but Pipe had gone 28 losers, including four hot favourites, until winning a three-horse race on Tuesday, and Williams has just broken a bridesmaid sequence of six seconds from eight starters.
Both stables may just now be bouncing back but Lanzarote winner Tea For Two hasn’t shown much since that day in January (behind Our Kaempfer at Chepstow last month) and Batavir hasn’t scored since last December.
Our Kaempfer has striven manfully in Graded races because of a 15lb rise and finally returned to handicaps, running well but not well enough, losing faviourite at Aintree.
Shantou Bob also stepped up to Graded races and had a wind op before and after his effort in the Albert Bartlett at Cheltenham (did better than Tea For Two and Definitly Red that day). He’s had racecourse gallops to get ready for this and is preferred to the unbeaten-at-Haydock Closing Ceremony, who might just have a few pounds too much weight.
But there’s a new broom sweeping the youngsters into power in this Fixed Brush race: five-year-olds have won four years in the last five, and that age group has Graded-winner Baradari, runaway Exeter scorer Yala Enki and Alcala for Paul Nicholls, who won the big Saturday hurdle last week with Old Guard.
Alcala gets very good reports from the yard and has a featherwight here. I took 9.0 Shantou Bob and 10.0 Alcala on BETDAQ.
CONTI TO KEEP HIS HAYDOCK CHASE CROWN
3.00 Haydock (Lancashire Chase) Star-studded despite the small field, with four horses in a ratings huddle, separated by 5lb, trying to topple the clear form horse, Silviniaco Conti.
Though there are just five runners, you’re looking at winners of the Byrne Group Plate, the Ryanair (two of them), the Charlie Hall, the Mildmay (two), the King George (one of them has won it twice), and the Aintree Bowl, to name but a few, as they say.
Additionally, Silviniaco Conti has won this Lancashire Chase twice and Cue Card has taken it once, with Dynaste placed twice without scoring.
Paul Nicholls, who won it three times with Kauto Star, has form in the race since 2006 of 11U101131, with the final 131 of the last three seasons all down to Silviniaco. I think it will be 1311.
3.35 Haydock Toby Lerone, who prepped for this by winning a novice, ran a massive race on today’s course on heavy ground last season, and must go well off his low mark.
The same applies to Royal Palladium after his good run back at Wincanton, and the Pipe novice, Vieux Lion Rouge, will have to be really something if he is to give them weight.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked at BETDAQ offers to win 30 points)
LAY 5pts GUNNER FIFTEEN and BET 6.2pts win ROCK THE KASBAH (1.15 Haydock)
BET 3.6pts win MIDNIGHT BELLE (1.30 Ascot)
BULL’S-EYE BETS (to win 50 points): 6.25pts win SHANTOU BOB and 5.5pts win ALCALA (2.25 Haydock)
BULL’S-EYE BET (win 50 point): 8.6pts win (nap) CROWN THEATRE (3.15 Ascot)
BET 6.8pts win on each ROYAL PALLADIUM and TOBY LERONE (3.35 Haydock)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 4 x 2pt win trebles and 1pt win acca Vautour (2.05 Ascot), Brother Tedd (2.40 Ascot), Silviniaco Conti (3.00 Haydock) and Crown Theatre (3.15 Ascot)
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