DARING DAQMAN INSISTS 15.5 SHOT IS THROWN IN: Bookmakers survive on the temptation for punters to bet in sprint handicaps. The bigger the field the bigger the certainty that you will lose, so you must have the value offers that only BETDAQ provides. More about that from Daqman next week as he throws his hat into the Great St Wilfrid sprint and its consolation at 8.2, 9.0 and 15.5. Is the 15.5 offer really ‘thrown in’?
LOOK’S GOOD FOR A QUICK ONE-TWO
THIS IS RIGHT UP CHARLIE’S STREET
AL QAHWA THROWN IN FOR O’MEARA
WHY THIS RACE COULD BE A BREEZE
LOOK’S GOOD FOR A QUICK ONE-TWO
2.05 Ripon (Silver Trophy) This Consolation for the Great St Wilfrid is a favourite’s graveyard.
Hee Haw, Mr Wagyu and Gin In The Inn are the CD winners. Girl In The Inn has dropped to the mark off which he beat a big hope later on today, Al Qahwa in April, albeit receiving 11lb, but he seems to go best after a break.
Hee Haw has never won higher than class 4, and has it to find with Quick Look on York form last month. Both would be struggling against Paddy Power on June form at the same course but Paddy’s form at Ripon is 4000.
There’s pace on both sides of the draw, and it’s all ‘ifs and buts’. I shall take a chance with Quick Look (8.2 on BETDAQ this morning), who put back-to-back wins together last backend. His 5lb boy nullifies his penalty for scoring at York three weeks ago.
THIS IS RIGHT UP CHARLIE’S STREET
2.25 Newbury (Geoffrey Freer Stakes) Raymond Tiusk beat a modest field at Hamilton and the handicapper says that Dal Harrailld has not improved an ounce since the Spring of last year.
Algometer’s Group-2 second at Longchamp on the last day came in a race without pace and the runner-up had earlier beaten him easily at York.
Charlie Appleby has a strong hand with his Melbourne Cup pair, unlucky-at-R oyal-Ascot Walton Street (8.8 on BETDAQ) and four-wins-in-a-row Hamada (3.15, offers) who both deserve this chance to move into the Pattern from handicaps.
AL QAHWA THROWN IN FOR O’MEARA
3.15 Ripon (Great St Wilfrid Handicap) Pipers Note (2nd) and Flying Pursuit (5th) are back from last year. Pipers Note was also fourth the year before but there hasn’t been a winner over the age of seven since 1992.
Flying Pursuit beat the 2016 hero of this race over CD on the soft last autumn but looks high in the handicap now, after pipping Golden Apollo a neck in the York Dash (also on soft) three weeks ago.
Kimberella is another CD winner who also scored on the last day. He’s won five times under Paul Hanagan, but Paul switches to Growl for the same stable.
Growl is 10lb lower than when ninth last year. Fourth in the Dash and third in the Stewards Cup, he is one of those expensive nearly horses. Well placed in the handicap still but last won in November, 2016.
Reputation is 6lb higher than when winning over the Ripon CD in May but is well in with Pipers Note and Flying Pursuit.
The middle draw does well and Ice Age catches the eye, placed 20 times in 32 races and currently 5-12. Often fast away but settled nicely when scoring at Windsor in July.
However, Al Qahwa, beaten little more than a length by Ice Age last autumn, is now 16lb better off, if you include Conor McGovern’s 5lb allowance. The boy has a 20% strike rate right now and trainer David O’Meara has won this three times in the decade.
Unfancied from a bad draq, Al Qahwa was behind Spring Loaded and Foolaad in the Wokingham but in front of Growl, ice Age and Flying Pursuit.
Foolaad has been dropped 5lb since then, and is now lower than for the last of his sequence of five successes (December-April).
Teruntum Star won the consolation Silver Trophy (2.05 race) last year but the second and third have failed to score in a plethora of races since.
He is up 8lb on that performance but won at York over only a pound lower than today and is better off with the runner-up, Spring Loaded (though not so with the third, Flying Pursuit).
However, previous winners of the consolation have finished only fourth, sixth, eight and 15th in the main race the following year.
VALUE Pricewise and his lemmings have finally dropped last year’s beaten favourite Growl (get on!) and Al Qahwa is ‘chucked in’ on some form. I took 9.0 and 15.5 respectively on BETDAQ early mouse.
3.20 and 4.30 Newmarket My men in the long grass tell me to climb on board the Jason Watson bandwagon while he still has some claim left.
Syrian Pearl has been laid out for the 3.20 but early whispers for Huge Future seem to have gone hoarse, so I’m going to Saunter (4.30) along at 4.2 BETDAQ for the nap, with trainer Ian Williams seemingly setting up his own pace via Baydar.
WHY THIS RACE COULD BE A BREEZE
3.35 Newbury (Hungerford Stakes) It’s 4-4, three-year-olds versus four-year-olds in the last eight years, and the ratings say there’s just a pound separating Gustav Klimt for the Classic generation against Sir Dancealot.
Breton Rock and Dans Dream are both course-and-distance winners when’s there’s been cut in the ground and, because of Sir Dancealot’s Gropup-2 penalty, Breton Rock is entitled to gain revenge for the neck that separated them at Goodwood.
Gustav Klimt is the Classic nearly horse, sixth and third in the English and Irish Guineas, and that continues in three more Group-1 attempts, in the first four without winning.
If this turns into a sprint, with the cut in the ground, both could be upset (though I couldn’t get better than 4.3) Librisa Breeze.
Librisa Breeze has scored up to 1m 2f yet was fast enough to win the champion sprint at Ascot.
He seems to save his best for Ascot but was second in the Hungerford last year and could come good with the ‘stars’ of the race having had long seasons already.
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.0 Ripon (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET 7pts win QUICK LOOK
2.25 Newbury (win 10 and win 20)
BET 4pts win HAMADA
BET 2.5pts win WALTON STREET
2.45 Newmarket (win 20 at 8.8)
BET 2.5pts win COUNT OTTO
3.00 Newbury (win 30 at 15.0)
BET 2pts win and place GRAPHITE STORM
3.15 Ripon (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET 3.5pts win and place AL QAHWA
BULL’S-EYE BET 6.25pts win GROWL
3.20 Newmarket (win 30 at 6.4)
BET 5.5pts win SYRIAN PEARL
3.35 Newbury (win 20)
BET 6.25pts win LIBRISA BREEZE
BET 2.75pts win (stakes saver) GUSTAV KLIMT
4.30 Newmarket (win 20)
BET 6pts win (nap) SAUNTER
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
