FOUR FOR LAYS: ALL WELL BEATEN: If you can’t pick the winners, pick the losers. Daqman has cashed in this week on the ultimate benefit of BETDAQ: he’s named four out of four short-priced losers in his Lays Logic. If you didn’t lay them, you knocked them out of calculations and reduced the field – and therefore the percentages – in the races you bet in.
WON (3rd 5-1) SAM BARTON (BETDAQ morning favourite, Tuesday)
WON (4th 13-8) HARRY THREE (favourite, Tuesday)
WON (2nd 7-2) GERICAULT ROQUE (favourite, Saturday)
WON (4th 11-2) CORACH RAMBLER (Saturday)
🚩 He also red-flagged five horses in the Lanzarote Hurdle, all beaten.
TODAY: Daqman previews the trials at Punchestown and a race each from Southwell and Kelso.
GRINGO TO SPRING SURPRISE
⭕ 12.15 Punchestown (Moscow Flyer Novice Hurdle) Jessica Harrington’s amazing Moscow Flyer won 22 big races, including the Champion Chase twice (2003 and 2005) and a notable brag hand at Punchestown of Champion Novice Hurdle, Champion Hurdle and Champion Chase.
In 2015-16, Douvan and Min won this novice hurdle among five in the decade for Willie Mullins, who saddles two unbeaten young players this afternoon.
Dysart Dynamo has landed a hat-trick including his first hurdle the last day by 18 lengths, with the third franking the form by going close in a big field on Boxing Day.
Hawaii Game, half-brother to Easy Game, is 2-2 and carried the J P McManus colours to an easy win at Naas, the second slamming another big field at Fairyhouse only yesterday.
Only the exposed trio of rank outsiders have been given official marks so far but, on my reckoning, Gordon Elliott’s Gringo d’Aubrelle would have to be a minimum of 133 after landing a double and being placed behind 145-rated Blazing Khal and, recently, Stage Star whose hat-trick has lifted him to 143.
BETDAQ each-way value 13.0 Gringo d’Aubrelle
BOB OLINGER 7lb CLEAR
⭕ 2.20 Punchestown (Kildare Novice Chase) Bob Olinger, hot favourite for the Golden Miller at the Cheltenham Festival, jumped brilliantly at Gowran Park in his first chase, and the 16-lengths third has won a Grade-1 novice since.
Bob beat Gaillard Du Mesnil in the Ballymore at Cheltenham last March, finishing 12 lengths in front of Bravemansgame, who is already ranked a 156 in his chasing career this season.
Bob Olinger has been lofted to 159, but you may think Capodanno could be marked up to within 7lb of him, after finishing in front of Gaillard Du Mesnil (150) in a beginners’ chase at Naas.
ELVIS IS ON SONG AT KELSO
⭕ 2.40 Kelso It’s been a case of return to sender with no form stamp for Elvis Mail in his last five chases, highly tried – including against Shishkin – despite being beaten in novice chases here at Kelso and at Carlisle.
But he is a course and distance winner over hurdles here, back to them now and dropped down in grade, with overall Kelso form over the sticks: 13112.
Albert’s Back has lost his way since a double in the autumn of 2020. Needs to bounce back but his stable has not had a jumps winner for 172 days (32 runners).
Word Has It, another winner here, also returns to hurdles after a fall first time over fences at Haydock last month.
BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE value 2.64 Elvis Mail
MOJO HAS A TOUCH OF CLASS
⭕ 3.00 Southwell Mojomaker is better class than any others in this field, second in a Listed, fourth and fifth in £100,000-plus trophies.
He was not disgraced in the Molecomb at Goodwood, won by the Group-1 Middle Park third, Armor, then a 95 now 111 rated.
But what is significant about Mojo’s form is that he performed only over sprint distances, whereas his breeding is for a mile, 1m 2f, and racereaders had him down as ‘running on’ and ‘kept on.’
Devasboy is likely to lead and may be the main threat as a class-3 winner on Tapeta, whereas the surface does not feature in the form of hat-trick seekers Imperial Mountain and Neat and Dandy, whose success all came at a lower level though, of course, they are entitled to progress in their second season.
BETDAQ value 5.9 Mojomaker
DAQMAN’S BETS
12.15 Punchestown (win 16)
BET 1pt ew GRINGO D’AUBRELLE
2.40 Kelso (win 10 nap)
BET 6pts win ELVIS MAIL
3.00 Southwell (win 10)
BET 2pts win MOJOMAKER
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.