8-1 FOR FIVE CONSECUTIVE DAYS WITH A WIN Daqman went straight into the winner’s enclosure yesterday to ensure a fifth consecutive day with a winner. Beshaayir was taken at 9.6 on BETDAQ (WON 8-1) and backed to win 50 points for a profit on the day. The week’s string of daily hits now reads:
WON 8-1 BESHAAYIR (Friday)
WON 7-4 NEARLY CAUGHT (Thursday)
WON 7-2 LADY DANCEALOT (Wednesday)
WON 3-1 GEMINI (Tuesday)
WON 4-6 FARO ANGEL (Monday supernap)
DAQMAN IS 232 POINTS IN FRONT OF PRICEWISE Now for the Cambridgeshire. How will Daqman sum up the scene, after his ABC guides during the week? The score now in the value contest with Pricewise is: 71-22 (profit and loss Daqman + 107, Pricewise -125).
BACK BETDAQ BIG-RACE VALUE
3.40 Newmarket (Cambridgeshire Handicap) Whether you want a serious punt or a big-race flutter, dig in and don’t be afraid to back more than one horse in the big handicap today.
In fact, you owe it to yourself to play the amazing value on BETDAQ in the orange Back list, and with the exchange’s own XSP beating the book regularly now at the major meetings.
Compare with the truly shocking Cambridgeshire bookmaker-SP overrounds since they first crept over 140% (from 135% in 2012) then reached a five-year high of 150% in 2017. In six seasons: 135, 143, 140, 141, 141, 150.
If I were to add another code letter to my ABC key, it would be ‘S’ for drawn in the middle, as suggested by yesterday’s Silver consolation to today’s main event, when the result by stall was 9, 14, 13.
That’s another tick in the box for triple 1m 2f winner Danceteria (out of gate 10) and UAE Prince (from 13) in first-time cheekpieces.
Wissahickon was 16-1 when he hit the front of my ABC on stats and facts, and Danceteria has since quickstepped into the market place. Now these two three-year-olds are both around 12.0 on BETDAQ.
Mordin was 40-1 when the ABC was published and is now 18-1 as the best-backed outsider of the race so far.
There’s been no money for topical Brexit tip, Euro Nightmare, or for beaten horses in the race last year: Sands Chorus (2nd), Examiner (sixth), Bravery (13th) and King’s Gift (25th). But be warned about both draw and odds in that last year’s one-two were 50-1 and 100-1 from stalls 29 and 22.
The winner in 29 raced stands side and the runner-up (yes, Sands Chorus) in 22 led the far-side group for most of the race! What a nightmare, and what a Godsend, that BETDAQ value.
Sands Chorus (15), Kenya from 17 and Very Talented (24) are regular front-runners, so I’m back hunting in the high-stalls pack of Alfarris, Seniority, Wissahickon, Tricorn and Mordin but find myself sticking with John Gosden.
VERDICT: 1 Wissahickon 2 Tricorn 3 Mordin at 12.0, 20.0 and 19.0. Under the other rail from the one stall my wild-card outsider is Euro Nightmare at 110.0, a hidden horse dropped from the Pattern.
BEATBOXER TODAY‘S SUPERNAP
1.50 Newmarket (Royal Lodge Stakes) The last eight winners, which have included Frankel and Roaring Lion, have been shorter than 3-1 SP, and it appears to be a match today Beatboxer and Arthur Kitt.
Collateral form is no help, so we have to assume that trainer John Gosden, who slammed Arthur Kitt with Too Darn Hot at Sandown, can defeat the Chesham Stakes winner again with Beatboxer.
2.05 Haydock Mitchum Swagger switches from the Cambridgeshire, having his first race since third in the Lincoln to the 2017 winner of the big Newmarket handicap.
Success for Alemaratalyoum would boost Pivoine in the Cambridgeshire itself but I fancy this could be a strange race at the mercy of front-runner M C Muldoon (14.5), who drops from the Pattern.
GO TO WAR WITH 30.0 OFFERS
3.00 Newmarket (Middle Park Stakes) Ten Sovereigns hacked up at The Curragh in the same race won by last year’s winner of this Middle Park, US Navy Flag.
That result meant that three of the last four winners of this started between 10-1 and 25-1, wrapped around just the one winning favourite in seven years.
It’s certainly no encouragement to be with an odds-on Ballydoyle favourite here. But neither is it a feeling of confidence to be with the last-place finish of stablemate Sergei Prokofiev in the Phoenix Stakes, even at 11.0 on BETDAQ this morning.
The Phoenix was won by a newcomer to the top flight training ranks, Martyn Meade, and here we have another would-be Ballydoyle toppler, Simon Crisford, with the hot Kodiac colt, Jash, who blasted his way nine lengths clear at Salisbury.
It’s a nightmare. But the really silly odds are the 30.0 Legends Of War, and experienced colt who got going too late in the Gimcrack, and didn’t enjoy the drop back to the minimum 5f in the Flying Childers. Today’s hot pace should suit.
GIFT FOR GOLD IN THE SPRINT
3.15 Haydock This sprint has become dominated by young horses (aged three and four) for seven seasons now and the outside stalls (above 12) never win.
At the front of the market, gate 17 is against Holmeswood and 15 is a double blow to the 11-year-old Confessional.
Dakota Gold is now 10lb below his opening mark for the season, despite excellent efforts in the Portland, the Great St Wilfrid and the Ayr Silver Cup. But has he had enough after nine races? A 6.2 BETDAQ offer gives us fair reason to take his side.
Tarboosh has shot up nearly a stone for his hat-trick and Militia hasn’t scored higher than class 4.
It’s now 19 races since Final Venture won here at Haydock in June 2017, but the handicapper refuses to let go of him, largely because of three good efforts at York this season.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.50 Newmarket (SP)
SUPERNAP: 20pts win BEATBOXER
2.05 Haydock (win 30)
BET 9pts win MITCHUM SWAGGER
BET 2.35pts win and place M C MULDOON
3.00 Newmarket (win 50)
BET 1.6pts win and place LEGENDS OF WAR
3.15 Haydock (win 30)
BET 6pts win DAKOTA GOLD
3.40 Newmarket (win 100 ton-up bets)
BET 9pts win WISSAHICKON
BET 5.5pts win and place MORDIN
BET 5pts win and place TRICORN
BET 1pt win and place EURO NIGHTMARE
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