6-1 SHOT ANOTHER DAQMAN HIT: Daqman continued his run of good-priced winners this week with Triple Chocolate (WON 6-1) and Cruise To The Limit (WON 7-2) yesterday for a second successive day in profit. His six hitters have been:
WON 11-1 Latenightrequest
WON 8-1 Saddlers Deal
WON 66-10 Here Comes Now
WON 32-5 Cocktail Queen
WON 6-1 Triple Chocolate
WON 7-2 Cruise To The Limit
TON-UP TILT STARTS TODAY: Daqman today launches two new bets. The Ton-Up (staked to win 100 points) could double up on the 192 points profit he’s made with a win-50 bet, the Bull’s-Eye. At the front of the market, the Early Mouse Bet seeks out clear favourites, according to the rules in his column on Thursday (see Betdaq Orange Morning Magic).
IT’S DAQMAN 98, PRICEWISE 36: Here is his current bets list, which show him needing two more winners to hit 100 value bets against Pricewise of the Racing Post. They clash today in the 1.55 Ascot, 3.15 Haydock, 3.30 Ascot and 3.50 Haydock.
WINNERS: Daqman 98, Pricewise 36
WINNERS: Bull’s-Eye Bet: 192 points profit
WINNERS: Nap (current form): 1211301212202113
WINNERS: Banker: 3 out of 4 (28 from 41, for 96 points profit)
MUSIC MASTER NAPPED IN SPRINT
1.55 Ascot (Southend Airport Handicap) Previous winners had all run good races in the Buckingham Palace Stakes, Royal Hunt Cup and Victoria Cup on this course. None was more than 5lb higher for it.
Louis The Pious, Heavy Metal and Pacific Heights fit the bill. The last two winners of this handicap, Don’t Call Me and Redvers, scoring from stalls 2 and 5, are clearly also qualifiers but are drawn wide in 13 and 15 this time. Seven of the nine places in the 1-2-3 of the race so far have gone to single-figure stalls.
In the three years, 20 horses have tried and failed to carry more than 9st., the few extra pounds (2lb for a length) denying them.
It suggests that Pacific Heights, five lengths off the winner in the Royal Hunt Cup and seventh in the International here, is high on the starting grid on the strength of his draw and Mikey Ennis’s 7lb claim.
Other claimers – Cam Hardie on Safety Check and Sam James on Highland Acclaim – must come into it but three-year-olds have a poor record in this.
There’s a question mark over 6f scorer Highland Acclaim’s ability to get this 7f (the best of Acclamations are sprinters), and Cornrow and Safety Check came clear in the BETDAQ market this morning (10.5 bar two).
Cornrow has John Gosden warning that he’s so far needed a mile but the fast-run big-field race should help, and he is the saver to my 17.0 bet, Pacific Heights.
3.15 Haydock (Old Borough Cup) Big Thunder is the hidden form horse. A prolific scorer last season (five out of seven, 9lb better here with Glenard), including over this course and distance, he was backed for the Northumberland Plate, even though it was the grey’s first race of the season and the stable was in modest form (ignore that run).
He then ran well at Goodwood (6lb better here with the favourite, Havana Cooler) but the next twice was poorly ridden over a trip too far in the musical-jockeys Shergar Cup (ignore that) then had the blindfold left on late over the same longer trip at York (ignore that, too).
He was a shorter SP that day than the runner-up, Quest For More, who is obviously going to be hard to beat here, dropping back in trip.
Three-year-olds do extra well in this with a 25% strike rate, and their lone representative, Epsom Hill, will benefit if the morning showers materialise. This is his biggest test after climbing the ladder from class 5 to 4 to 3 and now into a class 2.
With the Total SP 123% in the last two seasons, the 108% BETDAQ ‘book’ of offers this morning gave me a coconut shy with the big Teddy Bear there to be won.
So I backed Quest For More (Pat Smullen takes the ride, 9.4 as I write) and Epsom Hill (10.0) to win 50 points and punted Big Thunder to land the ton, staking to win 100 points from his 14.0 offers this morning.
3.30 Ascot (Bristol Handicap) There are a host of outsiders with chances here. Saeed Bin Suroor goes for a hat trick in the race with Hidden Gold, 20.0 this morning.
He hasn’t got the form so far, but then neither had maiden winner, Excellent Result, when he lived up to his name for the same stable last year.
Another 20.0 offer is Trip To Paris, disguised by his poor ride in the Shergar Cup, but who easily held Our Gabrial over today’s course and distance, albeit two grades lower. Fran Berry booked.
A line through Astronereus suggests that Rainbow Rock (10.0) has the beating of both, even without Cam Hardie’s 5lb claim.
Gwafa (11.0) looks poised to overturn the Haydock placings with Montaly, with 3lb advantage and Colm O’Donoghue is a standout booking.
Taking after the dam’s side, Gothic has been exploited on a soft surface so far, and it’s worrying that blinkers have been tried (and failed) and that he has to step up from class 4.
Second Step doesn’t need to improve much but the proximity of Swivel, well behind Trip To Paris here in June, doesn’t give me confidence in Battersea, so I’ll go for Gwafa and Rainbow Rock.
3.50 Haydock (Sprint Cup) Last year’s winner, Gordon Lord Byron, has not won in Europe since, while his seeming main rival today, Sole Power, has been ticking off the top sprints: Palace House, Kings Stand and Nunthorpe.
But was that Sole Power’s season? He has only once before in his six-year career won a race after August, and his 10 wins have all come over the minimum 5f. He has to be a lay for me today.
The trip at this top level is also a big worry for Pearl Secret, Moviesta, Hot Streak, G Force, Extortionist and Dinkum Diamond, whoall prefer the minimum.
Either flank of the draw will do, depending on where the pace is: eight of the 10 winners were from the low four stalls or from 10 (off 11) or 12 and beyond in fields of today’s size.
Music Master (in 13), a good fourth in the Diamond Jubilee, was the best BETDAQ value offer this morning at 9.2.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 1.8pts win (to win 30 points) and place PACIFIC HEIGHTS, and 1pt win (stakes saver) CORNROW (1.55 Ascot)
TON-UP BET: 7.6pts win BIG THUNDER, with BULL’S-EYE BETS: 5.5pts win EPSOM HILL and 5.9pts win QUEST FOR MORE (3.15 Haydock)
BULL’S-EYE BETS: 5pts win on each GWAFA and RAINBOW ROCK (3.30 Ascot)
LAY 5pts SOLE POWER and BET 3.6pts win (to win 30) MUSIC MASTER (nap, 3.50 Haydock)
EARLY MOUSE BETS (level stakes): 10pts win on each POWER GAME (1.45 Kempton), EXTREMITY (3.40 Thirsk), HOME OF THE BRAVE (4.10 Kempton), ROOSSEY (4.25 Haydock)
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