NOW IT’S DAQMAN 47, PRICEWISE 16: Almargo (WON 11-2) took the Flat-season score to Daqman 47, Pricewise 16 (overall 86-28) in his feature-race challenge to the Racing Post columnist. They do battle again today in the 2.40 Saint-Cloud and the 4.20 at The Curragh.
IT WAS AS EASY AS ABC: Daqman’s famous ABC analysis continued its run of big-race success when his guide to the Pitman’s Derby (Northumberland Plate) on Thursday gave first, second and fourth in its top four.
AUSTRALIA EARNER ON BETDAQ: The banker investment, ‘buying money’ on Australia in the Irish Derby for 37% profit on BETDAQ, lasted only until the defection of Kingston Hill and the potential profit fell to 12.5% SP (WON 1-8).
GLENEAGLES HAS LANDED…
2.15 The Curragh Ballydoyle has used this to launch the likes of Sussex Stakes winner Rip Van Winkle, Irish 2,000 hero Roderic O’Connor, and King George victor Duke Of Marmalade.
But Jim Bolger’s judicious use of the hood helped produce a shock result in this race last year when his Renaissance Art turned over a Ballydoyle even-money favourite by the name of Australia. That stopped an Aidan O’Brien four-timer (figures for the race now) 12110131112.
His Galileo colt Gleneagles looks the ‘one most likely to’ among today’s field, as son of a Cherry Hinton winner and brother to 1,000 Guineas heroine, Marvellous.
2.40 Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud Come rain or shine, owner Khalid Abdullah should go close, with either top-of-the-ground colt Flintshire, who split Cirrus Des Aigles and Ambivalent in the Coronation Cup, or soft-surface lover, Noble Mission.
Storms over Paris favour the entire Noble Mission, but he has found his best form over 10-11 furlongs, and so we could get a turn-up, particularly with both Noble Mission and Spiritjim liking to lead.
There are lines to form suggesting that four-timer winner and hold-up horse Narniyn can improve to win this, with 6.8 a fair offer on BETDAQ.
2.45 The Curragh A Group 3 for juveniles worth more than three times the money of the opener but has produced little of note. Fillies’ Mile winner Listen is its recent best, but she failed to go on from there.
Lope De Vega has sired four recent juvenile winners – I liked Belardo best – including Back To Base on today’s ground at Limerick, though the runner-up that day had earlier been beaten further by Jeanne Girl.
The neck second in that, over today’s CD, was eight lengths off the winner in the Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot. Might be good enough for this.
3.15 Curragh Cup Ernest Hemingway has his ground in the bid for back-to-back success, though he has yet to bounce back this season and was beaten by Mick Halford’s Certerach in the Dubai Gold Cup.
Certerach beat a couple of eight-year-olds that day – both good yardsticks but no more than that at Group level now – with Ernest Hemingway clearly not race fit.
Pale Mimosa may pose a threat on her Vintage Crop third to Leading Light but she was only fourth to Royal Diamond in the Long Distance Cup at Ascot in the autumn after that one had been beaten by Ernest Hemingway in the Ballyroan Stakes.
3.50 Uttoxeter (Summer Cup) How much rain? The question mark over over a Group 1 in Paris also hangs over this Listed chase in Staffordshire. Bear’s Affair and Pantxoa don’t want any. No Secrets wants stair-rods.
As for A P. McCoy, he wants last year’s winner, Storm Survivor, though he’s worse off with the runner-up, Pure Faith, and the third home that day, stablemate Lost Glory, who goes well fresh.
And Pantxoa can’t beat a third Jonjo O’Neill runner, Twirling Magnet, on Cheltenham form of last October. Do the stats help?
What little we have to go on from the two runnings of this race is that we are looking for a lightly-weighted seven-year-old. We also need a stable in form at this off-season time for jump s tables.
Combine the two and you get Talkonthestreet at 9.6 on BETDAQ this morning. And the Pure Faith line points up Bear’s Affair (8.2). I’ll dutch the two.
4.20 The Curragh (Pretty Polly Stakes) It was a power ride from Johnny Murtagh that got Ambivalent the Pretty Polly last season and she’s scored at a grade lower since, though, in her defence, she didn’t much like the undulations of Epsom when third in the Coronation Cup, and she did beat the Oaks first and second in this last year.
Only Aidan O’Brien has won the race with three-year-olds in the decade, but both had better recent form than Marvellous who spoiled her Irish 1,000 Guineas win with an Epsom Oaks flop, though she, too, didn’t like coming down the hill.
Marvellous is blinkered, not certain to like the ground, and Joseph O’Brien rides Venus De Milo, a nearly horse in her second season (runner-up in the Yorkshire Oaks and Irish Oaks), but hard to get fit so sure to come on her Munster Oaks success at Cork.
Another nearly horse at the highest level (second in Prix de l’Opera and the Nassau Stakes), Thistle Bird loves firm ground, despite being by Selkirk, but she’s six now and an older mare has won it only once in 41 years.
Just The Judge was little more than a length behind Thistle Bird in the Princess Elizabeth Stakes at the Epsom Derby meeting, but needs a career best here. Venus De Milo looks the danger to Ambivalent.
DAQMAN’S BETS (each staked to win 20 points, except the banker, which is to maximum stakes, and the bull’s-eye bet, which is win-50)
BANKER STAKES: BET 20pts win (nap) GLENEAGLES (2.15 The Curragh)
BET 3.6pts win NARNIYN (2.40 Saint-Cloud)
BET 3.5pts win JEANNE GIRL (2.45 The Curragh)
BULL’S EYE BET: 15pts win ERNEST HEMINGWAY (3.15 The Curragh)
BET 2.7pts win BEAR’S AFFAIR and 2.3pts win TALKONTHESTREET (3.50 Uttoxeter)
BET 7pts win AMBIVALENT and 1.7pts win (stakes saver) VENUS DE MILO (4.20 The Curragh)
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