SATURDAY FEAST OF BETDAQ OFFERS: Newmarket, Newbury, The Curragh and Market Rasen. A Classic, a big chase, a big hurdle; a cavalry-charge sprint, and some hot handicaps. You’ve never had it so good on BETDAQ today with punter-friendly offers across the cards.
DAQMAN STATE OF PLAY
DAQMAN 49, PRICEWISE 17
17 BANKERS WIN OUT OF 23
BULL’S-EYE BETS UP 167 POINTS
44-1 BIG-RACE BULL’S-EYE DOUBLE
1.50 Newmarket We’re back to ‘anybody’s guess’ about the ground: officially good; storms forecast; amount of rain not known.
Llanarmon Lad is raised 6lb for winning over further on today’s course but the mighty-atom, claimer Cam Hardie, brings his weight back down to a similar mark.
He likes a bit of cut in the ground, whereas that formidable handicapper for more than four years now, Prince Of Johanne, wants a wide-open track with a firmish surface.
Music Theory, a nine lengths winner on this course as a two-year-old, might threaten to win this a similar distance, if he reproduced his third to Kingman in the Solario Stakes last August. But we haven’t seen him since.
The other three-year-old is Tanseeb. Lines through Sea Shanty and Abseil put him on a par, if not better than, Llanarmon Lad.
Tanseeb ran second to Sea Shanty at Sandown before that one finished fourth in the Royal Hunt Cup and is a Bull’s-Eye Bet today at 6.6 over Llanarmon Lad.
2.25 Newmarket Three-year-olds are on four in a row in this. John Gosden has won it twice recently. Add those stats together and you get Criteria, seond in the Lingfield Oaks Trial and third in the ‘Ascot Oaks’, the Ribblesdale.
Anipa didn’t give her true form in the Epsom Classic and maybe worth a place but Criteria should get the pace she needs from Special Meaning.
3.50 Newbury (Super Sprint) As with Newmarket, showers on a firmish surface could be lethal. And there is no telling ‘if’ and ‘when’ (the tautology to beat them all). All those successful in the decade, bar a winner on soft ground, came from stalls 1-13.
Not Much between Queen Mary runner-up Tiggy Wiggy and Windsor Castle fifth Haxby (stall 10) on a line through Roudee.
Harry’s Dancer, the Queen Mary eighth, drawn on the wrong side, has more than stone to help him bridge the gap with Tiggy Wiggy but comes out of stall 18 here.
And the stand-out on form must be Realtra, whose Naas conqueror, Beache Belle has only Group 1 and 2 entries. Realtra (6.8 on BETDAQ today) earlier ran Sarista to a nose before that ones unlucky Windsor Castle fourth (drawn on the wrong side).
NAP AND DOUBLE: I shall double Tanseeb and Realtra (around 44-1 at the offers I took) with Criteria, the nap. I hope not too much rain to spoil the day.
OAKS IS TAILOR-MADE FOR TAPESTRY
3.00 The Curragh This is the kingmaker race. It’s been won by such stars as Australia and New Approach and nearly-greats like Teofilo, with Aidan O’Brien or Jim Bolger aces winning a total of 70% of the time.
The BETDAQ betting this morning says that, if there is another one here, it will be St Patrick’s Day, though O’Brien fields three in the race.
My place hope is Zylan (from the family of Moonlight Cloud), with Johnny Murtagh having saddled 12 of his last 16 runners in the first four. Zylan was 14.0 and 4.4 win and place this morning.
5.45 The Curragh (Irish Oaks) There hasn’t been an Oaks winner in the decade at a bigger SP than 9-2, but Aidan O’Brien has had 18 losers in the race in the five years since completing a hat-trick between 2006 and 2008.
His five of the 11 starters today include those being steered by two champion jockeys and his 18-year-old daughter, Ana, making history as first woman to ride in this Oaks.
The defection of the 118-rated Epsom Oaks winner Taghrooda in favour of a crack at the King George has probably helped this field hold up to 11 runners.
Of the Epsom Oaks trio – Tarfasha, Volume (both 111) and Marvellous (116), second, third and sixth – Marvellous, one of the Ballydoyle quintet, blinkered first time, doesn’t have the stamina in her pedigree of the other two.
And Joseph O’Brien holds faith in Tapestry, who might have been top of the two-year-old filly ratings had she not been hampered behind Rizeena in the Moyglare last autumn.
Tapestry looked well on her way back, behind Rizeena again, in the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot and today’s step up to 1m 4f should bring about a transformation.
SOME HOT PICKENS OVER THE STICKS
2.55 Market Rasen (Summer Hurdle) They’re gangin’ along the Legsby road to see the Rasen races! This is the track that’s going right to the top next year, with huge improvements planned to an already attractive venue. Just so long as they don’t muck it about too much, as they say in them there parts.
John Ferguson’s form since Sunday is 1221 and his five-year-old Purple Bay is 2114222 in the last nine months, and weighted to reverse May form with Roman Flight.
But there are some hot improvers. All three in the frame behind Uriah Heep at Stratford were winners on their previous start. The handicapper was impressed when Max Ward beat a pair of last-time winners at Aintree a month back and hiked him 10lb. But is it enough?
On a line through Minella Reception, Max is 12lb better than Ferguson’s other runner, Honour System, but gives him only 8lb this afternoon.
Rising novice Slim Pickens made Degooch seem standing still at Worcester, though Degooch had been first or second in six starts over 14 months and has scored again since.
A race clearly wide open at 8.0 the field on BETDAQ early mouse, but on a track tailor-made for Slim Pickens and Uriah Heep (10.0) to come out of the slipstream of Hawkhill and Laudatory in the long straight.
3.30 Market Rasen (Summer Plate) Tony McCoy, level as a jockey with Martin Pipe’s training successes (4,191 winners) until the start of this meeting, appropriately rides It’s A Gimme. Is this McCoy’s record-breaker? Team Pipe says Guess Again.
While It’s A Gimme has yet to stretch this far, Guess Again has been winning beyond 3m and you’d wonder if this tight track will play to his strengths. The answer is that Kie, Pantxoa, The Nephew and Woodbank are all front-runners, so the pace is expected to be strong.
Book’em Danno, who has scored six times on this Lincoln circuit, now has Grandad’s Horse breathing down his neck at the revised weights after their one-two over CD in June.
BETDAQ to the rescue on my indecision: I can back both It’s A Gimme (5.2) and Guess Again (9.6) for a reasonable profit.
DAQMAN’S BETS (all staked to win 20 points, except win-50 bull’s-eye bets and Daq Multiples)
BULL’S-EYE BET (to win 50 points): 9pts win TANSEEB, and (win 20) 3.7pts win LLANARMON LAD (1.50 Newmarket)
BET 6pts win (nap) CRITERIA (2.25 Newmarket)
BET 2.8pts win SLIM PICKENS and 2.2pts win URIAH HEEP (2.55 Market Rasen)
BET 1.5pts win and 5.8pts place ZYLAN (3.00 The Curragh)
BET 4.7pts win IT’S A GIMME and 2.3pts win GUESS AGAIN (3.30 Market Rasen)
BULL’S-EYE BET (to win 50): 8.5pts win REALTRA (3.50 Newbury)
BET 8pts win TARFASHA and 3.5pts win TAPESTRY (5.45 The Curragh)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 3 x 1pt win doubles and 1pt win treble Tanseeb (1.50 Newmarket), Criteria (2.55 Newmarket) Realtra (3.50 Newbury)
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