DAQMAN WINS 117 POINTS IN ONE BET: Daqman used BETDAQ exchange value to land 117 POINTS in one bet yesterday. He priced up Noble Peace at 6.0 for 10 points to win 50 but got offers of 11.5. Keeping his 10-point stake, he backed it to win 105 and it scored at 6-1. Counting a fifth of SP for the place, he therefore won 117 points.
6-1 AND 11-2 TAKE HIS TALLY TO 12: Daqman also plumped for the same stable’s Queen of Time (WON 11-2), which took his tally to 12 winners for the week so far:
WON 6-1 NOBLE PEACE (from 11.5 on BETDAQ)
WON 11-2 QUEEN OF TIME
48 POINTS CLEAR OF PRICEWISE: It’s Guineas weekend in Ireland and Derby week in England next week. So don’t miss more Daqman big hitters from bankers (currently three in a row) to Fortune Cookies and value bets that have him 48 points in front of Pricewise of the Racing Post (winners score 25-8)
DAQMAN’S CLASSIC ORDER-IN
4.10 The Curragh (Irish 2,000 Guineas) Churchill is around six lengths clear of today’s depleted Irish colts’ Classic field, on my ratings assessment. The only unknowns are Churchill’s state of health and Irishcorrespondent. As the improver, he is the only one who deserves a bit of extra poundage on potential.
1 Churchill (114) Tries to do a Gleneagles (2015) and land the Guineas double (Newmarket and The Curragh). My ratings – in parentheses – say that he will.
Thunder Snow was beaten both by Churchill and Lancaster Bomber in the Dewhurst. He turned it round with the Lancaster Bomber at Meydan but that was on dirt.
2 Irishcorrespondent (108) Unbeaten in two races, but officially more than a stone behind the principals here. Howver, he’s on an upward curve, whereas Lancaster Bomber and Thunder Snow have been more or less static.
Off 104 on my base ratings, I’m revising him upwards for a future rating here of another 4lb for this.
3 Lancaster Bomber (107) Four successive defeats so far behind Churchill – in Futurity, National Stakes, Dewhurst and Newmarket Guineas – but for the second time in the Guineas got within a length and a half of Churchill when racing on a sound surface.
4 Thunder Snow (106) Won the UAE 2,000 Guineas and Derby this Spring but, like his subsequent defeat of Lancaster Bomber, that was in Dubai on Dirt.
Pulled up in the Kentucky Derby after playing up, bucking and kicking, in the early stages of the race. Something to prove now.
5 Glastonbury Song (95) Fifth in the Leopardstown 2,000 Guineas Trial after being slowly away but his Dundalk win a fortnight later was much more like it, a good move by Ger Lyons to give him back his confidence.
The well-beaten runner-up that day, Asking (Aidan O’Brien) was down the field in the Prix Saint-Alary after being bumped, that’s a pity; we were robbed of a yardstick.
6 Spirit Of Valor (90) Was expected to set the pace for stablemate Churchill in the Newmarket Guineas but ran no sort of race. Earlier behind Thunder Snow in the UAE Derby
VERDICT: My 1-to-6 is how the form, or form projection, pans out. But Churchill’s severe sweating up worried me at Newmarket. It didn’t stop him winning but was it a flag for the beginning of the end? Or was that the end of the beginning for a great new season?
He’s frightened off most of the opposition so that you’d be buying money at diamond-banker status to back him. He’s not that but I’ll put him in my Daq Multiples, and have a tilt at the layers with Irishcorrespondent at 12.5 on BETDAQ this morning.
PRIZE 8.6.. YOU DO THE MATHS
2.35 Goodwood My man in the long grass tells me to have a BETDAQ early-mouse pound (18.5 offers) on Silca Mistress, who has been catching the eye at West Ilsley.
A winner in waiting for you, if not today then with this experience under her belt. The Silca family have mostly done well, some up to Group level.
2.55 Haydock (Silver Bowl) The snag with Haydock today is that you could get drop-outs because of firm ground and then, after the forecast thunderstorms, defectors in the mud. Most lilely scenario is ‘loose’ ground if the storms arrive.
Any one of these three-year-olds could suddenly improve a few pounds but, as they stand, The Queen’s superbly named Maths Prize (Royal Appluase – Hypoteneuse) is the wrong price at 8.6.
Third, giving weight, to thev Feilden and Cocked Hat winner Khalidi in the autumn and, now gelded, ran well on the reappearance behind John Gosden’s Classic fillies, Shutter Speed and Enable.
WAGON ROLL! FAHEY AT 15.0
3.10 Goodwood The winner always comes from 8st 4lb or less) but the race is bottom heavy this year because of Top Score’s presence. However, another big bias is that only stalls 2, 3 and 6 have won it.
Swinging out wide from a high stall, or heavy restraint and trying to weave through after tucking in.. none of these is a smooth ride for youngsters on a track with dip, hill, camber et al.
ThePricewise bet, Top Score, is well enough drawn and crashes down in grade from the 2,000 Guineas. Shouldn’t he be odds on? Instead, there was a three-figure sum waiting on offer at 7.4 against in the BETDAQ orange this morning. Any takers, you guys?
I took 15.0 win and place The Wagon Wheel. She’s out of the handicap but Richard Fahey has a £100,000 sprint at York in mind for her at the mid-June meeting.
To get in the race, which he won last year with Mr Lupton, she must win this. The jockey chosen can get down to 8st, which is a bonus.
WILD ABOUT HARRY AT 15.0
3.50 York: Last year’s winner Harry Hurricane has also been placed twice in the Portland. Drawn 3 and that side might ride best today.
The middle of the course was the place to be at the Dante meeting until later in the week they came over to the stands’ side, trying to find a strip which hadn’t been poached in the soft ground.
Line Of Reason from the one stall is 10lb better with Harry Hurricane on form here at York at this class-2 level last August but he’s clearly ‘impossible’ to win with (famous last words).
Line Of Reason’s stable also runs Gamesome but, from 24 starts, he has won only his maiden, always a bad sign.
Another down in the weights is York CD winner Out Do (stall 6), 10lb lower than at this time last season, but the booking of William Buick swings me to Harry Hurricane at 15.0 as first choice.
O’BRIEN’S BIG SPRINT DOUBLE
4.05 Haydock (Temple Stakes) Winner or placed in the Palace House Stakes follows up in this (four out of the last six seasons).
This year, second, third and fourth at Newmarket were Washington DC, Goldream and Kachy, and Aidan O’Brien could land a big sprint double with Washington DC in this and Acapulco at the Curragh (3.35) but both meetings are subject to afternoon rain so dodgy morning betting mediums.
4.35 Haydock (Cecil Frail Stakes) Winners at 11-1 (twice), 16-1, 20-1 (twice) and 28-1 in the decade suggest a pinstickers’ race, so we’ll cast caution to the wind (and rain) and have a pound on Rosie Briar (16.0 offers on BETDAQ this morning)
DAQMAN’S BETS (all staked to win 30)
2.35 Goodwood
BET 1.75pts win and place SILCA MISTRESS
2.55 Haydock
BET 4pts win and place (place nap) MATHS PRIZE
3.10 Goodwood
BET 2pts win and place THE WAGON WHEEL
3.50 York
BET 5pts win OUT DO
BET 2pts win and place HARRY HURRICANE
4.10 The Curragh
3pts win and place IRISHCORRESPONDENT
4.35 Haydock
BET 2pts win and place ROSIE BRIAR
AIDAN O’BRIEN DAQ MULTIPLES: 5 x 3pt win doubles and 2 x 1pt win trebles Acapulco (3.35 The Curragh), Washington DC (4.05 Haydock) with Churchill and Irishcorrespondent (4.10 The Curragh)
FORTUNE COOKIE: ACAPULCO (3.35 The Curragh)
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
