DAQMAN UPFRONT ABOUT ALL HIS BETS: ONE MORE NAP FOR 50: Seven naps up out of 10. For the third time this week an odds-against nap was the medium of a gamble when United Front won at Dundalk, 4-6 on from 2.75 on BETDAQ. United Front gave Daqman SEVEN naps out of the last TEN. He now has 49 in the Jumps season since November 10. All his bets are recorded and profit and loss listed below in the Accounts Update.
✔️ WON 4-6 UNITED FRONT (Friday nap)
✔️ WON 1-2 VIRAK (Wednesday supernap)
✔️ WON 4-6 DAZZLING DARREN (Monday nap)
✔️ WON 13-8 DUBAI WARRIOR (Saturday nap)
✔️ WON 7-4 EMMA’S JOY (Friday nap)
✔️ WON 11-8 FUGITIVES DRIFT (Thursday nap)
✔️ WON 9-4 BEAN IN TROUBLE (Wednesday nap)
HE’S HIT 333 POINTS PROFIT FROM DOUBLE HIS RIVAL’S RETURNS: Daqman has scored 333 points more than Pricewise of the Racing Post with DOUBLE his number of winning bets (32-16). Don’t miss their head-to-heads at Cheltenham. Meanwhile, they clash today in the 1.50 Doncaster.
DAQMAN NH ACCOUNTS UPDATE
📈 Daqman 32, Pricewise 16 (+333.40 to -01.00) 10pt stakes at SP
📈 Bull’s-eye bets: 39% (+272.25 from 13-33) staked to win 50
📈 Bulls-eye naps: 0% (-12.00 from 0-1) (2019: 47% +249 from 8-17)
📈 All Daily Naps 47% (+173.74 from 49-103) 10pt stakes at SP
📈 Supernaps 52% (+26.69 from 13-25) 20pt stakes at SP
📈 Fortune Cookies 44% (+11.88 from 4-9) 20pt stakes at SP
NEWBURY CANCELLED: Newbury today has been called off after heavy overnight rain. The going at Doncaster is heavy. Tomorrow’s meetings at Huntingdon, Leopardstown and Sedgefield are facing a third weekend of wind and rain, courtesy of Storm Jorge. Watch this space. Today’s headlines:
🔹 GEORDIE COULD ACE BLACKJACK
🔹 KAT THROWN IN AT BETDAQ 10.5
🔹 SUN SHINES THROUGH THE RAIN
🔹 CILL ANNA IS SUPERNAP SOLID
🔹 WORTHY TIP IN DEPLETED RACE
GEORDIE COULD ACE BLACKJACK
1.50 Doncaster Venetia Williams is superskilled at placing her horses, particularly in handicaps, and she is reliable when travelling long distances. Her preparations are second to none.
The grey Geordie B is 1211 if you delete his first run back after each long break, and here he is today after just six starts altogether and getting his conditions at Doncaster.
Geordie is 5.0 in the BETDAQ orange this morning because of Blackjack Kentucky, who is 2-2 on heavy ground for Paul Nicholls.
The mud will help Blackjack but he was an expensive bridesmaid (form figures 3322) at a low level until beating the Grand National horse, Walk In The Mill, who had never been nearer to the winner of a hurdle race than 14 lengths before his four-and-a-half lengths defeat that day, unable to challenge, as expected.
Notice that Nicholls had horses running all over country this afternoon, including of course at abandoned Newbury, but Harry Cobden was here on Town Moor, while he’d booked Sam Twiston-Davies for Kelso in races worth £28,000 to the winner.
Nicholls had 16 horses on today’s cards and, even with Newbury gone, you can’t be sure to get the right ones. What did it all mean? That he’s got a lot at home who are not worthy of Cheltenham.
KAT THROWN IN AT BETDAQ 10.5
2.25 Doncaster The market is positive about Jerrysback, despite a big drop in trip for the NH Chase (4m) third. He’s favourite over Paul Nicholls’ Dolos, which doesn’t say much for Dolos! Too easy to back this morning at 5.8.
Dolos was back-to-back winner of a handicap at Sandown a month ago, in which his 2019 four-lengths runner-up, Gino Trail, is now 17lb better off and had beaten him in the same race the year before.
Joke Dancer fell behind Dolos at Sandown but is returned to a clockwise track, which has always seemed essential to success.
But, even off 140, he still has to give weight here to Katpoli, who left it too late to get into the Grand Annual, which was trainer Newland’s target.
He looked good at Wetherby but went up only 4lb and has actually dipped a pound, after a trip too far at Warwick when he needed another handicap rise. The BETDAQ 10.5 today is tempting.
SUN SHINES THROUGH THE RAIN
3.10 Lingfield (Ladbrokes Spring Cup) In races of six (twice), nine and 11 runners (twice), this race has gone to stall 3 every time in five renewals since 2015.
With the last three of them hot favourites, it goes to show more than anything that, if a standout has things in his favour, that’s the time to bet.
There’s an added incentive here in that the race is being run over a very particular trip, seven furlongs, which doesn’t suit many horses.
Sun Power, Listed placed twice at the trip and fourth to Pinatubo in the Chesham (7f), is the standout. He’s drawn 1 for Richard Hannon, who won it in 2015.
The Hannon stable has taken it three times in nine years, and Sun Power was an enormous price this morning, exchanging at 5.7 on BETDAQ, with the Press talking up The Perfect Crown (2.93).
They may be right, but I can afford to be wrong twice as often as they are at these rates of play.
The Perfect Crown, eight lengths winner at Chelmsford, beat nothing well that day: the runner-up went on to take class 4-5 races and the third remains a maiden.
Raaeb has also won only at a low level and I’d be more worried about Malotru, who has kept Group company, so presumably highly thought of by a stable in form.
Stall 3? Well, that’s Kondratiev Wave, who was no doubt helped to a neck success at Kempton Park in a sprint (6f) by first-time cheekpieces but, if you dote on stats, you’ll be in love with the offers of 15.0 on BETDAQ.
CILL ANNA IS SUPERNAP SOLID
3.00 Doncaster We have another Nicholls v Venetia clash here but, though her Eleanor Bob is second favourite, the mare has earned a rating of only 123 for back-to-back wins at Leicester and Exeter.
Cill Anna has impressed on her home track at Wincanton and, against modest opposition, should step up to 3m today.
I shall have a Jumps supernap on her and a Flat nap on Sun Power at Lingfield. Otherwise, I’m going back to bed, having wasted my hours on Newbury. And every time I assess the Grimthorpe, another horse drops out! Wake me for some Sun Power.
WORTHY TIP IN DEPLETED RACE
3.35 Doncaster (Grimthorpe Chase) Eight out of 10 previous winners carried less than 11st and only two favourites have won in that time.
One of them, The Last Samurai (2016), was runner-up in Rule The World’s Grand National on his next start.
Definitly Red, who beat The Last Samurai in the 2017 Grimthorpe, was back for more today against last year’s winner of the race, Chidswell. But BOTH have been withdrawn.
Here again, there’s a Paul Nicholls improver, Worthy Farm, who will love the deep ground. Fellow seven-year-old improver Boldmere, who won 10 lengths here at Doncaster, is another withdrawal.
That surely leaves Nicholls to Farm the race at 3.95 in the BETDAQ orange, as I
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.50 Doncaster (win 20)
BET 5pts win GEORDIE B
2.25 Doncaster (win-50 bull’s-eye bet)
BET 5.25pts win KATPOLI
3.00 Doncaster (supernap)
BET 20pts win CILL ANNA
3.10 Lingfield (win 20 nap)
BET 4.25pts win SUN POWER
3.35 Doncaster (win 20)
BET 6.75pts win WORTHY FARM
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