ANOTHER SUPERNAP STRIKES FROM DAQMAN’S ARMORY: Daqman made it five winning supernaps from six this Flat season when Armory won the Chester Group 2 with a power finish under Ryan Moore for an overall profit of 52.84. His naps have been striking at 50% and have won 11 times.
WON 6-5 ARMORY
WON 4-7 HONEYSUCKLE
WON 4-7 STRADIVARIUS
WON 4-5 FRODON
WON 1-2 BROOME
PRICEWISE ON TRIAL WITH DAQMAN LEADING BY 14-7: Daqman continues his ABC guide to the Oaks and Derby trials at Lingfield today, 14-7 up on Pricewise of the Racing Post in the hunt for value:
DAQMAN 14, PRICEWISE 7
LAYS LOGIC 6-7 (85%)
NAPS 11-22 (50%)
SUPERNAPS 5-6 (83%)
DIVINELY STAMINA TO BE FOUND
⭕ 2.15 Lingfield (Oaks Trial) As if the draw at Chester wasn’t enough, you now have ‘the bends’ at Lingfield. Stalls 1, 2, 3 have won six of the last seven in this fillies’ Classics test.
John Gosden is currently three out of four (four overall), Aidan O’Brien two, spaced apart (2004 and 2016). In ABC order:
Divinely (Aidan O’Brien) Oaks entry. Sister to Arc winner Found was a Group-3 winner on heavy at the Curragh before, unfancied at 40-1, down the field in the Moyglare. Stamina test on rain-soaked ground will suit.
Loving Dream (John and Thady Gosden) Ribblesdale entry who has Derby and St Leger winner on the dam’s side.
Tried to make all when ridden down at Wetherby by well-regarded sort of Sir Michael Stoute’s but pulled away from the remainder of the field. Dam’s best, Amandine, prefers firm ground.
Nash Nasha (Charlie Appleby) Tough sort; Ribblesdale entry. Dam won the Irish 1,000 Guineas. Giving weight when winning at Sandown; fine attitude.
Ocean Road (Hugo Palmer) Australia filly; Oaks entry. Runner-up to progressive sort of Sir Michael Stoute’s at Nottingham.
Regent (John and Thady Gosden) Frankel’s daughter is a Ribblesdale entry who beat Invite on Lingfield AW in March. Hood is off-putting.
Save A Forest (Roger Varian) Oaks entry. Kingman filly out of a Galileo mare with bags of stamina in the pedigree; beat Invite at Windsor, giving her 2lb.
Sherbet Lemon (Archie Watson) Oaks entry. Good run at Wetherby last month but six lengths to make up on Loving Dream.
Technique (Martyn Meade) Oaks entry. Mixed it with the colts in the Blue Riband Trial at Epsom, finishing a head behind the winner, Wirko, who was beaten favourite, only fourth, in the Chester Vase on Wednesday.
BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE BETTING 8.2 value Divinely
SOFT SURFACE WILL SUIT ADAYAR
⭕ 2.50 Lingfield (Derby Trial) Aidan O’Brien has had five winners of this, including Anthony Van Dyck (2019), who won the Derby three weeks later, first for 22 years to go on to Epsom glory.
Adayar (Charlie Appleby) Derby entry; by Frankel out of a Dubawi mare. Strolled home nine lengths on the soft at Nottingham. Half-length runner-up in the Sandown Classic Trial, but third colt home, Ybir, was beaten favourite, fourth, in the Dee Stakes this week. Evens this morning.
Carlisle Bay (Aidan O’Brien) Derby entry. Winner and third on heavy ground in the autumn. Second string behind Kyprios today; cheekpieces first time.
Kyprios (Aidan O’Brien) Derby entry, brother to yesterday’s Chester Cup winner, Falcon Eight, and an Irish Leger winner. Winning run back at Cork but raised doubts about his stamina. Cheekpieces first time.
Recovery Run (Andrew Balding) Derby entry. Stable won the Chester Vase with Youth Spirit. Group-3 placed as a two-year-old, well behind in the Sandown Classic Trial.
Scope (Ralph Beckett) Derby entry; dam related to an Oaks winner. Heavy-ground mile winner at Newbury in his first season, runner-up at Newmarket (1m 3f) firm) carrying a penalty; hung right.
Third Realm (Roger Varian) Sea The Stars colt; Derby entry. Showed stamina in a Nottingham maiden on firm; has to take big step up today.
DEJA VIEW IF FIGHT TAKES THIS
⭕ 2.30 Ascot Deja, clear in the ratings and with four wins on slow or soft ground, was beaten just half-a-length, giving weight to the winner, in the Duke Of Edinburgh Handicap (soft) at Royal Ascot last year.
Deja easily beat Laafy, giving him 7lb, in the Old Newton Cup at Haydock last July, but made a sluggish start to the new campaign when only seventh, more than 13 lengths behind, in the John Porter.
The second horse home was Without A Fight, another soft-ground specialist and an improving four-year-old, with two years of potential improvement in hand of Deja.
BETDAQ value 6.6 Without A Fight
⭕ 3.10 Haydock (Swinton Hurdle) Evan Williams has won this four times in seven seasons, and Ballinsker has been well prepared for number five.
BETDAQ value 8.6 Ballinsker
IT’S JUST A BREEZE FOR SIR MARK
⭕ 3.40 Ascot (Victoria Cup) Whatever you fancy on form, you also need an outsider here: only one favourite has scored in the decade and there have been winners at 10-1, 12-1, 16-1, 20-1 (twice) and 25-1. Four-year-olds 5, five-year-olds 3.
Extremes of the draw win this on soft going – very low and very high – with a pace preponderance to the high side this time, according to the pace.
Sir Mark Prescott is 100% on turf this year: one runner, one winner (Alpinista). His Sunset Breeze has the breeding for the ground (by Pivotal) and for improvement (dam’s sire, Shamardal), and goes well fresh. Stall 29.
Another from a high stall, River Nymph (24), won over the Ascot CD last July before defeat on soft ground at Newbury of the consistent Tranchee
From stall 13, Motakhayyel won the Buckingham Palace Handicap at the Royal Ascot meeting on softish ground last summer and followed up in the Bunbury Cup.
Gelded over the winter, Motakhayyel, who usually wins first time back, was feeling the weight when beaten on his debut at Thirsk, and has a big burden again today, massively worse off with Buckingham Palace runner-up, Jack’s Point.
BETDAQ value 12.5 Sunset Breeze, 14.5 River Nymph
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.15 Lingfield (win 10)
BET 1.25pts win DIVINELY
2.30 Ascot (win 20)
BET 3.5pts win WITHOUT A FIGHT
2.50 Lingfield (win 10, nap)
BET 10pts win ADAYAR
3.10 Haydock (win 10)
BET 1.25pts win BALLINSKER
3.40 Ascot (win 50 bull’s-eye bets)
BET 4.25pts win SUNSET BREEZE
BET 3.75pts win RIVER NYMPH
4.15 Ascot (win 10)
BET 3pts win LOUGANINI
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
