50 UP FOR DAQMAN IN PRICEWISE CHALLENGE: Daqman took his Flat-season score over Pricewise to 11-0 yesterday and 50-12 overall (since November 23) with two of his three winning bets in mutual tipping races:
WON: First he went head-to-head with Pricewise, daring to lay the Racing Post man’s tip, Mutashaded. Result: unplaced 3-1.
WON: Pricewise ducked the Scottish Champion Hurdle but Daqman declared another bold lay, the hot favourite, My Tent Or Yours. Result: 3rd evens favourite.
WON: Daqman described why Trustan Times was a bonus bet, win and place, in the Scottish National and should be 10-1, not the 16.0 on BETDAQ. Result: Trustan Times (3rd 10-1).
PROOF YET AGAIN THAT BETDAQ IS THE PLACE FOR BIG-RACE VALUE
Well, Al Co to the foot of our stairs! After many kilowatt-hours, burning the midnight halogen, my 39.0 Grand National gamble is second and my 16.0 BETDAQ bet in the Scottish equivalent yesterday comes third.
It answers three questions I’m often asked: What do you mean by value? Is it worth betting each way? Is it worth betting ante-post?
Ante-post bets – and I include the morning of the race – should be an attempt to get bigger odds about horses that will be shorter nearer the ‘off’ and at SP. Those two National horses started 14-1 and 10-1, so 271% and 50% better value.
Place bets are best when, at a quarter or fifth the odds, you are on as if backing to win at between 3-1 and 6-1. With win and place at big odds, you get the win bet, cover on the win stake and three or four more chances of a return from the place. In effect, five bets for two plus an insurance policy! Can’t be bad.
GROTTE? NO, LONGCHAMP TRIAL COULD BE BOOST TO MISS FRANCE
1.30 Longchamp Today’s fillies’ trial, the Prix De La Grotte, is the race that threw up Zarkava, who went on to win the 2008 French 1,000 Guineas and Oaks, Vermeille and Arc.
Punters on Miss France for the Newmarket 1,000 will be looking for nothing less than winning form this afternoon from Indonesienne, who was the ‘moral’ over Miss France in August, beaten little more than a length but giving away 4lb.
2.40 Longchamp Not since Daylami and Ashkalani (1996-7 for the Aga Khan) has today’s other trial, the Prix De Fontainebleau, for colts, produced anything of note.
The winner should come from last season’s Criterium International and Lagardere winners, Ectot and Karakonite, but posing no immediate threat to Greenham winner Kingman. Miss France and Kingman were among my horses to follow.
VERDICT: Kingman’s smooth and so-mature Greenham win makes him white hot for the Newmarket 2,000 but Miss France may be overlooked at 12.5 on BETDAQ for the 1,000, and you should have your marauding mouse poised to bite if Indonesienne wins.
Miss France is already only 7-1 with 11 bookmakers quoted by Oddschecker this morning. I’ll be watching the Grotte, with gold in mind!
3.20 The Curragh In receipt of 9lb from Truthwillsetufree, the former Andrew Balding inmate, Taglietelle, runaway winner over hurdles at Downpatrick recently, looked a bet at around 5-2 this morning.
4.05 Tramore Balnaslow, who has tackled the Thyestes and the Kim Muir, should have no problems with this simple reward for consistency, dropped in class.
4.30 Wincanton Aldopicgros and Harry Derham are expected to make it a hat-trick, as the hub of my Daq Multiples.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 8pts win (nap) TAGLIETELLE (3.20 The Curragh)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 3 x 3pt win doubles and 1pt win treble TAGLIETELLE (3.20 The Curragh), BALNASLOW (4.05 Tramore) and ALDOPICGROS (4.30 Wincanton)
ANTE-POST: BET 2.6pts (charged to the account to win 30 points at 12.5) MISS FRANCE (1,000 Guineas, Newmarket), with proviso to take 10.0 or better, but only if Indonesienne wins 1.30 Longchamp this afternoon.
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