HARD-TO-BEAR 20.0 LINCOLN THIRD: Last year first and second, this year second and third. Daqman rues the 20.0 defeat of Rogue Bear, third from the rear in yesterday’s Lincoln Handicap, but the bigger message for punters is that, in keeping with a growing trend, BOTH English and Irish ‘Lincoln’ winners had just moved stables.
DETTORI TOP OF THE WORLD AGAIN: There was another sensational double when Frankie Dettori landed the Dubai World Cup and the Dubai Turf (Lord North in a dead-heat) at Meydan, where the big sprint went to the Irish-trained Abbaye winner, A Case Of You.
THEY’RE HOME FOR ALL MONEY
DONCASTER DAY-2 KNIGHT..
THEY’RE HOME FOR ALL MONEY
Follow the removals lorry. It’s the latest signpost for punters and it beat them all yesterday. Those who religiously check their favourite indicators – BF, CD, tongue-strap, cheekpieces et al – will now have CS for Change Stable or Change of Scene top of their list
The 158-1 Lincoln double at Doncaster and the Curragh went to Johan (moved house from William Haggas to Mick Channon on January 25) and Roadobarg (officially moved from Roger Varian to Johnny Murtagh’s stables on March 25).
Johan was ignored by punters at 28-1, and I felt the pain of doing so myself as my selections for the Lincoln Handicap at Doncaster finished second and third, Saleymm and Rogue Bear, a 20.0 offer on BETDAQ.
Even though Rogue Bear was drawn high in 19, he was backed down to 12-1 but Raceform reports: ‘Dwelt start and hampered.’
He had nowhere to go until motoring wide of the others down the inside rail, with the result by stall for the first seven places: 4, 3, 19, 1, 5, 9, 8.
The world and his wife will want to be on next time out but Rogue Bear had a hard race just to join in from his forlorn position, and I imagine there will be no 20-1 or even 12-1 about him for the foreseeable future.
Roadobarg, the 9-2 favourite, was a huge gamble for the Irish Lincolnshire at the Curragh. The four-year-old officially moved stables on March 25? The horsebox must still have been warm!
But the biggest Irish earner of the day was Ado McGuinness, who had previously trained an Irish Lincolnshire winner from his Dublin base.
Ado landed on his Group-1 feet big time in October when A Case Of You won him the prestigious Prix de l’Abbaye at the Arc meeting at Longchamp.
A Case Of You justified the decision to go to Meydan this Spring when finishing second in the Nad Al Sheba Sprint three weeks back.
But yesterday, despite that encouraging result and his being an Abbaye winner, A Case of You was allowed to start at 14-1 for the £666,666 Al Quoz sprint championship and ran clear two out under Ronan Whelan.
Lord North (Frankie Dettori) dead-heated in the £1.6m Dubai Turf for John and Thady Gosden. Then Dettori won his fourth World Cup on Bob Baffert’s Country Grammer.
DONCASTER DAY-2 KNIGHT..
⚠️ HEADS UP: Richard Hannon with two winners, including the Doncaster Mile (Chindit), and jockey Rossa Ryan (with a hat-trick) were the first-day star players on the opening of the Flat.
⭕ 3.45 Doncaster Hannon runs six at Doncaster today, including Lexington Knight in this 1m 2f class-3 handicap, to be ridden by Silvestre De Sousa, whose freelance career got off to a Lincoln-winning start yesterday.
Lexington Knight (BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE 8.7) has drawn the 3 stall on his first run after being gelded, and will need to tuck in without being swamped as the field funnels round the sweeping left–hand bend.
It has worked out that 6 out of 10 low drawn (in 2, 3, 6 and 7) have saved their energy to score from rails stalls while three in the decade, from 14, 16 and 17, have managed to break across from the wide outside.
⭕ 4.50 Doncaster Another newly gelded for Hannon and another to be ridden by De Sousa, Sir Rumi is problematic because his two wins so far have both been on firm ground.
It’s drying from good-to-soft today, but it won’t be firm, and I prefer Law Of The Sea (also running first time since gelded). BETDAQ 5.4 taken this morning.
Law Of The Sea, by Golden Horn out of a Selkirk mare, won first time last season but was disappointing afterwards.
What ‘he’ has had removed could be ‘his’ and our gain, as the only other four-year-old with potential against a bunch of older horses here.
⭕ 5.25 Doncaster Gleneagles filly Typewriter (BETDAQ 4.0 this morning) was allowed to progress naturally through the grades and distances last term, looking the type to do better as a three-year-old.
Andrew Balding is an early-bird trainer but Charlie Fellowes also has his string in form, and the Churchill colt, Grand Alliance, finally got the cigar the last day, albeit class 5 at Chelmsford.
Outbreak and Base Note also have to step up from low grade, and War House can’t be backed first time, as he was awash with sweat last time we saw him 186 days back.
Back to where I began, Richard Hannon saddles Thunder Max (Silvestre De Sousa) but the colt drifted in the morning market.
DAQMAN’S BETS
3.45 Doncaster (win 12)
BET 1.5pts win LEXINGTON KNIGHT
4.50 Doncaster (win 12)
BET 2.75pts win LAW OF THE SEA
5.25 Doncaster (nap to win 12)
BET 4pts win TYPEWRITER
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
