12.0 DAQMAN HIT WINS AT 7-1: Daqman yet again played up the big value on BETDAQ yesterday when he tipped Chatez (WON 7-1) at 12.0 offers for a featured handicap at Haydock.
72 RETURNS AGAINST PRICEWISE: That puts our man 72-21 up on Pricewise (33-9 on the Flat) since his value challenge in the races nominated by the Racing Post column.
46 POINTS PROFIT IN TWO DAYS: Daqman also had Hot Streak (WON 9-4), taking his two-day profit to 46 points. He is still on three naps in a row after his banker was withdrawn.
PALACE IS THE 1,000 GUINEAS PRINCESS
1.45 The Curragh Aidan O’Brien is 3-3 in the race and rules the morning BETDAQ market with odds-on Dick Whittington and Rule The Waves at 7.0.
The Ballydoyle winners of this have not been much cop but Dick Whittington’s head second to Capella Sansevero was franked by the winner’s comfortable success in the Marble Hill yesterday.
However, O’Brien doesn’t expect much more of Dick Whittington, as he now admits to a hood to try to get him home today.
I’ll have my pound on stablemate Rule The Waves, another War Front, who’s got War Command. The US stallion has had four runners over here on soft-heavy; three have won, including Ballydoyle’s even-more-successful Declaration of War.
2.15 The Curragh Progressive youngsters – no older than four – have never been beaten in this. Nor has the double-figure draw, higher the better, as revealed by these results by stall in seven seasons: 26, 10, 23, 19, 14, 14 and 24, and yesterday’s big-field handicaps were won from 11 and 12.
How then can Great Minds be favourite, hit by a 10lb rise and racing from the one stall? Even if the stats are wildly wrong, and the stall bias switches, do you want to take 4-1 that he can beat 26 others in the mud? I was on in the green, a place lay at 2.93.
Jayed Jidan has won only over a mile but this grey Teofilo colt out of an Indian Ridge mare, from a yard with an incredible 33 turf winners already, goes with the pace and is likely to play catch-me in this ground. I took 10.0 offers on BETDAQ that they won’t catch him.
2.45 The Curragh (Gallinule Stakes) Aidan O’Brien’s 10-year form-figures in this are 1211111121, none of them world-beaters until last season, the year of Queens Vase and St Leger winner, Leading Light.
Now Prix Hoxcquart runner-up Adelaide faces two seeming dark horses: Jim Bolger’s Teofilo colt Theophilus and Dermot Weld’s Edelmira, although the Peintre Celebre filly would do well to beat the colts, particularly in these condtions.
And the second to Theophilus was the same distance behind in another maiden won by one who was beaten in a handicap yesterday.
In fact, all things being considered, stablemate Blue Hussar may be Adelaide’s main threat but they’re betting as if he’s a banker. I’ll try it.
2.45 Longchamp (Prix Saint-Alary) The near-as-damn-it 2-1 I got about Vazira looked good value on BETDAQ this morning.
She is on the upgrade for Alain de Royer Dupre, who has won this four times for the Aga Khan, whose Sea The Stars filly this is.
3.15 Longchamp (Prix d’Ispahan) Longchamp-lover Cirrus Des Aigles beat Arc winner Treve in the Ganay but we shouldn’t read too much into that, except to say that he remains top class on his favourite track (12111 in the last two years).
With £120,000 to the winner, Olympic Glory has been tempted just eight days after his Lockinge. He’s been beaten twice at Longchamp as a mature horse but, aged only four, has four years on Cirrus. Pass.
3.20 The Curragh (Tattersalls Gold Cup) This is a downbeat renewal, with seemingly nothing of the ilk of the two Eclipse winners, Al Kazeem and So You Think, and the Coronation Cup scorer, Fame And Glory), all top flight Group-1 performers.
Noble Mission has been grinding it out in Group 3 and Magician’s recent best was on firm ground against the one-paced Parish Hall. It was also firm when he won the Irish 2,000 and the Breeders Cup last year. I’ll watch.
3.55 The Curragh (Irish 1,000 Guineas, see my ABC Guide in Thursday’s archive) At last the Ballydoyle Classic show. After a setback in training and coming into season before her prep run, Palace can be 1,000 Guineas princess at The Curragh this afternoon.
Yesterday’s fourth in the Curragh 2,000 is Aidan O’Brien’s best so far (14th and 15th in the English Guineas) but the ground knocks out the candidates with better form.
I fancied another Irish filly, Dermot Weld’s Tested (a Selkirk out of a Danehill mare), could beat the English, selected by Pat Smullen over Vote Often despite her wide draw.
But there are reservations about the ground for this one, with Dermot Weld openly favouring Vote Often (James Doyle). Selkirks are a mixed bunch: many like soft, some like it firm!
Curragh winners yesterday scored out of 3, 6, 2, 1, 4 until we got to the handicaps. Kingman, second in the Newmarket 2,000, came from stall 1 yesterday, and Lightning Thunder, second in the English 1,000, comes out of the same gate.
But she’s bred for a sounder surface and the filly who beat her in the Rockfel last season, Al Thakhira, is another in need of drying conditions, whereas the forecast is more showers.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 3.3pts win and place RULE THE WAVES (1.45 The Curragh)
PLACE LAY 5pts GREAT MINDS and BET 2.4pts win JAYED JIDAN (2.15 The Curragh)
BANKER: BET 20pts win (nap) ADELAIDE (2.45 The Curragh)
BET 10pts win VAZIRA (2.45 Longchamp)
BET 3.3pts win PALACE (3.55 The Curragh)
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