BETDAQ VALUE SATURDAY: FINAL FLING BEFORE BOXING DAY: Today is the final big-race fling before Boxing Day, though a few meetings remain from tomorrow until Tuesday, when there will be Daqman Christmas previews. It’s been early days in the season and that, combined with very holding ground, has produced outcomes not easy to forecast.
EXPLORE WAYS TO WIN WITH DAQMAN 12-9 UP ON PRICEWISE: It’s heavy going at Ascot and Haydock today, but remember there is no commission so a chance to explore BETDAQ as a multi-faceted Exchange and Sportsbook, with win, place, multiples, in-running, and laying the favourite. Daqman goes into the day 12-9 up on Pricewise of the Racing Post with a 33-1 bull’s-eye bet. Headlines:
🔹 SYMONDS COULD BE THE SAINT AGAIN
🔹 CATCH UP ON LAST-DAY IMPROVEMENT
🔹 PAISLEY TO PARK THE LONG-WALK BUS
🔹 STAY UP WITH THE RUNAWAY SOJOURN
🔹 BUZZ IS FOR BETDAQ BET IN RUNNING
SYMONDS COULD BE THE SAINT AGAIN
⭕ 1.50 Ascot Tom Symonds and David Bass look ‘live’ with Exeter winner on heavy Saint De Vassy down among the light weights but that’s because he’s up in grade to a new level and needs to improve again.
Philip Hobbs has found a seam form at last, four winners in a row still standing, and Smarty Wild, also an Exeter winner in deep ground, could improve with the stable but was beaten favourite, not jump well, at Wetherby.
You can forgive a young horse like Saint Sonnet his struggling with Cheltenham but, like Enrichissant, he brings only class-4 success to the table.
A winner over further, Bennys King, could slog this one out from the front or in the van. Just failed here at Ascot on heavy in January.
I played small stakes on Saint De Vassy (BETDAQ 6.6) and Bennys King (7.7), hoping to break my habit of starting the day badly. Winning later on’s ok; I’ll take that as well!
CATCH UP ON LAST-DAY IMPROVEMENT
⭕ 2.05 Haydock War Lord has progressed 18lb for 2-4 this year – the last win here at Haydock a month ago – whereas Albert’s Back’s rating is marking time and he’s up in trip.
It’s close at the weights now between War Lord and Our Power, winner and third here the last day, when Our Power was hampered. Chirico Vallis is high in the weights and a claimer is called in.
McGowan’s Pass was runner-up, giving 9lb to Main Fact in March (Wetherby heavy), which looks good now, with Main Fact unbeaten in nine races.
The Last Day has had a good time over fences which theoretically leaves his hurdles rating 8lb well in. Has won after a break twice running and the stable’s in form. BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE this morning, with most confidence in Allart (3.8) and Fiddlerontheroof (3.0), at 6.4.
PAISLEY TO PARK THE LONG-WALK BUS
⭕ 2.25 Ascot (Long Walk Hurdle) Billed as a match between the 2018 winner Paisley Park and the young pretender Thyme Hill.
Rightly so judged on their one-two in the Ladbrokes Long Distance Hurdle at Newbury last month, but… there are always ‘buts’, aren’t there.
They ‘re meeting at level weights, Paisley Park now 3lb better off, but there’s the little matter of a complete change of ground from ‘good’ to officially ‘heavy with showers’. It’s gonna be tough.
It was soft when Paisley Park won this Long Walk and soft when he won the Cleeve on his return in January, though afterwards he flopped in the Stayer’s Hurdle at Cheltenham.
Part of Thyme Hill’s hat-trick last backend was two wins on soft but over around half a mile shorter.
Roksana went down the mares’ route last year and it is noticeable that she has avoided tough tracks over 3m and there is talk of Aintree next Spring, where she was second in their stayers hurdle.
But Roksana is a Grade-2 winner whereas Main Fact has only just reached Grade 3.
The handicapper agrees, rating Paisley Park 165, Thyme Hill 160, with Main Fact and Roksana behind, a pound apart until you factor in Roksana’s mares’ allowance.
The World’s End won it last year but is on a hat-trick he doesn’t want: a trio of PU after two flops despite 300 days of breaks. Could it be the end for him? Moving stables might help but moving pubs never cured my hangover.
STAY UP WITH THE RUNAWAY SOJOURN
⭕ 2.40 Haydock (Tommy Whittle Chase) Venetia Williams won this with Yala Enki and has won two races in the last year with her Willie Mullins cast-off, Roll Again.
Dr Richard Newland (Enqarde) and Colin Tizzard have also won The Tommy Whittle but there’s nothing in Enqarde’s form or pedigree to suggest that he can suddenly step up to take this over almost 3m 2f.
Highest Sun for Tizzard seems low on the horizon (1-8 over fences) but this one might be helped by the step up to 3m.
Hill Sixteen was given a massive rise in the ratings for scoring 46 lengths at Ffos Las, though those just behind him in the market that day ran badly and the second and third home had both been out of form.
Hill Sixteen could do no more than win and he did it again over hurdles the last day, raised to class 2. His winning a chase on heavy and a hurdle on good suggests he is resilient and versatile.
The handicapper also took a hefty swipe at Sojourn after he won the Cumberland Chase (similar trip to today’s) on heavy but he may not be for catching.
Sojourn won 15 lengths, 24 lengths and 19 lengths from FOUR next-time winners and two next-time seconds. BETDAQ 4.2
BUZZ IS FOR BETDAQ BET IN RUNNING
⭕ 3.35 Ascot Not So Sleepy is 15lb higher than when he made all in this last year but won very easily in heavy ground that day.
Buzz went into the Fortune Cookies list after an impressive run from the rear to score here at Ascot the last day. Looks an ideal in-running bet.
West To The Bridge stays two-and-a-half miles and will be hard to beat if he gets to the front in the straight.
Botox Has won three out of four in the autumn and ran second to Allmankind in a Grade 2 at Cheltenham.
Benson is currently three from four and likes heavy ground but has been hit with a 10lb rise.
Night Edition for the in-form David Pipe ran second in the Fred Winter last time we saw him and may need the race.
Kid Commando won here at Ascot the last day but disappointed over further, and the runner-up, Malaya, is now better off, although he’s been well out of it three times on heavy. A tongue-tie might help her into a place.
The unexposed Time Flies By faces a tough task for a handicap debut. Beaten by Master Debonair here a year ago, and that one’s faded badly since and must bounce back.
Buzz is our big hope for the Fortune Cookies, with West To the Bridge the back-up. They were 9.4 and 34.0 respectively in the BETDAQ orange this morning.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.50 Ascot (win 20)
BET 3.5pts win SAINT DE VASSY
BET 3pts win BENNYS KING
2.05 Haydock (win 20)
BET 3.75pts win THE LAST DAY
2.25 Ascot (win 10)
BET 5pts win PAISLEY PARK
2.40 Haydock (win 20, nap)
BET 6pts win SOJOURN
3.35 Ascot
FORTUNE COOKIE (SP)
BET 10pts win BUZZ
WIN 50 at 34.0, place 12 at 6.6
BULL’S-EYE BET: 1.5pts win WEST TO THE BRIDGE
PLACE BET: 2pts WEST TO THE BRIDGE
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