DAQMAN LANDS 10-1 WINNER OF THE IRISH CAMBRIDGESHIRE: Daqman followed up two 16-1 winners last weekend with three naps out of four during the week. Then yesterday did both! An outsider to win the Irish Cambridgeshire at 10-1 and a fourth nap out of five:
WON 10-1 JASSAAR (50 points big-race hit at the Curragh)
WON 11-8 PALACE PIER (nap on a first-timer at Sandown)
FOUR NAPS UP OUT OF FIVE
WON 11-8 PALACE PIER (Friday nap)
WON 1-2 SOLAR HEIGHTS (Thursday nap)
WON 9-4 BENADALID (Tuesday nap)
WON 9-5 IBRAZ (Monday nap)
DAQMAN’S CURRENT ACCOUNTS
Daqman 63 Pricewise 28 Daqman 618 points clear to 10pt stakes
Bull’s-Eye Naps 7-14 (50% strike rate) 259 points, recommended stakes
Supernaps 18-27 (67% strike rate) 98 points up to 20pt stakes
TODAY’S HEADLINES
➡️ I’M TIPPING THE BOTTLE AT SANDOWN
➡️ JUBILOSO FOLLOWS WINNING ROUTE
➡️ POSITIVE LOOKS CUT ABOVE HIS FIELD
➡️ CONRON ULSTER CESAREWITCH VOTE
➡️ HERE’S A BETDAQ BEAUTY FOR THE CUP
I’M TIPPING THE BOTTLE AT SANDOWN
1.50 Sandown Not a winning favourite in sight and the Sandown sprints draw refusing to obey the rules in this race (low numbers used to be essential). Not a start to the day for a tipster to relish. Where to get an edge?
Course form is a useful start. Jumira Bridge, Saaheq, Gnaad, Heartwarming and Spoof are all CD winners, but don’t have you gripping your mouse!
Jumira Bridge is 2-2 at Sandown; otherwise his rating is static. Gnaad is also 2-2 but at a low level. Heartwarming is hard to fancy on form. Saaheq needs a drop of rain. Spoof is another who doesn’t like it too firm.
Justanotherbottle (BETDAQ 6.0) is down 10lb on this time last year, just after his narrow defeat in the Stewards Cup. Only Spoofing (9.8 offers) has been in good heart this summer and has the rail to help.
JUBILOSO FOLLOWS WINNING ROUTE
3.00 Sandown (Atalanta Stakes) Frankie Dettori takes just one ride at Sandown, and it’s for the guv’nor, John Gosden, on Duneflower, which seems to set up a match with Ryan Moore on Jubiloso.
It’s also Gosden versus Stoute, two of the finest trainers in the history of racing, 14.0 bar two in the BETDAQ orange, as I write.
In Duneflower, you have a late developer but I don’t sense much excitement in her camp. We’ve talked a lot in this column lately about routes to success and here’s one, if ever there was one.
Jubiloso ran a cracker to be third at Royal Ascot, and her path is almost identical to last year’s winner of this race from the same stable: Veracious, third in the Coronation Stakes, beaten at Goodwood, then wins this.
We can get only a shade worse than evens Jubiloso in the BETDAQ orange, and must thank Duneflower for making the price for us, though she is weak at 4.2 as I write.
POSITIVE LOOKS CUT ABOVE HIS FIELD
3.35 Sandown (Solario Stakes) I dissed the Dewhurst the other day, and proclaimed the ‘Irish route’ as the Classic winner-finder. But the Solario ain’t doing too bad.
Not quite as hot today, though, as the Raving Post proclaims: ‘Top juvenile talents to join greats on sizzling roll of honour.’
Kingman (2013) set the race alight, becoming the highest rated European three-year-old the following year and, when Masar (2017) was shock winner of the Epsom Derby, the Solario was basking in the glow.
So last year’s winner, Too Darn Hot, became the punter’s prince. Only he didn’t get to be crowned king. His route to a Guineas (Solario, Champagne, Dewhurst) wasn’t good enough and he was beaten in the Irish 2,000.
He was ultimately resurrected by the skill of John Gosden, who self-effacingly declared that he’d got his schedule all wrong. He was hoping he had another Kingman or Ravens Pass, who also won this.
The Gosden route is worth a pound again: Eshaasy (BETDAQ 14.5), who ran green behind Al Suhail at Newmarket, could take a big step forward mentally after getting the job done at Kempton.
But Positive (only slightly under evens this morning) split Pinatubo and yesterday’s Round Tower winner, Lope Y Fernandez, at Goodwood and looks a cut above them at this stage.
CONRON ULSTER CESAREWITCH VOTE
5.45 Down Royal (Ladbrokes Ulster Cesarewitch) The going should be on the easy side of good tonight after the showers forecast for Northern Ireland.
Previous winners Tom Madden (2015) and Ben Coen (2018) try to put their claims to good use again but a certain Colin Keane (allowed 5lb in 2013 success) needs no such encouragement these days!
The following season he was Irish apprentice champion and in 2017 topped the senior-jockeys’ table for the first time.
Colin’s partner, Utah, has only ever won his maiden, always a bad sign, which also applies to Madden’s mount, Building Bridges.
That Utah is top weight with 10st off a rating off 80 tells you this won’t take much winning, and that the top-weights may be the only runners with any class about them.
There’s not much to choose on form between Conron and Upgraded, but my vote on the day is for Conron with Jessica Harrington’s team on a winning streak. He has the beating of Linger on Galway Festival form.
HERE’S A BETDAQ BEAUTY FOR THE CUP
7.15 Chelmsford City Cup Bunbury Cup winner and Goodwood Golden Mile runner-up, Vale Of Kent, is 7lb higher in the ratings than when fourth as a three-year-old to Cenotaph and Charles Molson in this race last year.
The years take their toll on that pair and Vale Of Kent may be good enough to beat them now, but can he hold Admiralty, who is 5lb better for a length on his third in the Bunbury Cup?
Blue Mist acts at Chelmsford and went close in two big turf handicaps: a close sixth in the Victoria Cup and third in the Ascot International, in which Admiralty won the far-side race from the one stall but high numbers (Blue Mist in 27) had the upper hand.
Earlier, Admiralty had been beaten by Firmament at York, with Firmament’s rider, Cieren Fallon getting his chance of a big prize this afternoon on a horse that’s made the three in all six starts at Chelmsford and stays a mile.
That’s how the handicap works out but you will see from their form figures that those I’ve mentioned all have something in common: they don’t win very often. They would be vulnerable to a Group horse in a handicap.
Step forward Beauty Filly! She has improved 20lb since this time last year, at first by a few pounds, then the last twice she has leapt forward to win a Listed race on a higher level to today’s race.
The one stall is a negative on most tracks but last year’s runner-up came from the same gate and weaved through the gaps. That’s very much Beauty Filly’s style.
I’ll take the low draw, with Beauty Filly, Firmament, Blue Mist, Admiralty and Cenotaph all on that side; Vale Of Kent left out wide. I wanted to be on the improver so I took 11.0 on BETDAQ Beauty Filly, and I wanted to be on an outsider. Firmament was so big at 25.0, I worried there was something wrong, so I put Blue Mist in at 7.2. That’s my 1-2-3.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.50 Sandown (win 30)
BET 6pts win JUSTANOTHERBOTTLE
BET 3.5pts win ONLY SPOOFING
2.05 Beverley (win 10)
BET 4pts win GOOD BIRTHDAY
2.45 Chester (win 10)
BET 2pts win PERSIAN MOON
BET 1.35pts win VIVID DIAMOND
3.00 Sandown (supernap)
BET 20pts win JUBILOSO
3.15 Beverley (win 20, win 10)
BET 2.5pts win JUDICIAL
BET 3. 75pts win TIS MARVELLOUS
3.35 Sandown (win 10, win 15)
BET 10pts win POSITIVE
BET 1.1pts win ESHAASY
5.45 Down Royal (win 20)
BET 5pts win CONRON
7.15 Chelmsford (bull’s-eye bets to win 50)
BET 8pts win BLUE MIST
BET 5pts win BEAUTY FILLY
BET 2pts win FIRMAMENT
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