ENGLISH AND IRISH RAIDERS CAN TRUMP THE BREEDERS CUP CARDS: The Flat couldn’t have a better finale than tonight’s Breeders Cup Turf clash of three generations of English and Irish aces which make it a European championship in America. And Daqman bets on more trump cards for the Keeneland raiders, while at home he has..
November Handicaps double: Naas and Doncaster bull’s-eye bets at BETDAQ 15.0 and 18.0 in last-chance saloon for a handicap strike.
Cracking Silver Trophy: He lines up two 20.0 outsiders for a cracking mini-Cup contest at Wincanton as the Jumps game gathers pace.
Today’s headlines
🔹 JUKEBOX CAN PLAY THE SAME TUNE
🔹 BIG SHOUT FOR BELLO AT AINTREE
🔹 COBRA TO STRIKE OFF LOW MARK
🔹 OLEKSANDRA A FIRM FAVOURITE
🔹 RUSHING HOME TO BACK BROWN
🔹 GROUNDS FOR KAMEKO BANKER
🔹 GO MIGHTY MOGUL AND BOUDOT!
JUKEBOX CAN PLAY THE SAME TUNE
⭕ 2.00 Naas (November Handicap) STATS: DRAW: Seven winners out of the last nine were drawn from 1 to 8, six of them out of the low five stalls. AGE: 5yo five, 7yo two. WEIGHT: Six below 9st. TRAINERS: Dermot Weld 2. FAVOURITES 1-9.
Last year’s winner for Gavin Cromwell, Jukebox Jive goes for a repeat out of stall 9. He’s 7lb higher in the ratings, but the quality of the race is lower.
He wears cheekpieces first time on just his second start in 2020, only his fourth since winning last year’s race. I took 15.0 BETDAQ offers.
The two three-year-olds look high in the weights: there’s nothing on form or pedigree to commend Camorra at the trip, but Ger Lyons gelding is low drawn in 2.
Haparanda’s well-being after winning the October Handicap at Leopardstown on the soft (No Say Ever fourth) prompted Dermot Weld to keep her in training for today but her mark is up 10lb and she is drawn out in 17.
Newmarket Cesarewitch third Takerengo and Future Proof – out of stalls 5 and 8 – who were one-two at Leopardstown (1m 4f) on heavy a year or so back.
Politicise goes for a hat-trick after scoring over hurdles and at Gowran Park on the Flat. Shame that Got Trumped, who was weighted to avenge the Gowran defeat, is only third reserve.
⭕ 3.15 Doncaster (November Handicap) STATS: DRAW: 1-8 no score in nine years; 9-14 five wins. AGE: 4yo four; 5yo two. WEIGHT: 8st 10lb to 8st 13lb 5-9. TRAINERS: John Gosden 2. FAVOURITES: 1-9.
Old Borough Cup and St Simon Stakes winner on soft-heavy, Euchen Glen drops back to a handicap here after a Group-3 double and will be hard to beat.
Kingbrook is improving at the right time for this: stepped up to score at today’s trip at Newmarket on the soft and the third horse home, Kipps, stayed on to be fourth in the St Simon.
Sam Cooke was favourite four times in a row up to May last year and won two on turf but there was a long break in the middle and another one at the end of this sequence. Hard to know what to expect.
The big horse, Eagle Court, bred for long distances, has been a surprise packet at 10 furlongs this autumn and the step up to 1m 4f today looks ideal for the hat-trick bid. Huge at BETDAQ offers of 18.0.
BIG SHOUT FOR BELLO AT AINTREE
⭕ 2.40 Aintree All seven races here today feature a runner for Dan Skelton, whose Allmankind attacked the Warwick fences in cruise control yesterday and had me hurriedly scribbling his name into the Fortune Cookies notebook.
The stable is keen on Ch’tibello (BETDAQ 3.6), who has put in two good rounds over today’s course and distance, including third to Supersundae and Buveur d’Air in the 2019 Aintree Hurdle.
Has had wind surgery since his third in the Grade-2 Kingwell Hurdle at Kempton in February, and today’s race is down the ranks in class 2.
Summerville Boy, who tailed off behind him in that Aintree Hurdle, is much more likely to show his form at the Autumn Gold Cup meeting at Cheltenham in two weeks’ time. Ditto Thomas Darby.
Nicky Henderson has gradually hit form and is currently 3-5. He’s always had Call Me Lord down as a stayer but he’s easy to back this morning, has to give 6lb to Ch’tibello and may need more rain.
⭕ 3.00 Wincanton (Elite Hurdle) Sceau Royal has had more wind ops since taking the Welsh Champion Hurdle three weeks back and has to contend with the might of the local champion, Paul Nicholls, who runs both Diego Du Charmil and the four-year-old Solo.
I probably won’t have a bet but I’ll have my nose to the screen watching Solo solo. He’s a big, strong beast whom I have in mind for chasing. I want to see him run and see what Paul says about him, so I hope the ITV Racing team are on the ball.
COBRA TO STRIKE OFF LOW MARK
⭕ 3.35 Wincanton (Badger Beers Silver Trophy) Bad weather which foiled Present Man’s bid for a hat-trick in this race last year, has stayed away from Wincanton today and, after showing off his superb jumping at Chepstow last month, he is perfectly presented to his favourite fences today with every chance of the treble one year on.
But again Paul Nicholls, who has won the trophy five times in the decade, makes it difficult for the punter by also running Danny Whizzbang on his way to the Ladbrokes Trophy and My Way, sneaking in at the other end of the handicap.
And again there is a ‘hidden horse’ trained by Dan Skelton, Cobra De Mai, who has dropped 12lb since he ran in this last year, and is blinkered first time after a poor run back.
El Presente also likes it firmish, and is also on a hat-trick, though now creeping high up the handicap. Same can be said of going and weight about Potterman.
Christian Williams says he put the progressive four-year-old Kitty’s Light in, expecting the race to cut up because of the drying surface. Instead, we have a mini-Cup race of top-of-the-ground lovers.
Colin Tizzard’s string is generally out of form but Sizing Midnight has been paying for their keep and, lucky to get his summer-jumping ground, has an obvious chance, 12lb better for around four lengths with Kitty’s Light.
Sizing At Midnight and Cobra De Mai were both around 20.0 big value on the BETDAQ Betting Exchange morning.
OLEKSANDRA A FIRM FAVOURITE
🇺🇸⭕ 5.39 Keeneland (Breeders Cup Turf Sprint) Leinster has landed back-to-back wins over the Keeneland CD in Grade 2, and Big Runnuer stepped up to that grade in scoring at Santa Anita the last day .
Got Stormy’s Grade-1 form (3122122) is all at a mile (including second in the Breeders Cup Mile last November) but he dropped back to today’s CD the last day two grades lower and beat Into Mystic a nose.
Oleksandra (BETDAQ 9.0) stayed on strongly to beat Kanthaka at Belmont (Grade 1, firm). Kanthaka’s later defeat by Imprimis was on soft ground so doesn’t detract from that form.
Glass Slippers has won on every kind of ground, but seems to prefer cut. Beaten only a neck going for an Abbaye double at the Arc meeting. Trainer Kevin Ryan (1-16) could be in better form.
RUSHING HOME TO BACK BROWN
🇺🇸⭕ 6.57 Keeneland (Breeders Cup Filly And Mare Turf) Chad Brown sends out five runners, refusing to release his hold on this race (four wins in eight years).
There’s simply been no other American barn with the quality to win this filly-and-mare prize of threequarters of a million dollars, so much so that every race he hasn’t won in the eight years has gone to English or Irish raiders.
Brown’s best returns in each race since 2012 produce figures of 13112413 and none of the stables who have beaten him are represented tonight.
His six-year-old Sistercharlie was the winner in 2018 and third last year, but the market says that Rushing Fall is the one, going for a firm-ground four-timer, after scoring at Belmont, here at Keeneland and at Saratoga.
The Saratoga victory was at the expense of Mean Mary, who was receiving 4lb, with Sistercharlie third.
Rushing Fall won the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf in 2017 at Del Mar, beating Aidan O’Brien’s September into third. BETDAQ 4.0 for openers.
O’Brien has Peaceful representing Ballydoyle tonight, with the ground in her favour: she won the Irish 1,000 Guineas (on firm). BETDAQ 6.5 this morning.
Jessica Harrington’s Cayenne Pepper was beaten in the summer by Magical (Pretty Polly) and Tarnawa (Give Thanks Stakes), who both go for the main event tonight, the Breeders Cup Turf.
Terebellum (Gosden-Dettori) could be the surprise packet. Her two runs on decent ground this year came when winning a Group 2 first time out and being pipped a head by Circus Maximus in the Queen Anne and Royal Ascot.
GROUNDS FOR KAMEKO BANKER
🇺🇸⭕ 8.15 Keeneland (Breeders Cup Turf Mile) Circus Maximus was fourth in this on firm ground last year and has always struck me as a nearly horse. Lope Y Fernandez not much better, though his form on a sound surface this year is 323, including third in the Irish 2,000 Guineas.
I much prefer the two Guineas winners, Siskin, however disappointing since he beat Lope Y Fernandez on firm in that first Classic to complete a five-timer.
Kameko produced similar form: Guineas winner at Newmarket on firm, then disappointing until he returned to form at Newmarket in September on top of the ground in champion style.
GO MIGHTY MOGUL AND BOUDOT
🇺🇸⭕ 9.33 Keeneland (Breeders Cup Turf) A fantastic finale (we’ve nothing in the Classic), which Arc winners Found and Enable have won in the last five years.
The Americans bill this meeting as a world championship. This race is a European championship, with the three generations of Magical under Ryan Moore (aged 5), Tarnawa for Colin Keane and Lord North for Frankie Dettori (both 4) plus Pierre-Charles Boudot on Mogul (3) in his Classic year.
Strictly, Lord North (123) is top of the ratings over Magical (121) and Tarnawa (117) but Mogul, who will love the ground, has 119 and enough of a concession to take him to the top.
Boudot is my 2020 champion after riding 206 winners this year and, if anything will make the truncated season end on a high note, it would be to see an Irish three-year-old on top of the world.
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.00 Naas (win 50, win 10)
BULL’S-EYE BET: 3.5pts win JUKEBOX JIVE
BET 1.5pts win HAPARANDA
2.40 Aintree (win 10)
BET 3.75pts win CH’TIBELLO
3.15 Doncaster (win 50, win 10)
BULL’S-EYE BET: 2.75pts win EAGLE COURT
BET 2.25pts win KINGBROOK
3.35 Wincanton (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET: 2.5pts win COBRA DE MAI
BULL’S-EYE BET: 2.5pts win SIZING AT MIDNIGHT
5.39 Keeneland (win 20)
BET 2.5pts win OLEKSANDRA
6.57 Keeneland (win 20 each)
BET 6pts win RUSHING FALL
BET 3.5pts win PEACEFUL
8.15 Keeneland
BET 20pts win KAMEKO, nap (Fortune Cookie)
9.33 Keeneland
BET 20pts win TARNAWA (Fortune Cookie)
BET 5.5pts win MOGUL (stakes saver)
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