A WEEK OF WINNERS FOR DAQMAN PUNTERS: 10 winners in a week, five of them naps; that’s Daqman’s Saturday-to-Friday haul. He’s been ‘fantastic’, and he’s been ‘magic’..
Friday: Magic! A winner a day for a week.
WON 7-2 MAGIC DANCER from BETDAQ 4.8
Thursday: profit on the day 3.50 points
WON 5-2 FANTASTIC LADY from BETDAQ 3.9
Wednesday: profit on the day 6.30 points
WON 4-6 GREEN VAULT (nap) five consecutive naps!
Tuesday: fourth nap in a row
WON 10-11 OZZIE MAN (nap) from BETDAQ 2.28
Monday: profit on the day 14.40 points
WON 7-2 DALAMOI from BETDAQ 6.5
WON 10-11 ATTACA (nap) from BETDAQ 2.20
Sunday: profit on the day 15 points
WON 13-8 DUKE DE SESSA (nap) from BETDAQ 3.1
Saturday: 3-0 big-race hat-trick over Pricewise
WON 42-10 TUESDAY from BETDAQ 7.0
WON 9-4 FRODON from BETDAQ 4.0
WON 11-8 MODERN GAMES (supernap)
BULL’S-EYE BIG RACE BETS TODAY: Daqman follows the terrestrial TV cameras to Cheltenham and Lingfield today, with bets on BETDAQ at 15.0 and 19.5 with win-50 bull’s-eye targets and a 4.7 nap. Headlines:
15.0 UMBRIGADO: THANKYOU BETDAQ
BRIDGE BUILDING CHASING CAREER
SUMMERGHAND PURE AUTUMN GOLD
SHEARER TO SCORE DESPITE PENALTY
BLINKERS HAVE BALLET ON HIS TOES
15.0 UMBRIGADO: THANKYOU BETDAQ
⭕ 2.20 Cheltenham (Autumn Gold Cup) STATS + LAYS LOGIC: See Thursday.
Whenever he wins, he wins again next time. To say that Umbrigado just has to hold his form again is not quite what we’re after but it certainly sets him on course.
His strike a month back was a warm-up in a hurdles race on his local track at Newton Abbot. He won all right and, as it was a hurdle, his chase weight remained pegged at 144.
That’s the mark on which Umbrigado (whose name means ‘thankyou’) won the Greatwood Gold Cup on a similar soundish surface at Newbury in March, after scoring in his warm-up, this time at Wetherby.
Now, in first-time blinkers, he has to prove himself over the Cheltenham fences at a time when David Pipe’s stable is flying with a near-30% win rate and on the course yesterday Tom Scudamore could not hide his confidence.
Showing a similar 30%-plus level of form, Sam Thomas has no need to worry about Stolen Silver’s ability to handle the course.
He won the Silver Trophy at Cheltenham in April, after running fourth in the Plate at the festival.
The snag with him, and with Mouse Morris’ Grade-3 winner, French Dynamite, is giving weight to others at the front of the market.
Former front-runner Ga Law, for example, is a Grade-2 winner and Grade-1 placed, which put him at the top of my ABC guide.
He made a promising return under hold-up tactics in the Old Roan Chase at Aintree but he had missed last season and the worry today is the ‘bounce’ factor.
Another on a handy mark is Il Ridoto for Paul Nicholls, whose stable is striking nearer 50% right now. Nicholls was tempted to go chasing with him – he won over 2m at Newbury – when he was only four.
He failed to sparkle after that and it remains to be seen whether he can come back after a long holiday plus a wind op.
Also with a trainer in form and also on a comeback mission is one-time Ultima runner-up Happygolucky. Galahad Quest has run well over the CD but is only 1-11 over fences.
Front-runner Coole Cody won this race in 2020 but is 11 now – rain would help – in a race won by young horses.
I tipped last year’s winner, Midnight Shadow (9-1) and followed the runner-up, Protektorat, in Fortune Cookies. Maybe it’s Midnight River this time, ready to step up from the novice ranks after thrashing his field at Stratford 25 lengths.
But I’ll stick with previous winners of this type of race: Umbrigado and Stolen Silver, both from stables in top form.
Betdaq Betting Exchange 6.3 Stolen Silver, 15.0 Umbrigado
BRIDGE BUILDING CHASING CAREER
⭕ 1.45 Cheltenham (Arkle Trial) Arkle winner Put The Kettle On and Grand Annual star Le Prezien have both won this recently.
Joseph O’Brien’s Banbridge landed the Martin Pipe at the festival in March and his easy debut win over fences at Gowran on the first of October suggested he’ll now take high rank chasing.
Tommys Oscar won four hurdles in a row, including the Haydock Champion Hurdle Trial and he, too, won on his chasing debut at Carlisle.
The 2019 Triumph Hurdle hero Pentland Hills walked over when due to tackle the Huntingdon fences two weeks back. It didn’t please Nicly Henderson that he missed valuable experience for today’s race.
BETDAQ value 2.9 Banbridge
SUMMERGHAND PURE AUTUMN GOLD
⭕ 2.35 Lingfield Judicial, winner of this 6f sprint in 2019 and second last year, is 10 now but has just scored at Beverley, as he did before the 2019 victory.
Another old-timer, Summerghand, who won here in the Spring of 2021, took the Ayr Gold Cup the last day in September and is 32 times placed (15 wins) in 72 races.
This would take his earnings up to half-a-million pounds, and a BETDAQ win bet at 3.8 would take 7pts to near enough 20!
SHEARER TO SCORE DESPITE PENALTY
⭕ 2.55 Cheltenham A weakish renewal of this 3m handicap hurdle, so that even 10-year-old On The Blind Side has a chance.
Rated a pound lower than when he won the race two years ago, he’s 8lb higher in the weights off 12st, and he doesn’t have the soft ground that he likes.
Shearer has won three out of four hurdles, stepping up to this 3m, and being raised 19lb. May progress further.
The handicapper has given up on Padleyourowncanoe, dropping him 12lb for three defeats totalling 95 lengths but he was backed early doors.
Another one down the handicap is Jatiluwih, whose stable has won this twice in nine years: 10lb lower than when he ran in the Pertemps Final of 2020.
He was hiked in the weights for winning five in a row, culminating in success here at Cheltenham in a race similar to today’s but 2m 5f.
BETDAQ value 4.2 Shearer, 19.5 Jatiluwih
BLINKERS HAVE BALLET ON HIS TOES
⭕ 3.10 Lingfield (Churchill Stakes) A 1m 2f Listed that’s been won by subsequent Group winners, including Master The World and Pyledriver. Eight out of 10 have been aged three or four.
After Missed The Cut completed a hat-trick at Royal Ascot, he was stepped up to a Group 2 on the soft at Deauville, but may do better on this surface (related to AW winners).
The dangers include Bolshoi Ballet, who won the Group-1 Belmont Derby last June, and is blinkered first time in this.
Harrovian was runner-up to Pyledriver in this last year, going for a Team Gosden hat-trick and missing out by only half a length.
What sways me to Bolshoi Ballet is that he’s won all his races sweeping round the long left-hand loops of Leopardstown. Blinkered to sharpen him up today.
BETDAQ value 4.7 Bolshoi Ballet
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.45 Cheltenham (win 20)
BET 10pts win BANBRIDGE
2.20 Cheltenham (win 50, win 21)
BULL’S-EYE BET 3.5pts win UMBRIGADO
BET 4pts win STOLEN SILVER
2.35 Lingfield (win 20)
BET 7pts win SUMMERGHAND
2.55 Cheltenham (win 50, win 16)
BULL’S-EYE BET 2.75pts win JATILUWIH
BET 5pts win SHEARER
3.10 Lingfield (win 30 nap)
BET 8pts win BOLSHOI BALLET
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