NAPS HAT-TRICK AS DAQMAN OPENS 700-POINT GAP ON PRICEWISE: Friday the Thirteenth gave Daqman a lucky 13 winning tips in six days, and a hat-trick of naps Wednesday-Friday, all odds against, two of them maximum stakes. Sleeping Lion’s 4-1 win took him 700 points clear of Pricewise to 10-point level stakes.
FRIDAY
WON 4-1 SLEEPING LION
WON 6-4 A’ALI (supernap)
WON 1-9 STRADIVARIUS
THURSDAY
WON 6-5 ENBIHAAR (supernap)
WON (w/p 3rd 22-1) TORO STRIKE
WEDNESDAY
WON 10-1 BRAVO FAISAL
WON 9-4 EQUILATERAL (4.0 BETDAQ) nap
WON 4-11 LAZULI (evens with BETDAQ)
TUESDAY
WON 3-1 SEA OF MYSTERY (6.0 BETDAQ)
MONDAY
WON 11-2 JOYFUL DREAM
SUNDAY
WON 5-2 ROULSTON SCAR
WON 4-7 CALLED TO THE BAR
WON (w/p 2nd 8-1) FOREWARNING
DAQMAN’S ACCOUNTS
Daqman 69, Pricewise 31 (Daqman profit + 300 to Pricewise loss – 400)
Bulls-eye naps (7-15) 46% (252pts profit to recommended stakes)
Supernaps (22-32) 69% (152pts profit to 20-point stakes)
TODAY’S HEADLINES
🔹 DAQMAN’S 200-POINT BIG-RACE DOUBLE
🔹 CHECK 40.0 PORTLAND THREE-YEAR-OLD
🔹 LAURENS’ FORM WILL SHINE SO BRIGHT
🔹 CRUSADE STABLE’S PICK OF 12 ENTRIES
🔹 ANOTHER CLASSIC BERRY PARA-GLIDE?
🔹 ELARQAM CAN SLAM MONSTER MAGICAL
DAQMAN’S 200-POINT BIG-RACE DOUBLE
DAQMAN at the double! Today he analyses the form and facts for the Doncaster St Leger and the Irish Champion Stakes. Read his analyses and have a DAQ MULTIPLES double of around 53-1 on his first choices; a four-pointer would win more than 200 points. Now go to the races in time order on Daqman’s card below.
St Leger: 1 IL PARADISO, 2 Sir Dragonet, 3 Logician (analysis, bets below)
Irish Champion: 1 ELARQAM, 2 Magical, 3 Headman (analysis, bets below)
DONCASTER TRAINERS UPDATE (St Leger meeting only): John Gosden 15, Saeed bin Suroor 15, Richard Fahey 11, Roger Varian 11, William Haggas 9, Richard Hannon 7, Aidan O’Brien 7, David Simcock 7, Sir Michael Stoute 7, Charles Hills 6, Mark Johnston 5, Andrew Balding 4, Ralph Beckett 4, Charlie Appleby 4, Simon Crisford 4, Hugo Palmer 4, James Fanshawe 4, Brian Meehan 3, John Oxx 3, Paul Cole 3, Kevin Ryan 3, Clive Cox 3, David Barron 2, Karl Burke 2, Mick Channon 2, Peter Chapple-Hyam 2, David Elsworth 2, Edward Lynam 2, David Marnane 2, Paul Midgley 2, Marcus Tregoning 2.
FAVOURITES 1.50 20%; 2.25 30%; 3.00 60%; 3.35 30%.
DRAW 1.50 high numbers best.
GOING Good to firm (partly cloudy)
CHECK 40.0 PORTLAND THREE-YEAR-OLD
1.50 Doncaster (Portland Handicap) Charles Hills has twice saddled the winner at long odds, Angels Will Fall at 16-1 in 2013 and last year’s 25-1 strike with A Momentofmadness, who lines up again today.
‘Madness’, back to form when finishing close up in a big field at York on the last day, is 4lb lower than a year ago but meets the third home, Wentworth Falls, on the same terms, since that one is down in the weights despite two excellent seconds in the Spring, including here at Doncaster.
In fact, both look well exposed, alongside something like Konchek, third in the Commonwealth Cup Trial, and suited by the strong pace he should get today.
Bielsa has had three runs three wins; Muthmir, Gunmetal, Oxted and Makanah are also more lightly raced than most this season.
Gunmetal, who made all in the Great St Wilfrid at around this time last year, has slid down the weights and has Donnacha O’Brien booked but David Barron remains in the doldrums, only 10-156 on turf this year, and horses over five have a poor record in this (1-12 since 2007).
Oxted, who was unlucky not to beat Dazzling Dan on the July Course in August, was earlier within half a length of Khaadem, the Stewards Cup winner, clear of a big field at Newbury in the Spring; he has Cieren Fallon claiming 3lb and is drawn 14. A double-figure stall has won the last nine Portlands.
Makanah, who ran well at York on the last day, is a winner at Doncaster over the minimum but being drawn in the one stall may stifle his talent and he’s locked in on form with Arecibo. ‘All of a heap’ on Goodwood form are Green Power, Open Wide and Embour.
Justanotherbottle (out of 21) was third in this race in 2017 and back to form on the last day. Frankie Dettori rides.
Copper Knight has run some crackers in Group and Listed, which is why his rating is still 6lb higher than his last winning handicap mark. Danny Redmond claims 5lb but it’s a tall order.
Verdict: If I were to write ‘three-year-olds have a near-50% winning record in the last 15 years’, I would be turning the Portland clock back to the year 2000 when I wrote exactly that.
Maybe it’s time the Classic-generation’s salad days came round again via Oxted (20.0) and Koncheck (40.0). Justanotherbottle has put back-to-back wins together before, so he’s solid at 15.0.
LAURENS’ FORM WILL SHINE SO BRIGHT
2.25 Doncaster (Park Stakes) This is an old battleground of the generations at a specialist trip (7f).
Three-year-olds have won it only twice in the decade but surely have a grip this year, mob-handed against Sir Dancealot.
Shine So Bright (2.64 in the BETDAQ orange as I write) made all at York over Laurens and looks the likely lad.
On all known form, Never No More needs rain and Azano has only ever won on good to soft.
Turjomaan failed in first-time blinkers in his first Group race, which looked nearly a stone short of Shine So Bright’s defeat of Laurens.
Later on, Laurens (2.64 BETDAQ offers this morning) bids to give P J McDonald a Group-1 win on home soil when she defends the Matron Stakes (5.25 Leopardstown) she won last year.
CRUSADE STABLE’S PICK OF 12 ENTRIES
3.00 Doncaster (Champagne Stakes) Too Darn Hot completed a hat-trick in this last year but we’re back with Team Hannon at the front of the market this time around via the Gimcrack winner, Threat. They were 3-4 from 2011 to 2014.
Richard Hannon Jnr has declared him ‘a very good horse’ and ‘hopes to win the Guineas’ but this is a real test with Fort Myers and Royal Dornoch representing the form of Arizona, Earthlight, Golden Horde, Lope Y Fernandez and Siskin, to name but a few as they say.
Even then, I may not yet have mentioned the winner. Royal Crusade is highly regarded by Charlie Appleby, and likely to make another leap forward, with the dam’s side of this Shamardal colt going back to Dansili and the race he won at Newmarket already a successful stepping-stone to this.
Godolphin had 12 entries for the champagne and he is Charlie’s choice, as was once-raced Emotionless when the stable won this in 2015. I took 4.5 on BETDAQ.
ANOTHER CLASSIC BERRY PARA-GLIDE?
3.35 Doncaster (St Leger) The greatest modern Flat trainers, John Gosden with Logician, and Aidan O’Brien, attacking on all sides as ever with three runners, bring their Leger score to the table: O’Brien 6, Gosden 4 in the last 23 years.
Frankie Dettori (5), Andrea Atzeni and William Buick (2 each) is the jockeys’ line-up, with Ryan Moore’s Leger hat-trick bid less important it seems than his Magical ride instead in the Irish Champion Stakes 40 minutes later.
1 IL PARADISO The ratings says he’s the equal (both on 115) of Logician and I think he just might be the better of the two over today’s trip. He ran away with a 2m handicap in July and lost second only near the line as Stradivarius and Dee Ex Bee duelled for the Lonsdale belt at York.
Needs a strong gallop but the triple-charged Ballydoyle team will take care of that. Or he’ll do it himself! Remember how Padraig Berry on Sovereign demolished the Irish Derby field? I took 10.0.
2 Sir Dragonet This might just be what is wanted, after the kid-glove treatment last time. His sire, Camelot, was by Montjeu, who got three Leger winners, Leading Light, Masked Marvel and Scorpion, but this Derby fifth owes us plenty.
3 Logician Unbeaten and jumped forward a stone after winning the Great Voltigeur but was it worth the headlines? The runner-up, Constantinople, was beaten in a handicap at Royal Ascot and then again in a Group 3 at Goodwood, with only a maiden win on his CV. Logician, by Frankel out of top-miler’s stock, is a doubtful stayer.
Constantinople, further down the Ballydoyle pecking order than Sir Dragonet and Il Paradiso, was sold out of the stable after the Voltigeur.
ALSO RUN: Queens Vase winner Dashing Willoughby will stay but doesn’t look to have the class. The Barronstown Stud, responsible for the grey Technician, have bred two St Leger winners of the last four years.
Bred to be tough (by Galileo’s son Australia out of a Danehill mare) and trained to be tough (by Mark Johnston) is Sir Ron Priestley. Has to improve again but that’s not out of the question in what could be a stamina test.
ELARQAM CAN SLAM MONSTER MAGICAL
4.15 Leopardstown (Irish Champion Stakes) Sea The Stars, Golden Horn and Roaring Lion. That’s just part of the roll of honour of the last decade, three among six three-year-olds to topple the older horses.
Today the Classic generation is represented by the Derby winner and second, plus a big improver at today’s specialist trip.
1 ELARQAM Third to Japan and Crystal Ocean in the York International, he has improved all year from Listed to Group-2 success at York, then finally that fine International effort back there against Japan when ‘not much room final furlong.’ Supplemented. I took 5.4 on BETDAQ.
2 Magical Looks like a nearly-horse, bridesmaid to Group-1 winners in her last three starts but, since those winners were Enable and Crystal Ocean, she steps out of the shadows of greatness today and, at her best, is the ‘monster’ of the race.
3 Headman Headman, whose form on the soft at Deauville puts him within a couple of lengths of Japan, will enjoy a galloping track and the better ground.
ALSO RUN: The Epsom Derby one-two of Anthony Van Dyck and Madhmoon have achieved just one Group 3 between them since that day, and the improving mare Deidre, who controlled the Nassau at Goodwood, could give the star trio more to do.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.50 Doncaster (bull’s-eye bets to win 50, 10 place)
BET 3.5pts win JUSTANOTHERBOTTLE
BET 2.6pts win OXTED
BET 1.25pts win and 2.25pts place KONCHEK
2.25 Doncaster (win 20)
BET 12pts win SHINE SO BRIGHT
3.00 Doncaster (win 30)
BET 8.5pts win (nap) ROYAL CRUSADE
3.35 Doncaster (win 30)
BET 3.25pts win IL PARADISO
4.15 Leopardstown (win 30)
BET 6.75pts win ELARQAM
5.25 Leopardstown (win 20)
BET 12pts win LAURENS
DAQ MULTIPLES
1 x 4pt win double
IL PARADISO 3.35 Doncaster
ELARQAM 4.15 Leopardstown
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