FRANTASTIC FRANKIE LANDS SIXTH NAP: Frankie Dettori is back on Daqman’s Christmas-card list after landing a Frantastic 5-2 nap for our man’s six in a row (9 out of 12) yesterday. He lines up a Dettori double today but fancies the Irish in the Ebor, with David Egan on the best outsider at 23.0 on the BETDAQ exchange. Nap number seven runs at the Curragh.
SIX CONSECUTIVE WINNING NAPS
WON 5-2 FRANTASTIC (Friday nap)
WON 7-4 ALPINISTA (Thursday, nap)
WON 2-5 BAAEED (Wednesday, supernap)
WON 10-11 BRAZEN DIAMOND (Tuesday, nap)
WON 2-9 REMEMBERING (Monday, nap)
WON 9-10 ETERNAL PEARL (Sunday, nap)
HEADLINES ON THE FINAL DAY AT YORK
NUSRET A NIFTY IRISH TRAVELER
GAASSEE FOR EBOR CHAMPAGNE
MEDITATE TO LAND SEVEN NAPS
DETTORI HAS THE KEY TO TIPPLE
NUSRET A NIFTY IRISH TRAVELER
⭕ 2.25 York (Melrose Handicap) Charlie Appleby, Andrew Balding and William Haggas have each won this 1m 6f handicap twice in the decade (only one was favourite) and they share the front four in the market today.
The handicapper has ratcheted Appleby’s Wild Crusade up 19lb for two small-field wins out of three and the gelding is bred to do better, stepped up in trip here.
Stablemate Al Nafir is a full brother to Ghaiyyath, who won nine races (2019-20), including a Group-1 hat-trick but never tried beyond 12f.
Soulcombe (Haggas) gets 9lb and 19lb from the Appleby pair. He was an eyecatcher finishing late behind Secret State at Goodwood (Inverness third; not clear run) but he’s performed a negative ‘hat-trick’ which doesn’t help his cause from today’s outside draw: slowly away three races in a row!
This race is deep, and it’s not easy to dismiss any of them, with the field boasting 28 wins in total and you could pick half a dozen with leading chances.
I watched Nusret turn over an odds-on Ballydoyle favourite at the Curragh. By Golden Horn out of a Daylami mare, the colt absolutely cantered into contention, stretching clear. A good traveler like that would be handy in the finish of this contest.
Betdaq Betting Exchange 8.8 Al Nafir, 13.0 Nusret
GAASSEE FOR EBOR CHAMPAGNE
⭕ 3.35 York (Ebor Handicap) STATS: Only one winning favourite in the decade; only two four-year-olds; only three with a single-figure draw. Winners by stall 12, 14, 16 (twice), 18 (twice) and 21.
The stats don’t always help but at least you should get a run for your money, with 22 starters; I don’t expect another tactical race, like yesterday’s Lonsdale Cup.
It had no Stradivarius and no Trueshan. FORTUNE COOKIE Coltrane ‘won’ it but he and those scrapping it out with him had allowed Quickthorn half a furlong lead! Don’t now be fooled into following Quckthorn: remember Sovereign’s Irish Derby romp; form after 320030; never won again.
The front of the Ebor market is hot, with Ireland, striking at 50% in recent runnings (4-8) strongly represented but with some of their form close together.
Paddy Twomey’s Earl of Tyrone beat Raise You at Limerick, after Raise You had accounted for Okita Soushi (Joseph O’Brien) at the Curragh. Both races were 1m 4f or so but Earl Of Tyrone had already won at 1m 6f.
Though trained Wiliam Haggas, Gaassee is an Irish St leger entry. He was third (not clear run), also over 1m 4f and on soft, beaten by Get Shirty at Haydock but now better off at the weights.
The Frankel gelding Licence (Ger Lyons) has had just four races and is unexposed at today’s trip, dropping back into handicaps from a Group 3 and out of stall 19.
Otherwise, Gaassee (15) and Okita Soushi (22) seem to be best drawn, though Enemy (16) is interesting as an Ian Williams’ stayer who has run five of his last six races at Group level, doing well in the Spring and coming back in the Goodwood Cup; unfancied, going well when hampered three out. David Egan rides.
Stablemate Candleford (17), a disappointing favourite the last day, is seemingly preferred by Tom Marquand to Gaassee.
Alan King rued the absence of the forecast showers for Trueshan yesterday. Now he faces another rain forecast which would bring Raymond Tusk (12) into it. Second in the Race To The Ebor here last year and second again to Quickthorn at Royal Ascot.
BETDAQ 6.2 Earl Of Tyrone, 8.5 Gaassee, 11 Candleford, 23 Enemy
MEDITATE TO LAND SEVEN NAPS
⭕ 3.45 The Curragh FORTUNE COOKIE Meditate missed the Lowther Stakes to take this Group 2 en route to the Group-1 Moyglare in September.
The one she beat in the Albany, Mawj, took her Group 2 at Newmarket and was fourth in the Lowther.
A big filly but relaxed and ‘with a mature mind’ (says Ryan Moore), and she should take an unbeaten sequence to the Moyglare: 10 could win me 7 on BETDAQ this morning to give me seven naps in a row.
DETTORI HAS THE KEY TO TIPPLE
⭕ 4.10 York In five big-field sprints this week, 11 horses were placed from stalls 11 (twice), 12, 13 (twice), 14 (three times), 17, 18 and 20.
Mums Tipple (14) is a CD winner who hasn’t fulfilled serious juvenile form but came back under Frankie Dettori at Newmarket (July) just last week, and is still 15lb lighter than when he ran in a Group 3 last summer.
Commanche Falls (stall 13 today) beat Tabdeed (17) and Regional, with Good Eye (15) fourth and Tinto fifth, in the Stewards Cup.
Tabdeed, who just failed that day after having to be switched, now wears cheekpieces first time, recommended by Hollie Doyle, who keeps the faith.
Saleymm (18), placed in the Lincoln Handicap, is a strong traveler and won here at York (7f) last month. Interesting dropped down in trip, just the ride for Silvestre De Sousa.
BETDAQ value 9.6 Mums Tipple, 14.5 Tabdeed, 16 Saleymm
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.25 York (win 50)
BET 6.5pts win AL NAFIR
BET 4pts win NUSRET
3.35 York (win 50, win 15)
BET 6.5pts win GAASSEE
BET 5pts win CANDLEFORD
BET 2.25pts win ENEMY
BET 3pts win (stakes saver) EARL OF TYRONE
3.45 The Curragh (supernap)
FORTUNE COOKIE
BET 20pts win MEDITATE
4.10 York (win 50)
BET 5.75pts win MUMS TIPPLE
BET 3.75pts win TABDEED
BET 3.25pts win SALEYMM
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