DAQMAN 14-1 STRIKE AT BETDAQ 19.0: A 14-1 hit on Soprano had Daqman singing around the bandstand at Royal Ascot, with three winners on the day, seven at the meeting and more big offers in his BETDAQ-value pick: 43.0 Epic Poet (2nd), 31.0 Perotto (3rd) and 30.0 Mission To The Moon (4th).
Friday
WON 14-1 SOPRANO (BETDAQ 19.0 to win 50 points)
WON 9-4 INISHERIN
WON 15-8 FAIRY GODMOTHER (Heavens Gate 3rd 8-1, BETDAQ 12.5)
Thursday
WON 11-10 KYPRIOS (Gold Cup)
Wednesday
WON 7-4 ILLINOIS (Highbury 2nd 3-1 same race)
WON 13-8 AUGUSTE RODIN (Horizon Dore 3rd 7-1, BETDAQ 9.7)
Tuesday
WON 5-2 ROSALLION (Fortune Cookie and nap)
Monday
WON 10-1 THURSDAY (day’s profit 25.00)
WON 4-9 GALAXY PRINCESS (BETDAQ 2.79)
MOORE OF THE SAME STORY
DAY-BY-DAY STATS: last Saturday. FORTUNE COOKIES: Monday.
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🎩 2.30 Royal Ascot (Chesham Stakes, 7f) Once upon a time there was a colt called Frankel who dated a filly who was sprint champion in the Nunthorpe at York; the Bedtime Story began.
But will it have a happy ending from stall 3? A low draw is trappy in this race, as it was in the 7f Buckingham Palace Stakes on Thursday (order in by stall: 26, 19, 23, 21, 18, 28, 30, 32, 27, 20), and it will be interesting to see Ryan Moore’s game plan unfold.
Lazy Griff (18) is likely to take them along and the obvious one to go after him is another Frankel, 650,000€ as a yearling Age Of Gold (12), but Charlie Appleby hasn’t reached a place at Ascot this week.
So I turn to 8.4 BETDAQ offer Pentle Bay (11), sold for £400,000 on Monday, after ‘looking like a Chesham horse’ when he won at Leicester; quote unquote George Boughey, who has had 16 winners in the last 13 days.
IT’S CONTINUOUS FOR O’BRIEN
DAY-BY-DAY STATS: last Saturday. FORTUNE COOKIES: Monday.
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🎩 3.05 Royal Ascot (Hardwicke Stakes, 1m 4f) Whatever happens to Bedtime Story, Royal Ascot domination by Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore is a continual saga.
Continuous (pictured below) has the quality narrative: Great Voltigeur and St Leger winner last year and within three lengths or so of the European champion, Ace Impact, in the Arc.
He’s a winner on debut and after a break, and all bar Middle Earth are half a stone lesser animals on the ratings.
Middle Earth was not suited to the mud in the Leger, surrounding a poor run there with four strikes, including the Melrose, on good or good to firm.
Desert Hero, the Leger third, was behind Middle Earth at Newbury in May, and I’m a whiskey man not a Jura. BETDAQ 3.1 Continuous.
CONDITIONS SUIT MILL STREAM
DAY-BY-DAY STATS: last Saturday. FORTUNE COOKIES: Monday.
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🎩 3.45 Royal Ascot (Jubilee Stakes, 6f) Believing was going to be a Fortune Cookie as a 6f filly and I wasn’t surprised when, drawn on the ‘wrong side’ in the one stall, she was beaten for speed in the 5f King Charles on Tuesday (I picked Big Evs who was third).
Now the quandary is: can Believing turn around in four days and make her mark in this Jubilee from her better draw? You need all of the BETDAQ 7.2.
Mill Stream looked better value this morning at 6.0.How things have changed since – on 9st 9lb – he failed by a length and a half to beat Quinault (8st 5lb) at York last June.
They now meet at levels under the conditions of this Group 1, though Qinault is rated 12lb lower.
Best outsider may be Shouldvebeenaring, a nose behind Mill Stream at York the last day; Washington Heights (dwelt) 4th, Art Power 5th.
Khaadem unseated at the start but still won last year at 80-1. Tough task for Oisin Murphy but the old boy behaved well enough for his York prep behind Mill Stream.
Betdaq Betting Exchange 6 Mill Stream, 15.5 Shouldavbeenaring, 18.5 Khaadem
RIVER RUNNING FOR A TREBLE
DAY-BY-DAY STATS: last Saturday. FORTUNE COOKIES: Monday.
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🎩 4.25 Royal Ascot (Jersey Stakes, 7f) Placed in two Guineas, can Haatem hold his form? His Curragh conqueror by only a head, Rosallion has gone on to victory in the St James’ Palace Stakes this week. He didn’t have to carry a penalty; Haatem does, though it’s a big drop in grade.
River Tiber takes Haatem on a third time; on his very first run of the season he was beaten only about a length by Haatem in the Irish Guineas; likely to have come on for the race and the morning gamble at 2.65 to land a Moore-O’Brien treble. He’ll be even shorter if Bedtime Story and Continuous have won.
Task Force was boosted yesterday by Inisherin, who was a couple of lengths in front of him in the Newmarket Guineas. The Frankel half-brother Kikkuli could run into a place.
Sir Michael Stoute’s Never So Brave improves every race and has been rerouted from a handicap here this week to take on this Group-3 company. There’s none so brave as his jockey, Saffie Osborne.
BETDAQ value: 2.68 River Tiber, 4.5 Haatem, 9.5 Task Force, 13 Never So Brave, 30 Kikkuli
LOVE THE ONE FOR MARQUAND
DAY-BY-DAY STATS: last Saturday. FORTUNE COOKIES: Monday.
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🎩 5.05 Royal Ascot (Wokingham Handicap, 6f) I always check out last year’s result: but it would go against the stats for the 1-2-3 of 2023 to play their part again: a year makes a big difference for Saint Lawrence, Apollo One and Juan Les Pins.
It’s very much a race for 4yo and 5yo, which those three were in 2023. So where’s the new breed? And which of them is best placed (middle to high stalls were powerful yesterday)?
There’s Orazio, sixth last year, coming out of 22; Flaming Rib (16) has slid down the handicap to this class 2 since the days when he was runner–up in the Commonwealth Cup at Group-1 level.
Similarly, you have Desert Cop, sixth in the Kings Stand in 2023 but Oisin Murphy prefers Fivethousandtoone. Harry Three was useful in 2022: has had just one run since but Ryan Moore rides.
Winner of five of his nine races, Unequal Love is a Listed winner who was close up in a Group 2 the last day. Tom Marquand booked but he has to contend with the one stall.
Dark Trooper won here back to back among four wins in a row last summer. James Doyle rides for the Dark Angel gelding’s new Qatari yard.
BETDAQ value: 9 Dark Trooper, 9.9 Harry Three, 17 Unequal Love, 19.5 Orazio, 35 Desert Cop, 54 Flaming Rib,
CAN MAXIME LAND AN OSCAR?
🎩 6.15 Royal Ascot (Queen Alexandra Stakes) Dawn Rising answered every call from Ryan Moore to win this last year but Run For Oscar (not clear run, third) is now 3lb better off and has Maxime Guyon booked for his marathon revenge.
Favourites have a modest record (2-10) and no four-year-old has won in 16 years since Jumps horses joined in. That stat puts a damper on Queenstown and Grand Providence.
And it points up the six victories for Ireland with mixed-Flat-and-Jumps horses of six, eight and nine years of age.
Even Paul Nicholls joins in with Fasol, Group placed on the Flat and prepped over hurdles 47 days ago. Postileo’s form suggests he is improving for Emmet Mullins, who has James Doyle booked.
BETDAQ value: 6.1 Run For Oscar, 13 Postileo, 37 Fasol
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.30 Royal Ascot (win 30, win 10)
BET 4pts win PENTLE BAY
BET 5pts win BEDTIME STORY
3.05 Royal Ascot (win 20, nap)
BET 10pts win CONTINUOUS
3.45 Royal Ascot (win 20)
BET 4pts win MILL STREAM
BET 1.4pts win SHOULDAVBEENARING
BET 1.1pts win KHAADEM
4.25 Royal Ascot (win 20)
BET 12pts win RIVER TIBER
BET 1.5pts win NEVER SO BRAVE
5.05 Royal Ascot (win-50 bull’s-eye bet)
BET 6.25pts win DARK TROOPER
BET 3.1pts win UNEQUAL LOVE
BET 1pt win FLAMING RIB
5.40 Royal Ascot (win 20)
BET 1.75pts win at 12.5 PALACE GREEN
6.15 Royal Ascot (win-50 bull’s-eye bet)
BET 4.1pts win POSTILEO
BET 1.4pts win FASOL
BET 4pts to win 20 RUN FOR OSCAR
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