DOUBLE WHAMMY AMONG FIVE WINS: Daqman had his third consecutive winning bet on Cliffs Of Dover yesterday – two of them naps – and landed his lay in the same race. He had five wins on the day, including his nap:
WON 4-1 Cape Cova
WON 100-30 Cliffs Of Dover
WON 7-4 Mirage Dancer
WON 6-5 El Bandit (nap)
WON (place lay) Cyrius Moriviere
SEVEN UP AFTER NAPS HAT-TRICK: El Bandit completed a hat-trick of naps, and was his seventh best bet up in the last nine, including two bankers, as follows:
WON 7-4 Sadlers Risk
WON 6-5 Cliffs Of Dover
WON 11-8 Almanzor (gold banker)
WON 11-8 Cliffs Of Dover
WON 2-5 Dreamfield (banker)
WON 5-2 Idliketheoption
WON 6-5 El Bandit
DAQMAN WANTS 80 WINNING BETS: Not long now before the fat lady sings and the curtain falls on the 2016 Flat but time enough for Daqman to extend his feature-race success to 80 in the season. He currently leads Pricewise of the Racing Post 78-35.
BELL’S RING OF VALUE AT 9.8 ON BETDAQ
2.20 Newbury (St Simon Stakes) Kings Fete, Western Hymn and Memorial Day make up three of the four at the front of the BETDAQ market, but all are aged five, and older horses have a bad record in the decade (three-year-olds 5, four-year-olds 4).
It’s hard to reject Kings Fete, with his trainer, Sir Michael Stoute, having yet again improved one late in the animal’s racing career.
However King’s Fete’s success, including the Geoffrey Freer on this course, has all come on a sound surface.
Memorial Day is a progressive handicapper but has to take two steps upstairs from a class-2 success that has made his mark untenable in handicaps. Western Hymn has never won at the trip.
But there are huge discrepancies in this Group 3, with Bazooka, Bellajeu and Black Night class 4 handicappers at best, up to 38lb behind Western Hymn!
It is perhaps significant that Kings Fete and Western Hymn were third and fourth on the soft at Ascot recently when beaten by a three-year-old.
The winner that day was owned by Godolphin, here represented by Frontiersman, 6.8 on BETDAQ and impressive at Newmarket last month on only his fourth start.
Fillies have won this four times in the decade and the 9.8-offered Mountain Bell showed her staying powers at Chester (good to soft) on the last day and swerved the Fillies and Mares at the Champions meeting for this.
A filly won it last year on the soft. It was Luca Cumani’s Koora, who has been ‘hiding’ in Group-1 events and could easily bounce back today. But I just prefer the three-year-olds.
2.50 Newbury There’s a trade horse here, Lord Ben Stack, 9.8 on BETDAQ this morning: likely to try to make all the running, and could well do so, dropped back in trip against a motley crew of handicappers.
ORVAR A HIDDEN HORSE AT 35.0 OFFERS
2.40 Doncaster You need several bets here, at least one high and one low drawn. Among the low numbers, 16.0 chance Bogart is now 20lb below the mark when he was a formidable force.
And Dungannon has dropped 22lb in the handicap since the days he was winning this (two years running) and 24.0 offers on BETDAQ are an insult to the old boy.
But three-year-olds won this three years running (2010-12), and I like A Momentofmadness, whose first run after the snip (gelding) was spoiled by soft ground: 13.5 in this.
A 35.0 shot, Orvar may be a hidden horse, 7lb lower now than when he opened the season in a Group 3. Has had one run back since the Spring, and is from the right yard for this sprint.
STAY COOL! HUGE FUTURE FOR 27.0 FINN
3.15 Doncaster Three-year-olds have won five years running but all came to this on the back of four runs, minimum, suggesting that To Be Wild and Uae Prince may be put in the shade by inexperience.
Huge Future (6.0 offers early mouse) has more mileage on the clock and is bred to improve for this step up to 1m 4f. He is eponymously the perfect intro to the Racing Post Trophy’s potential effect on next year’s Classics..
3.50 Doncaster (Racing Post Trophy) The race that has launched High Chaparral, Authorized and Camelot offers the last chance of dislodging Churchill from his two-year-old pinnacle.
Which colt has the huge future? If Churchill is chopped down, or seriously challenged, the threat is most likely to come from his own back yard.
The 2.24 BETDAQ faviourite this morning, Yucatan, who ran up to stablemate Capri in the Beresford Stakes, moves past him as both Aidan O’Brien’s first string and Ryan Moore’s preference for this.
But that shoots 27.0 offer Finn McCool to the top of my ABC list (see Wednesday column), brother to Irish Derby and Ascot Gold Cup runner-up Kingfisher.
Like Kingfisher, he has been slow to learn his paces but is the type to suddenly come on the proverbial ton, as did his brother, though not until the Dee Stakes at Chester the following Spring.
The Convivial won by Rivet at York in August also produced winners in Contrapposto (second), plus the third, fourth, fifth, eighth and tenth. But Rivet was no match for Churchill and Co in the Dewhurst
Raheen House, by Sea The Stars, is from the family of Nashwan, and there’s been money all week for David Elsworth’s experienced Rockingham winner, Sir Dancealot. Champion-jockey Jim Crowley an early booking.
Not by Galileo, but out of a mare who is, Salouen has only to reproduce his Lagardere run on Arc day to put himself in the frame.
HELTER KELTUS! NICHOLLS WINNERS ROLL IN
1.50 Cheltenham It’s hard to oppose Paul Nicholls young chasers right now, and the stable’s had 14 winners in eight days.
Keltus has gone eight consecutive races in the frame, still standing. This is a step up but he’s only six and improvement is on the cards. Nice win and place at 9.6 on BETDAQ.
4.05 Cheltenham Charles Byrne’s Black Warrior gave the Nicholls nap, El Bandit, plenty to think about yesterday, so we can expect Top of The Town (7.4 offers) to be fit for business on his hat-trick mission after a holiday. Hit hard by the English handicapper but wouldn’t have got in otherwise!
Gordon Elliott runs two; Philip Hobbs runs two; Westren Warrior goes well fresh but seems to need soft ground. So Zarib (7.8) may be the danger.
DAQMAN’S BETS (each staked to win 30 points)
BET 3.4pts win and place KELTUS (1.50 Cheltenham)
BET 5pts win FRONTIERSMAN and 3.5pts win MOUNTAIN BELL (2.20 Newbury)
BET 2.7pts win and place A MOMENTOFMADNESS, 1.3pts win and place DUNGANNON, 0.8pts win and place ORVAR (2.40 Doncaster)
BET 3.4pts win LORD BEN STACK (2.50 Newbury)
BET 6pts win (nap) HUGE FUTURE (3.15 Doncaster)
BULL’S-EYE BET (win 50): 2pts win and place FINN McCOOL and 4pts win (stakes saver) YUCATAN (3.50 Doncaster)
BET 4.5pts win on each TOP OF THE TOWN and ZARIB (4.05 Cheltenham)
DAQ MULTIPLES: BET 3 x 2pt win doubles and 1pt win treble Keltus (1.50 Cheltenham), Huge Future (3.15 Doncaster), River Wylde (5.15 Cheltenham)
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