DAQMAN IN SPECIAL BETS SPIRAL: TWO OUT OF TWO: ONE TODAY: Daqman has gone back to back with a supernap on Thursday (Outlaw Peter WON 1-1) and a Fortune Cookie yesterday (Inspiral WON 8-11). There’s another supernap today. Standings:
DAQMAN 55, PRICEWISE 34
SUPERNAPS 17-25 (68%)
LAYS LOGIC 13-18 (72%)
FORTUNE COOKIES 14-35 (40%)
DAQMAN FINDS 34.0 SHOT WHO TRAVELS BETTER THAN GULLIVER: Daqman warned you of Willie Mullins’ Cesarewitch four-timer bid in his preview on Wednesday. He finds his top two difficult to split but does so with a 60.0 outsider. Something will place at a big price but has he got the right one? At York, Gulliver is the sequence horse. Can his hat-trick be foiled by a 34.0 shot who travels well and is courageous?
MULLINS SCENTS FOURTH VICTORY
COROEBUS GODOLPHIN’S BANKER
NOT A STRAIGHT FORWARD TRAIL
34.0 VERHOYEN SO COURAGEOUS
MULLINS SCENTS FOURTH VICTORY
⭕ 3.35 Newmarket (Cesarewitch Handicap) The Willie Mullins quintet which I took for my preview on Wednesday were those already jockeyed up. The party has since become a sextet, completed by Micro Manage, with Colin Keane in the saddle.
In the manner of the trends for today’s race, Micro managed to win at the Galway Festival before being put away for this.
But the stable hat-trick, completed by Great White Shark last year, has been with horses drawn 13, 20 and 24, which follows the trend of the three previous years: 15, 23, 14. That makes Micro Manage the odd one out again, low drawn in 7.
Calling The Wind and Elysian Flame have been consistent in staying handicaps but the one with some potential despite his age, is Scaramanga (coming out of 14).
He faces a Herculean task to outride and outgun all six from the Mullins posse, who can set the pace, ride the rails.. whatever. They have a horse for all seasons somewhere in the team.: my best guess is Burning Victory.
1: Burning Victory (Willie Mullins, William Buick, 25) The Triumph Hurdle winner at Cheltenham last year, has won 2-2 handicaps on the Flat since June.
Seems to act on any going; a lovely big mare with a huge engine (quote unquote W Mullins) who is ‘not the best jumpers in the world.’ So this race is not just a sideline.
2: Scaramanga (Paul Nicholls, Jim Crowley, 14): he’s won two hurdles and a Flat race in four outings this year, with his hurdles rating suggesting he’s still a stone well in on the flat.
If this were a hurdle, the ratings – rounded to weight – would be 155 Scaramanga, 142 Burning Victory, the rest nowhere.
Scaramanga appears to have his optimum conditions of good to soft, not too soft, and missed the Goodwood Handicap won by Calling The Wind to wait for this.
3: M C Muldoon (Willie Mullins, Ryan Moore, 15). Mullins has described him as a grand type of horse who does nothing but gallop, as he did in a Galway novice hurdle at Ballybrit in July.
4: Calling The Wind (Richard Hughes, Pat Dobbs, 27). Despite rising in the weights, has been in at the finish from 1m 4f to 2m 5f, including winning the Goodwood Handicap and runner-up in the Queen Alexandra at Royal Ascot.
BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE 7.2 M C Muldoon, 10.0 Burning Victory, 60 Scaramanga (8.6 place)
COROEBUS GODOLPHIN’S BANKER
⭕ 2.02 York Ever Given, one of the most exposed of the two-year-olds running today but also the one who keeps on giving. The word on the grapevine is for BETDAQ 6.0 bet Gisburn, seemingly a top colt in the making until he had a setback.
⭕ 2.20 Newmarket (Autumn Stakes) Charlie Appleby, who won this for the boys in blue with Ghaiyyath (2017) and One Ruler last year, has a third Dubawi colt in Coroebus.
As I assess the Dewhurst (below), I find Royal Patronage a hub of the form, yet he beat Coroebus only a neck in the Royal Lodge, Coroebus going too soon..
Punters who bet the short shots – like the superb Inspiral yesterday, will want to be on a Godolphin double in the two-year-old races today with Coroebus and Indian Trail.
BETDAQ value Coroebus looks a bet at a shade of odds on (1.94 BETDAQ); Native Trail at 1.82 doesn’t; the race looks like an early Guineas!
NOT A STRAIGHT FORWARD TRAIL..
⭕ 2.55 Newmarket (Dewhurst Stakes) The winner has a superstar to follow; St Mark’s Basilica was no ordinary scorer 12 months ago, taking the 2021 French Guineas and Derby, Coral-Eclipse and Irish Champion Stakes.
Connections of Curragh National Stakes winner Native Trail will be plotting such a sequence if the colt can hold off supplemented Straight Answer (Ger Lyons), who so ran away with the Listed Blenheim Stakes at Fairyhouse that a ratings expert I know insists he is already 120 to Native Trail’s 122.
Straight Answer is by the champion sire of two-year-olds, Kodiac, who yesterday had the Oh So Sharp winner, Fast Attack.
Bayside Boy can also be marked up as better than 112 after holding the 114 colt Reach For The Moon in the Champagne Stakes at the Doncaster St Leger meeting.
But Dubawi Legend won his maiden at Doncaster in a time much faster than Bayside Boy, and scoped badly after his defeat in the Acomb at York behind subsequent Royal Lodge winner, Royal Patronage.
Lays Logic Native Trail leaves it late in his races and I’ve watched Straight Answer up the tempo from the front. I won’t be on the Trail of odds on when there are others in the race clearly underrated and with exceptional speed. Native Trail’s odds on means that the BETDAQ orange is wide open at 7.6 bar one off a 103% total percentage this morning.
BETDAQ value 7.6 Straight Answer, 17.0 Dubawi Legend
34.0 VERHOYEN SO COURAGEOUS
⭕ 3.15 York (Coral Sprint) Gulliver goes for a hat-trick in this but is on the ‘wrong’ side of the 6f course, coming out of 21, whereas his winning years have been from stalls 5 and 6.
In fact, single-figure stalls have won seven of the last eight, five of them on softish ground (the conditions today), yet Gulliver won both times down the middle of the track.
Ado McGuinness has just won the Abbaye with one of his sprinters, A Case Of You, and Laugh A Minute (stall 2) is down a stone since the Spring and has finished close up in a couple of big field sprints recently.
Like Capote’s Dream (gate 8), he has never won on soft ground: the differences are that Capote is an improver and Laugh A Minute has a modest strike rate.
Commanche Falls could also feature down the middle (from 11); he’s won four out of seven and beat Gulliver in the Stewards Cup. Is he too high in the handicap now?
Mr Wagyu (6) has been placed behind Capote’s Dream and Commanche Falls as he has risen up the handicap.
Air Raid (10) and Verhoyen (19) are interesting as the two most lightly raced this season. Air Raid has won in the mud off his current mark and has had a wind op.
Verhoyen easily took a big-field sprint on soft-heavy at the Curragh in the Spring, making all. That’s hard to do here at York but he has bags of courage. Can he hang on in there?
He may not even lead but get a tow from Copper Knight (drawn 16); the pair could come clear, which would create a target for Gulliver!
BETDAQ value 11.0 Gulliver, 34.0 Verhoyen
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.02 York (win 20)
BET 4pts win GISBURN
2.20 Newmarket (supernap)
BET 10pts win COROEBUS
2.55 Newmarket (win 30, place win 10)
BET 4.5pts win STRAIGHT ANSWER
BET 1.85pts win and 4.15pts place DUBAWI LEGEND
3.15 York (win 50 bull’s-eye bets, win 10 place)
BET 5pts win GULLIVER
BET 1.5pts win and 2.5pts place VERHOYEN
3.35 Newmarket (win 50 bull’s-eye bets, win 20 place)
BET 8pts win M C MULDOON
BET 5pts win BURNING VICTORY
BET 1pt win and 2.5pts place SCARAMANGA
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
