DAQMAN ECLIPSES THE OTHERS: YES! Anno yesterday continued Daqman’s winner a day in time for the Eclipse meeting at Sandown, with his weekday staking plan providing total cover.
WON 11-10 ANNO DOMINI (Friday)
WON 11-4 FAST STEPS (Thursday nap)
BETDAQ HAS BIG VALUE OFFERS: Best of the day – and every Saturday – is the superb value of BETDAQ morning offers, revealed as Daqman searches the feature races for his bull’s-eye bets at Haydock and Sandown
DREAM START AT SANDOWN
⭕ 1.50 Sandown (5f Charge) Last year’s one-two at the same weights, Equality and Makarova, were afterwards 6th and 4th behind Live In The Dreams in the Nunthorpe.
It rained heavily after racing yesterday which suits Live In The Dream after her seasonal-debut neck defeat in the Group-2 Temple Stakes on the soft in May.
Class-2 handicap winner Desperate Hero at both Goodwood (heavy) and Hamilton (over a big field) has proved worth testing at this level but, in the conditions, BETDAQ 4.7 Live In The Dream is more tempting.
DRAMATIC DAY FOR HAGGAS
⭕ 2.05 Haydock (1m 6f handicap) This is William Haggas’s race: he didn’t have a runner in 2021 so was completing a hat-trick last year with a well-backed favourite and now bids for a four-timer.
His chosen player is stamina-bred Dramatic Star, who has just been learning the trade so far (odds-on winner the last day) but now steps up in trip with a purpose.
Fouroneohfever and Too Bossy For Us are also bred to stay and Wild Waves has been improving the further he went.
Betdaq Betting Exchange Just 103% total offers including 5.3 Wild Waves, 5.9 Dramatic Star, 12 Too Bossy for Us, Fouroneohfever
TRUST MOORE ON PEROTTO
⭕ 2.25 Sandown (1m Challenge) Two Tempting, Classic and Dual Identity were 1-2-3 over this Sandown CD (good to soft) three weeks back. Dual Identity is 3-6 at Sandown.
Classic’s winning form is all at 7f but Dual Identity’s Sandown form in the last two years is 12113, including on soft and up to 1m 2f. So up in the weights but with the stamina to cope.
Two Tempting is 4-5 this term and not unduly punished for it but very easy to back this morning.
Holloway Boy, 4th in the Jersey Stakes last year, was fifth in the Royal Hunt Cup in June (not clear run), but tends to make his own trouble as revealed by his strike rate, a poor 1-10.
Metal Merchant was 7th after winning the Spring Cup at Newbury on good to soft and then, upped 5lb, a big-field second there. These three good runs followed a gelding op and there could yet be more to come.
In front of him in the Hunt Cup was Perotto, third off a mark of 101. He took this race last year off 94; up in the weights, then, but seems to improve with age and knowing (trust Ryan Moore for that).
BETDAQ value Only 102 total percentage, giving you 7.8 Perotto, 8 Dual Identity
TIFFANY CAN BREAK FAST..
⭕ 2.40 Haydock (Lancashire Oaks) Has Sir Mark Prescott found a filly to follow the hoofprints of his Arc winner, Alpinista.
Tiffany has landed a six-out-of-seven sequence in the age-old Prescott style, starting with a class-5 AW handicap off 72 and ripping through the ranks to land back-to-back Listed success and, finally, Group-3 stardom off 109 only eight days ago.
Tiffany beat the German 1,000 Guineas winner, Darnation, on the Newcastle Tapeta at the Northumberland Plate meeting. Is it too soon after that to attempt strike number eight, first try over 1m 4f?
Team Gosden’s Queen Of The Pride and Ralph Beckett’s Lady Boba have already done the distance in Group 3 on today’s course (Sea Theme fourth) on a fast surface.
That they were a short-head apart at the finish makes it difficult to choose between them now though, as it was Lady Boba’s first start of the year, she may get her revenge, as Rossa Ryan’s pick.
Stablemate Forest Fairy, who beat Ribblesdale winner Port Fairy in the Cheshire Oaks, is an Arc entry! But three-year-olds have a poor record in this Haydock Oaks.
The Gosdens also send out Sweet Memories (won a Listed on soft) on her first start of 2024 but, as I write, Haydock has not had – nor does it expect – the same amount of rain as Sandown Park.
POET FEAR: STALL APPALS
⭕ 3.15 Haydock (Old Newton Cup) As I warned in the week when you could get 10-1, David O’Meara, who has trained two outsiders to win this under Danny Tudhope, has Epic Poet best backed in the field and this morning 7.2 on BETDAQ.
Runner-up in the Duke Of Edinburgh at Royal Ascot on firm ground, but third in Longchamp’s Prince d’Orange (Group 3 good to soft) when trained by Jean-Claude Rouget.
The worry is his high draw in 15. Six of the last eight winners were in single-figure stalls.
And, though they are not ruled out entirely, a similar risk applies to Chillingham (16) and La Yakel (18) among the leading contenders.
Relentless Voyager, returning to the trip that won him the Northern Dancer Handicap at Epsom, is well placed in gate 9, but has a 7lb hike in the weights.
Stall 2 has produced three winners in eight years and fifth-last-year Sheer Rocks, who had back-to-back strikes last Spring, finally returned to the track in the Duke Of Edinburgh at Ascot, rallying late on and has been prepared for today.
Back from a break, too, is L’Astronome for Hugo Palmer, who is well drawn in 7. The five-year-old was last seen in the Group-3 Ormonde Stakes.
Not wanted in the betting at 64.0 offers, the Frankel gelding was formerly with the Graffard stable in France, which recently transferred the hat–trick winner on soft, Sheradann, to handicap shrewdie Ian Williams.
BETDAQ value 7.2 Epic Poet, 16.5 Sheer Rocks
TROY WAIT JUST TO WATCH
⭕ 3.35 Sandown (Eclipse Stakes) STATS IN DAQMAN ABC GUIDE: Wednesday
DERBY winner. Fortune Cookie. Clear top-rated. Best I’ve ever trained. And all that is before the race.
The subject is City Of Troy, and the objective – to win the Eclipse – seems a foregone conclusion, with the field reduced to half a dozen.
His dangers seemed to be stablemates, but all bar pacemaker Hans Andersen have been taken out to spread the Ballydoyle attack across more lucrative Group-1 events.
We probably haven’t seen the best of Ghostwriter; not liking the course when fourth in the 2000 Guineas and sluicing through heavy ground when also fourth in the French Derby.
Dancing Gemini was second in the French 2,000 but has 11lb to find with CiTy of Troy
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.50 Sandown (win 20)
BET 5.5pts win LIVE IN THE DREAM
2.05 Haydock (win 20)
BET 4pts win DRAMATIC STAR
BET 2.5pts to win 10 WILD WAVES
2.25 Sandown (win-50 bull’s-eye bet)
BET 7.5pts win PEROTTO
BET 2.75pts to win 20 DUAL IDENTITY
2.40 Haydock (win 20 nap)
BET 7pts win TIFFANY
3.15 Haydock (win-50 bull’s-eye bet, win 30)
BET 3.15pts win SHEER ROCKS
BET 5pts win EPIC POET
3.35 Sandown
FORTUNE COOKIE
BET 20pts win CITY OF TROY
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Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
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