EARLY-MOUSE BETDAQ BACKERS BEAT THE ODDS: Steer your mouse to take the BETDAQ 3.0, headlined Daqman yesterday, and his recommendation paid off with The Mouse Doctor (WON 6-4 SP) gambled on to win by eight lengths at Musselburgh. Today’s headlines:
🔹 MIDNIGHT TUNED FOR PETER MARSH
🔹 A GREAT DAY FOR THE GOOD GUYE
🔹 6.2 GOAL STRAIGHT FROM A CORNER
🔹 IT’S DEFI-NITE! DON’T LET HIM IDLE
DAQMAN ACCOUNTS UPDATE
📈 Daqman 26, Pricewise 13 (+284.40 to -01.00) 10pt stakes at SP
📈 Bull’s-eye bets 37% (+222.90 from 9-24) staked to win 50
📈 Bulls-eye naps: no bets yet in 2020
📈 All Daily Naps 43% (+16.17 from 28-65 10pt stakes at SP
📈 Supernaps 47% (- 06.31 from 9-19) 20pt stakes at SP
MIDNIGHT TUNED FOR PETER MARSH
2.40 Haydock (Peter Marsh Chase) One horse stands out in the recent history of this race: Bristol De Mai (2017). One trainer has farmed it well: Sue Smith (two wins in the last four seasons).
Both stables are back today with runners weighted where the winner usually comes from: Nigel Twiston-Davies, who saddled Bristol de Mai, now sends out Flying Angel; Sue Smith relies on a CD winner, Vintage Clouds.
Flying Angel, fifth in the Ultimata at Cheltenham, has won on the soft at Ascot, but that was the grey’s sole success since April, 2017, and he’s never won at today’s trip.
Vintage Clouds fell behind Bristol De Mai in 2017, won on good ground over the CD here in 2018, and was only third, staying on, when returning to trip and track in the Tommy Whittle here in December. His Haydock record over fences is 23213, still standing.
Champers On Ice bounced back to his form of 2015-16 when winning back to back in November but all that success, then and now, was over hurdles; and, at the age of 10, his chase rating looks over the top, done up deliberately to match his hurdles mark.
Red Indian has won three times when fresh – on soft and heavy (2) – and was sixth in the Coral Cup of 2018, but has never won outside novice class, so this would be a surprise scalp.
Coral Welsh Grand National fourth Prime Venture is still a maiden over fences, one-paced, and risky after such a recent exertion; so it seems that the race belongs to one of the first four in the betting.
Acting Lass completed a hat-trick at this time last year and came back to form last month, narrowly beaten, giving weight to the winner, in the Ascot Silver Cup (3m on heavy), leading twice at the business end but putting today’s trip in doubt.
Older horses have done well in this but none with Definitly Red’s weight, albeit this is his first handicap since March, 2017.
Geronimo edged up more than a stone last year, 2-2, still standing. His only faulty round came in the Scottish Grand National; other than that, he’s never been out of the frame.
Midnight Tune has won only small-field novice chases but was a Grade-2 hurdles winner, loves the mud and stays longer than the VAT man. Perfect opportunity to break through into the big arena. Could make all at 8.1 in THE BETDAQ orange this morning.
A GREAT DAY FOR THE GOOD GUYE
3.00 Ascot Cyrname leapt to prominence in this 2m 5f handicap chase last year, a class 2 with nearly £47,000 to the winner, and all indications are that there is another of potentially his calibre running today.
Venetia Williams, who won it with the veteran Dare Me (2016), now has a youngster plotted for this as a winner at Ascot just before Christmas.
I would not myself have been so keen to call her Espoir De Guye an ‘exciting’ chaser: the handicapper listened to what Venetia said and saw what he saw before hiking the six-year-old a full stone in the weights.
He also had the evidence of the Post racereader who said that ‘Guye’ had ‘made a mockery’ of a 9lb rise for scoring at Exeter just 15 days earlier. So should the rest go home and leave him to walk over at arøund 3-1?
Bennys King and Domaine De L’Isle have also been spanked by the handicapper: Domaine has to race 10lb higher than when winning in lower class at Newcastle, and Sam’s Adventure, the runner-up, is now weighted to turn the tables.
Happy Diva, third to Cyrname last year, is 7lb higher now. Should be thereabouts but his Autumn Gold Cup win at Cheltenham produced mixed signals, with Warthog a Graded winner since but others from the pack not so supportive of the form.
Kildisart, fourth in the JLT at the Cheltenham Festival and Graded scorer at Aintree, was beaten over further on heavy Ascot ground a month or so back and has to give weight away all round here.
Flying Angel, an Ascot CD winner in November, tried the National fences at Aintree on the last day; some take time to get over that experience.
Allysson Monterg likes the ground but his only success of note was in beating losers at the Perth meeting in the Spring, when most decent jumpers are finished for the season.
His reputation rests on matching strides with Frodon in the Cotswold Chase a year ago, but he was well beaten when making a mistake at the last.
This one is a selection along the front line at the Racing Post, which invariably means there’s a tip in the office for it, and that also means the horse will shorten up. So back and lay, if you must; but you’ve nothing solid behind you; just the 200 experts.
6.2 GOAL STRAIGHT FROM A CORNER
3.15 Haydock (The New One Champion Hurdle Trial) Is the BETDAQ Sportsbook betting for the Champion Hurdle – 8 Pentland Hills, 21 Darasso, 34 Cornerstone Lad, 50 Ballyandy – the order in for today’s trial?
BETDAQ exchange punters beg to differ, making offers as I write in the order of 2.84 Pentland Hills, 3.25 Darasso, 4.4 Ballyandy and 6.2 Cornerstone Lad for this afternoon.
Triumph Hurdle winner Pentland Hills has won all his races on good to soft at worst; the handicapper insists that Darasso’s back-to-back wins in the Spring were worth only a few pounds and he hasn’t been seen for 306 days.
Ballyandy was one-paced, third, in the Christmas Hurdle, as you’d expect of one who races over further these days.
Cornerstone Lad is up 27lb in the ratings since he won on heavy over today’s CD 13 months back, having scored four times, including defeat of Buveur d’Air in the Fighting Fifth on the last day.
Some of the 200 experts are saying that win was a fluke as he beat a below-par former champion from the front. I’ll bet on another enterprising ride at the 6.2.
IT’S DEFI-NITE! DON’T LET HIM IDLE
3.35 Ascot (Clarence House Chase) There was a neck between them in the Tingle Creek, with Defi Du Seuil holding out against Un De Sceaux, five years his senior and four years on from his own victory in the race..
A dual 2m 4f Grade-1 winner, Defi is perfectly placed to slog the juice out of the two-milers while conditions are so bad, though whether he’ll get them at Cheltenham in March is a big question-mark.
Defi is 4.8 in the BETDAQ ante-post orange for the Champion Chase, with Un de Sceaux 18.5, Janika and Capeland 52.0.
That sums up where I stand today, glad to see Un De Sceaux bidding for a fourth win in the race to shore up early offers of 2.0 the favourite to get my supernaps back on track.
There’s been no winner of the Clarence House older than 10 since it became a conditions race in 2007, and the Tingle Creek neck was only there because Defi Du Seuil idled at the finish. So it’s down to you today, Mr Geraghty.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.15 Ascot (win 10)
BET 5pts win NEARLY PERFECT
2.25 Ascot (win 10)
BET 2.75pts win BOLD PLAN
2.40 Haydock (win-50, win 10)
BET 7pts win MIDNIGHT TUNE
BET 1.25pts win VINTAGE CLOUDS
3.00 Ascot (win 30)
BET 10pts win ESPOIR DE GUYE
3.15 Haydock (win 30)
BET 6pts win CORNERSTONE LAD
3.35 Ascot (supernap)
BET 20pts win DEFI DU SEUIL
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