IT’S CHRISTMAS EVERY DAY ON BETDAQ: Daqman’s tips are daily proof of how BETDAQ is superior to the bookies. In his first bets of the Cheltenham season yesterday, the two offers taken in the morning on BETDAQ were at least DOUBLE the SP, and his staking plan meant that he finished in front on the day:
WON 9-2 FIRST ASSIGNMENT (9.8 on BETDAQ)
WON (3RD 7-1) CHRISTMAS IN APRIL (18.5 w/p)
DAQMAN 242 POINTS UP ON PRICEWISE: Daqman goes into Saturday 79-24 up on Pricewise of the Racing Post, with a profit of 99 points to single-unit stakes, alongside a Pricewise loss of 143. Today’s Pricewise has brought in reinforcements and stepped up the challenge with seven tips in five races: 2.00 Cheltenham, 2.50 Newbury, 3.25 Doncaster, 3.45 Cheltenham, 4.05 Doncaster.
HAS BIG HOBBS PUNT GONE WEST?
YOUNG RASCAL RATES BANKER BET
AL MUFTI CLASSIC TRIALS PLANNED
DANCER A ‘HIDDEN HORSE’ AT 37.0
HAS BIG HOBBS PUNT GONE WEST
2.00 Cheltenham Philip Hobbs, who has won this five times in the decade, has seen a plunge for this race on his seven-year-old For Good Measure, which smacks of a ‘job’ because he’s brother to the stable’s Balthazar King, who landed a hat-trick in the race.
The punt is certainly not inspired by the form: Measure has never measured up after a break (002043); hasn’t scored in nearly three years; hasn’t won a chase, in fact.
The step up in trip will need to count for a lot on going that is on top; his only success has come on heavy ground.
The weights mean that Richard Johnson, who has won this race five times in the decade, four times for Hobbs, switches to West Approach (goes well fresh) for Colin Tizzard today.
Wind surgery need do no more than tweak Braqueur d’Or’s form to bring him into it. He was fourth in the Ladbrokes Trophy here last December. Prefers top of the ground.
West Approach was 157 over hurdles and his 18.5 was best value on BETDAQ this morning; Braqueur d’Or was 8.6. If the form and the going preference are any guide, For Good Measure’s 8.2 offers are not a measure of his chances here but we might be missing out.
YOUNG RASCAL RATES BANKER BET
2.20 Newbury (St Simon Stakes) Young Rascal has won two out of two after a break, both times at Newbury, both on soft.
Last time, in the old Arc Trial, he had Desert Skyline more than four lengths fourth. Banker (2.32 this morning on BETDAQ). Note for coincidence fans: Young Rascal runs in this one; Dirty Rascal in the next, the 2.50.
2.35 Cheltenham Hobbs again at the front of the market with Gumball (rated 148), upsides Alan King’s Redicean (147), their ratings on a par with, or close to, the best winners of this, Dodging Bullets (148) and Tiger Roll (150). Tricky one.
2.45 Saint-Cloud (Criterium) Most of the field – six out of 10 – are from English and Irish stables for a prize won last year by Waldgeist, who scored four in a row this season and was fourth in the Arc.
Twice a winner, Norway (Aidan O’Brien) is a full brother to Derby hero Ruler Of The World. Shambolic (John Gosden) has also won two but was well behind Iridessa in the Fillies Mile, and colts usually win this.
Shoot For Gold, by Sea The Stars, stormed seven-lengths clear of the Newbury winner Politicise, but his own runner-up at Newbury, Phosphor, was beaten yesterday.
AL MUFTI CLASSIC TRIALS PLANNED
2.50 Newbury (Horris Hill Stakes) Not a single favourite has won this in the decade. Not a one. And no one will be more nervous than Mick Channon, whose colt heads the market.
He’s taken a punt on him, nipping in to enter Chairmanoftheboard for the Irish 2,000 Guineas at £500 before the entry fee shoots up to £10,000. So he wins twice today if the horse does.
‘Chairman’ strolled home eight lengths at Goodwood.
Azano also trotted up on the last day but John Gosden has won it only once. Fanaar is better than the bare form.
But my man in the long grass insists on the progressive Almufti (12.5 on BETDAQ after withdrawals, leaving three chances of a place from the nine that are left).
Hugo Palmer is already planning the Greenham or the Craven for a Classic-trial start to next season.
3.25 Doncaster Pricewise picks this race on behalf of the bookies. You could pin-prick half a dozen and still not get a hit.
I’ll stick to stalls 16 and 17, which have shared half the winners of this in the decade: Tarboosh (14.0) and Erissimus Maximus (14.5) on BETDAQ.
DANCER A ‘HIDDEN HORSE’ AT 37.0
3.45 Cheltenham Another race where it’s not easy to get an edge. The going is good and the stats say you need a ‘hidden’ three-miler with a sub-11st weight from a top yard.
Notwhatiam sauntered home at Uttoxeter, not asked a serious question: 8.0 on BETDAQ this morning. I’ll take a huge-priced alternative higher up the handicap, a 37.0 offer.
Nigel Twiston-Davies has prepared two previous winners of this race that have never won another over regulation hurdles or fences again.
His seven-year-old, Goodbye Dancer, has a big weight but could have been ‘got up’ for it. His form under Sam Twiston-Davies is 11142221, still standing; with other riders 0040400020, still standing.
4.05 Doncaster (Futurity Trophy) The last shall be first. The final two-year-old Group-1 trial produced the first Group-1 Classic winning colt, Saxon Warrior, last season.
Last year’s runner-up was Roaring Lion, whose connections have Kick On running today but with the same John Gosden stable’s Turgenev more strongly fancied under Frankie Dettori.
Magna Grecia is the Saxon Warrior yard’s seeming first choice and is the saver to 6.0 Turgenev.
DAQMAN BETS
2.00 Cheltenham (win 50, win 30, win 30)
BULL’S-EYE BET: 2.75pts win and place WEST APPROACH
BET 4pts win BRAQUEUR D’OR
BET 4pts win FOR GOOD MEASURE
2.20 Newbury (SP)
SUPERNAP: 20pts win YOUNG RASCAL
2.45 Saint-Cloud (SP)
BET 5pts win NORWAY
2.50 Newbury (win 30 the win, win 20 the place)
BET 2.6pts win, 10pts place AL MUFTI
3.25 Doncaster (win 20)
BET 1.5pts win and place TARBOOSH
BET 1.5pts win and place ERISSIMUS MAXIMUS
3.45 Cheltenham (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET 7pts win NOTWHATIAM
BULL’S-EYE BET 1.4pts win and place GOODBYE DANCER
4.05 Doncaster (win 30)
BET 6pts win TURGENEV
STAKES SAVER 3.25pts win MAGNA GRECIA
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
