DAQMAN 18.0 TON-UP COUP: NOW 418 POINTS PROFIT He backed it once (ante-post to win 100). He backed it twice (Fortune Cookies). Daqman backed it three times (place saver). The horse was Eqtidaar (WON 12-1 from 18.0 on BETDAQ), his SECOND TON-UP HIT at Royal Ascot this week, after Settle For Bay. It took his wins to 10 at the meeting and his profit from four winning days in a row to a staggering 418 points to recommended stakes.
WON 16-1 SETTLE FOR BAY (Hunt Cup, Wednesday at BETDAQ 18.0)
WON 12-1 EQTIDAAR (Commonwealth Cup, Friday, at BETDAQ 18.0)
WON 10-1 LAGOSTOVEGAS (Ascot Stakes, Tuesday, at 12.0 BETDAQ)
WON 11-2 POET’S WORD (Prince Of Wales’s Stakes, Wednesday)
WON 5-1 HUNTING HORN (Hampton Court Stakes, Thursday)
WON 5-1 SHANG SHANG SHANG (Norfolk Stakes, Thursday)
WON 9-4 WITHOUT PAROLE (St James Palace Stakes, nap, Tuesday)
WON 7-4 STRADIVARIUS (Ascot Gold Cup, Thursday)
WON 2-1 CALYX (Coventry Stakes, Tuesday)
WIN: 2ND 33-1 SIR CHAUVELIN (w/p, Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes, 47.0 on BETDAQ)
NEEDING ONE MORE WIN TO BAG 40 OVER PRICEWISE: For only the second time this season, Pricewise fought back fiercely with three winners yesterday but the value challenge remains one-sided at 39-14 to Daqman (P/L: Daqman +65 profit, Pricewise loss of -70). Daqman is hunting up the 40 wins total in the 4.20 and 5.00 on the final day of Royal Ascot today.
NOW TON-UP BETS ARE BETDAQ BOOSTED TO WIN 170 Does Daqman slow down after amassing such a huge profit? Not a bit of it. He has three more ton-up bets, two of them to win 170 points in a BETDAQ bonus situation, as explained beneath the Wokingham Stakes analysis.
CARDINI MAY YET SHOW MAGIC
2.30 Royal Ascot (Chesham Stakes) This is one of Aidan O’Brien’s favourite races. He’s won it four times – including with dual Guineas winner Churchill – and all started favourite.
His runner here, Cardini (11.0 BETDAQ taken), will be fairly easy to back after two defeats out of two, but Cardini’s sire, Magician, was also beaten twice before breaking his duck, and he went on to win the Irish 2,000 Guineas and Breeders Cup Turf!
Mark Johnston’s two-year-olds are flying. He has fillies in depth, including of course yesterday’s Albany winner, Main Edition.
That race was Group 3; this one is only Listed, as Natalie’s Joy tries to prove her six lengths win at Goodwood entitles her to some black type here.
But Mark also gives the leg up to two top jocks on his other contenders here, Silvestre De Sousa on Aussie View and James Doyle on New Winds.
Charlie Appleby, who had the runner-up in the Albany, saddles Beyond Reason, who boosted New Winds at Newmarket after running second to her on their debuts.
CRYSTAL HUB OF DAQ MULTIPLES
3.05 Royal Ascot (Hardwicke Stakes) Four-year-olds have won every year – nine times in a row – since 2007.
Sir Michael Stoute, who took it in 2016 with Dartmouth, dominates with six winners in that time, and has Crystal Ocean odds on to make it seven.
Crystal Ocean’s rivals today include Idaho and Barsanti, first and second in the race last year, when they stopped Dartmouth (only fourth) from giving Sir Michael a four-timer in the recent running of the race.
It’s not a race I want to bet in but Crystal Ocean could be the hub of Daq Multiples trebles, completed by Thomas Hobson, who seems a good thing for the Queen Alexandra Stakes (5.35)
THE ROMANCE OF ROYAL ASCOT
3.40 Royal Ascot (Windsor Castle Stakes) I warned you at the start of hostilities that Wesley Ward’s best two-year-old was Shang Shang Shang, who won for us on Thursday, and that he hoped to follow up here with Moonlight Romance (7.0 on BETDAQ early mouse).
That’s no sort of price in this field for a race that’s gone to outsiders (right up to 100-1) six times in the decade, but the best form is all at the front of the market.
The pair that Queen of Bermuda (7.2 offers) split at Ascot before winning twice were third and fifth in the Queen Mary. Van Beethoven (9.8) was second in the Marble Hill to Fairyland, third in yesterday’s Albany.
But one that could be involved at a big price is Chapelli (24.0 BETDAQ), with William Buick riding like a champion, and Mark Johnston with so many hot fillies in the yard he needs a cold shower every morning.
WARRIOR EXPLOITS TRACK WORRY
4.20 Royal Ascot (Diamond Jubilee) Eqtidaar’s win from gate 3 in the Commonwealth Cup yesterday showed that, even in a week of strong high-stalls bias, if he has the horse under him, a jockey can move to the middle to challenge.
In fact, the results by draw of this Diamond Jubilee in the last seven seasons are 3, 15, 15, 4, 6, 3, 3. Maybe the stands’ rail is no longer the place to be after four days and more of racing.
And the clash of English and Aussie champions. Harry Angel and the yet more English Aussie colt, Redkirk Warrior (a 5.9 BETDAQ offer), will be fought out on the far to middle side from low stalls.
I say ‘English Aussie’ because he was bred over here and raced with William Haggas as a two-year-old. The horse he beat into third at Flemington in March, Merchant Navy, has moved to Aidan O’Brien with little chance of reversing the positions at today’s weights, though new surroundings can bring about sudden improvement.
Harry Angel has won the July Cup and Haydock Sprint but his Ascot form is a worrying 2224.
How can we be talking of a two-horse affair when Wesley Ward is using words like ‘phenomenal’, ‘sensational’ and ‘he’ll run the race of his life’ about Bound For Nowhere, albeit he was beaten by Harry Angel (when not getting a clear run) in the Commonwealth Cup a year ago.
And I’ve stuck my neck out ante-post and hoped for more improvement from the Frenchman, City Light, whose AW form says he will enjoy the Ascot fast track.
IT’S A MARVELLOUS WOKINGHAM!
5.00 Royal Ascot, (Wokingham Stakes) For four years running the winners came from stalls 28, 21, 27 and 22, but last year the one stall tasted victory via Out Do, in the process breaking another sequence in that only one winner over the age of five had scored since 1998. Out Do was eight.
I should say ‘Out Do is nine’ because he’s back for more and, would you believe, he’s drawn in 2, right next door to his winning one stall.
YES! It’s useful to have stamina at the end of this cavalry charge, and two 7f horses stand out. When Dreamfield (stall 8 today) reverted to sprinting, he won unchallenged here at Ascot on firm ground (holds Silent Echo). Entered in the Group-1 July Cup.
BUT! Bacchus also beats Silent Echo on two runs last year, one of them here at Ascot, and won first time out last season on firm ground.
BUT! Bacchus’ trainer, Brian Meehan, is badly out of form (1-17) in the last fortnight.
YES! Gilgamesh (stall 14) will also relish a fast-run race. Right there at the 6f marker when fading in the Victoria Cup (7f), again that was here at Ascot, before winning at York.
BUT! A similar sort, Growl (in 29) came off the pace to be runner-up in the British Champions Sprints in 2016 and was only about three lengths off Harry Angel in the 2017 July Cup.
BUT! Ice Age (holds Ultimate Avenue) is likely to take the far side along, and wasn’t for stopping in his hat-trick last season and was back to form on the last day for a stable having a great season. He and Mr Lupton are weighted to run a dead-heat on Doncaster form.
YES! Sir Robert recent Ascot form is 30122 and Gerald Mosse has been booked BUT! He has a poor strike rate (2-22 on turf) and will need everything to fall right.
YES! Undrafted won the Diamond Jubilee in 2015 and is rated 15lb lower than when sixth in the same race two years ago. BUT! he’s eight years old now.
YES! Tis Marvellous ran in the Commonwealth Cup last year and is rated 11lb lower now, and trainer Clive Cox had a winner yesterday.
BUT! The stables of Victory Angel and Tupi are out of form. Al Qahwa, Blue De Vega, Flying Pursuit, Major Jumbo and Lancelot du Lac prefer some give in the ground. My short list is:
High: Growl (17.5 on BETDAQ)
Middle: Gilgamesh (14.5), Undrafted (23.0).
Low draw: Dreamfield (4.2), Tis Marvellous (22.0).
BETDAQ-VALUE VERDICT: Class, quality and value are represented by Tis Marvellous and Undrafted, who should be no bigger than 12-1, which would require around an 8.5pts to win 100.
I will keep the 8.5pts stake and back them at 21-1 or so each to clear 170 points whichever one wins. To save the 17 points stake, I’ll cover with Dreamfield.
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.30 Royal Ascot (win 30)
BET 3pts win and place CARDINI
BET (stakes saver) 4.25pts win NATALIE’S JOY
3.40 Royal Ascot (win 30)
BET 5pts win MOONLIGHT ROMANCE
BET 1.25pts win and place CHAPELLI
4.20 Royal Ascot (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET: 10pts win REDKIRK WARRIOR
SAVER PLACE ONLY: 2pts win CITY LIGHT covers ante-post bet*
5.00 Royal Ascot (Betdaq Bonus boost to 170pts)
TON-UP BET 8.5pts win TIS MARVELLOUS
TON-UP BET 8.5pts win UNDRAFTED
SAVER (to cover the above): 5.5pts win DREAMFIELD
5.35 Royal Ascot (Win-20 Supernap)
BET 12pts win THOMAS HOBSON
FORTUNE COOKIES
4.20 CITY LIGHT
ANTE-POST*
4.20 Royal Ascot (win 100) brought forward
BET 6.5pts win CITY LIGHT (16.5 BETDAQ)
DAQ MULTIPLES
Royal Ascot (7 x 2pt win doubles, 3 x 2pt win trebles)
3.05 CRYSTAL OCEAN
5.00 TIS MARVELLOUS, UNDRAFTED, DREAMFIELD
5.35 THOMAS HOBSON
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