FULL COVERAGE OF THE 2019 GRAND NATIONAL: Daqman‘s record in the National is second to none and four of the first five in his Order In on the day of the Lincoln last week produced winner, second, third (dd ht) and fifth. First check out your Aintree big-race kit:
HISTORY OF THE RACE: Monday Daqman Archive
WEIGHTS AND WEATHER: Tuesday Daqman Archive
NATIONAL ABC GUIDE: Wednesday Daqman Archive
FOUR STABLES: 80 HITS: Thursday Daqman Archive
AINTREE TRAINERFORM: Friday Daqman Archive
HOW TO SPOT VALUE: Friday Daqman Archive
GRAND NATIONAL AT A GLANCE: See below
DAQMAN’S BIG-RACE ORDER IN: See below
DAQMAN WINS THE TOPHAM AT A MASSIVE 24.0: Daqman‘s love of the National fences saw him land another big catch yesterday with Cadmium in the Topham Trophy as yet another example of the fantastic value available on BETDAQ.
WON 8-1 CADMIUM (from 24.0 on BETDAQ)
WON 3-1 LOSTINTRANSLATION
NOW HE TRIES TO LAND 32.0 AND 120.0 SHOTS: Daqman goes fishing in the deep end for the big one again today with 32.0 and 120.0 BETDAQ bets in the big race this afternoon, as he tries to follow up his stunning recent record in the Grand National with two out of three and an oh-so-close second in the last three seasons. His record for this column:
WON 10-1 TIGER ROLL 2018 (17.0 on BETDAQ)
2ND 16-1 CAUSE OF CAUSES 2017 (34.0 on BETDAQ)
WON 33-1 RULE THE WORLD 2016 (50.0 on BETDAQ)
2ND 14-1 BALTHAZAR KING 2014 (39.0 on BETDAQ)
3RD 8-1 SEABASS 2012 (60.0 on BETDAQ)
GRAND NATIONAL AT A GLANCE
CLASS: Anibale Fly, A Toi Phil, Don Poli, Jury Duty, Lake View Lad, Minella Rocco, Monbeg Notorious, One For Arthur, Outlander, Rathvinden, Rock The Kasbah, Step Back, Tea For Two, Tiger Roll, Ultragold, Valseur Lido, Vieux Lion Rouge, Walk In The Mill.
FORM OVER THE FENCES: Anibale Fly, Bless The Wings, Captain Redbeard, Just A Par, One For Arthur, Pleasant Company, Regal Encore, Tiger Roll, Ultragold, Walk In The Mill, Valseur Lido, Vieux Lion Rouge.
HANDICAP WELL IN: Dounikos, Rathvinden, Tiger Roll, Valseur Lido
HIDDEN HORSE: Mala Beach, Valseur Lido, Walk In The Mill
IMPROVER: Joe Farrell, Lake View Lad, Magic Of Light, Ramses De Teillee, Step Back, Walk In The Mill
INEXPERIENCE: Ballyoptic, Blow By Blow, Dounikos, Joe Farrell, Jury Duty, Livelovelaugh, Monbeg Notorious, Pleasant Company, Ramses De Teilee, Step Back, Up For Review have not had 12 chases.
NEGATIVE: Blow By Blow, Just A Par, Monbeg Notorious, Tiger Roll Singlefarmpayment wear blinkers, visor or hood. See also ABC key, Wednesday, regarding age, weight, long absences.
NEVER FALLEN: A Toil Phil, Blow By Blow, Captain Redbeard, Don Poli, Folsom Blue, General Principle, Joe Farrell, Jury Duty, Just A Par, Monbeg Notorious, One For Arthur, Pleasant Company, Ramses De Teillee, Rock The Kasbah, Tea For Two, Tiger Roll, Ultragold, Up For Review, Valseur Lido, Valtor, Vieux Lion Rouge, Walk In The Mill, Warriors Tale,
SOLD: Don Poli and Outlander were sold this week.
STAMINA: Anibale Fly, Bless The Wings, Dounikos, General Principle, Joe Farrell, Jury Duty, Just A Par, Minella Rocco, One For Arthur, Outlander, Pleasant Company, Step Back, Tiger Roll, Rathvinden, Rock The Kasbah, Walk In The Mill, Vieux Lion Rouge, Vintage Clouds
TRAINER IN TOP FORM: Gordon Elliott’s selected, Willie Mullins’ selected, Magic Of Light, Ramses De Teilee, Rock The Kasbah.
LIDO PLACE FOR RACHAEL BLACKMORE
DAQMAN’S BIG-RACE ORDER IN
1 Rathvinden He’s been on my Aintree short-list, and on Willie Mullins, since he won the four-mile NH Chase at Cheltenham last March and is only 4lb higher, despite a brilliant prep, winning the Bobbyjo in February which was amazingly his first senior chase. Has all the attributes and comes comparatively fresh to the race, 8lb well in on the ratings because the Bobbyjo came after the National weights were published.
2 Tiger Roll Small like Red Rum, last year’s winner defied the stats – that they don’t come back – by trotting up in a hurdle and was devastating in the Cheltenham Cross-Country.
Is backing him at a short price risky? His trainer thinks so: he’s running 10 others in the race!
Is he high in the weights? Yes, but 8lb well in on the handicapper’s revised ratings.
3 Valseur Lido Ran well in the race last year and has been manoeuvred into this year’s handicap 12lb lower. To be ridden by Rachel Blackmore, second in the Irish jockeys’ list, and a winner at both Cheltenham and Aintree. A place punt at a crazy 120.0 the win, 18.0 the place.
4 Walk In The Mill Good run at Cheltenham before winning the Becher Chase over the National fences in December and hurdling afterwards to keep his weight down. Big at 32.0 on BETDAQ (7.4 place).
5 Anibale Fly Mark Walsh rides after Barry Geraghty broke a leg in yesterday’s Topham. Unfortunately, after I took 17.0 the Gold Cup third become top weight here, having to give 10lb to Rathvinden just three weeks after Cheltenham. Fourth last year with 10st 13lb but now has to carry 11st 10lb.
6 Ultragold Won back-to-back Topham Trophies 2017/18, second in the Grand Sefton and third in the Becher Chase (3m 2f) in December, making four consecutive places over the Grand National fences. ‘He loves it there,’ says trainer Tizzard.
7 Rock The Kasbah Second in the Sandown Gold Cup (3m 5f) last April and winner over almost three-and-a-half miles at Cheltenham in November. But has just had fifth long break, racing only five times since October 2017.
8/9 Vintage Clouds and Lake View Lad Lucky Trevor Hemmings has won this three times – Ballabriggs, Hedgehunter, Many Clouds – and has three chances today.
Lake View Lad improved 22lb in the last year or so. Vintage Clouds was third and fourth in both Welsh and Scottish Nationals and runner-up in the Ultima at Cheltenham last month after a wind op. Warriors Tale may struggle for stamina.
Finishers: Jury Duty is interesting, as a classy winner in England and America. Mala Beach will love the trip. General Principle is an Irish National winner. Joe Farrell is a big improver but needs top of the ground. Pleasant Company went close a year ago. Go Conquer is with the right stable.
Spare a thought: Nico De Boinville (Step Back) has had two National rides. Fell at the first; fell at the first. Step up, Nico!
PLAY POKER! I’M NOT BLUFFING
1.45 Aintree (3m handicap hurdle) David Pipe is a three-time winner of this since 2011 and has brought 11.0 BETDAQ bet Poker Play to peak form at the right time.
Gets around a stone from the Pertemps winner Sire Du Berlais, and so far really only the novice form is holding up from Cheltenham, perhaps because they have scope and are lightly raced, so the festival didn’t take so much out of them.
However, that was Sire De Berlais’ first race in three months and Jonjo O’Neill junior reduces his penalty to 5lb.
THE CHOSEN ONE BUT HE’S 10.0
2.25 Aintree (Mersey Novices Hurdle) Angels Breath seemingly flopped in the Supreme but the three in front of him were Felix Desjy, Fakir D’Oudairies and Aramon, who have all shone this week, and the grey ran as if needing further after all.
Brewinupastorm’s fourth to Champ and fourth in the Ballymore could be good enough.
But Gordon Elliott had a hurdles double here yesterday and he puts Chosen Mate up to a trip where he has winning relatives. Big at 11.0.
APPLE’S JADED? THEN ‘ROK’ ON
3.40 Aintree (Liverpool Hurdle) The magic mare Apple’s Jade can bounce back here having been found to have a cold in the nose (haven’t we all) after flopping in the Champion Hurdle.
Sam Spinner, second in the Stayer’s at Cheltenham, is unreliable. He was beaten favourite in that race in 2018 and beaten favourite in today’s race last year (15 lengths third).
Roksana was runner-up over this CD in the Sefton last year and impressed in the Mares Hurdle at Cheltenham. Value BETDAQ offers of 9.8 if you want a decent deputy should Apples remain jaded.
ANOTHER YEAR: ANOTHER JONJO
4.20 Aintree (Mildmay Chase) Oldgrangewood, fourth in this last year and now 9lb lower, wasn’t punished at Cheltenham.
It’s with a mix of emotion (he’s been good to us this season) that I stand by Mister Malarky, the Reynoldstown winner, a respectable fourth in the RSA at Cheltenham.
After an earlier 14.0 Oldgrangewood, I took 7.0 Mister Malarky, hopefully another for young Jonjo O’Neill’s riding skills, with his usual rider, Robbie Power (two winners on the opening day), mainly resting today because he’s on Jury Duty! Wild card at 20.0?
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.45 Aintree (win 50, win 20)
BULL’S-EYE BET 5pts win POKER PLAY
BET 4.5pts win SIRE DU BERLAIS
2.25 Aintree (win 50, win 20)
BULL’S-EYE BET 5pts w/p CHOSEN MATE
BET 6.5pts win BREWIN’UPASTORM
3.40 Aintree (supernap and win 30 saver)
BET 20pts win APPLE’S JADE
BET 3.5pts win ROKSANA
4.20 Aintree (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET 8.25pts win MISTER MALARKY
BULL’S-EYE BET 3.75pts win OLDGRANGEWOOD
5.15 Aintree (Grand National, win 100+ unless stated)
WIN (Ante-post) 7pts win RATHVINDEN 15.0 BETDAQ
WIN (Ante-post) 6pts win ANIBALE FLY 17.0 BETDAQ
PLACE BET: 3.25pts win and 7.75pts place (win 50) WALK IN THE MILL
PLACE BET: 1pt win and 5.75pts place VALSEUR LIDO
NATIONAL DAY DAQ MULTIPLES
9 x 1pt win doubles
5 x 1pt win trebles
2 x 1pt win accas
POKER PLAY 1.45
X
CHOSEN MATE 2.25
X
ROKSANA 3.40
X
TIGER ROLL 5.15
RATHVINDEN 5.15
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