NOW FIVE BANKERS OUT OF FIVE: Yanworth made it five winning bankers out of five for Daqman yesterday, and sent him 2-1 up on Pricewise and ahead of him to level stakes. The five bankers are:
WON 4-5 Tara View
WON 8-11 Le Prezien
WON 4-7 Baron Alco
WON 8-15 Asthuria
WON 4-5 Yanworth
FOUR WINNING SATURDAY BETS: Daqman also made a profit on the day with four successful Saturday bets, three winners and a double up (for the second day running):
WON 4-1 Beware The Bear
WON 15-8 Cue Card (double)
WON 4-5 Yanworth (double)
NAPS DOUBLE AT AROUND 20-1: Daqman’s latest Fortune Cookie has a tough debut at a short price in a 24-runner field at Cork. So he’s going for better offers for a naps double, one English, one Irish, at around 20-1.
WHY I’VE TURNED TIMID ABOUT TIMI..
12.50 Cork I’ve had my banker for today sorted for some time but, now that I see the ground and the size of the field facing Timi Roli, I’m chicken.
Yes, the bigger the field the bigger the certainty, they used to say; but the latest apple of Willie Mullins’ eye hasn’t jumped a hurdle in public, nor has he been tested in the bog-like conditions or, indeed, in any race with more than five runners, and the 23 others today – several of them no doubt fresh and wayward – could get in the way with disastrous results.
Timi Roli would make it four from four for Mullins in this event, with the three previous winners having beaten fields of 12, 13 and 14 runners. The 24-horse cavalry charge today doesn’t stop Timi Roli appearing at the front of the BETDAQ orange at 2.62.
No Brainer has a tongue-tie as if Mouse Morris means business, and Chirico Vallis has a decent chance in the J P McManus colours. But the one Willie will want to beat is Timi Roli’s market rival, Peace News.
Peace News is another that Willie raved about but which Gigginstown switched to Henry De Bromhead. A winner on the Flat in France, and described as exciting by Henry, yet is claimed off today. My verdict is to let my Fortune Cookies stake on Timi Roli do the talking.
1.25 Cork Closutton has form figures in this maiden of 1-11, three out of three in four years, with even better horses winning for Willie, among them another Fortune Cookie for 2016/17 in Bellshill.
His runner here, odds-on Bacardys, was third in the Punchestown Champion Bumper to Blow By Blow, who is also in the Fortune Cookies list. We are moving in a magic circle today.
..AND WHY SHE’S MY MORGIANA GIRL
2.20 Punchestown (Morgiana Hurdle) There’s a rare clash of two dynasties as the Mullins (greedy man has three chances) meets the O’Brien, after Willie’s total domination of this race in recent years.
He’s 11111 – five in a row – largely thanks to Hurricane Fly’s hat-trick, and Nichols Canyon would be another sequence horse if he follows up on last year.
It says a lot for Nichols Canyon that he stuffed stablemate long-odds-on Faugheen in this race then, but equally it warns of our betting chances: Willie might win it with one of the two others.
Joseph O’Brien saddles Triumph Hurdle winner Ivanovich Gorbatov, third here in the Champion Four-Year-Old Trophy, but Gavin Cromwell lines up another youngster, Jer’s Girl, who just about beats Ivan on a line through Apple’s Jade.
Jer’s Girl gets the mare’s allowance and is BETDAQ-market rival to Nichols Canyon, in receipt of 10lb. But there’s been no four-year-old winner of this, nor even a worthwhile runner of that age (a 50-1 shot in 2011 and 8-1 in 2008 were both well beaten).
It’s a brave shout but the form omens are good in that the horses she’s beaten are heading for champion status themselves: O O Seven and Asthuria, in particular.
I latched on to that line for my Fortune Cookies and shall not desert it now. I took 3.9 Jer’s Girl. Barry Geraghty is two out of two for Gavin Cromwell, both on Jer’s Girl.
3.25 Punchestown So it’s a game of Russian Roulette with the trialists in Ireland today and it may also be taking a chance to punt the eponymous Charles O’Brien runner in this (10.0 BETDAQ offers).
Russian Roulette has always seemed a summer horse but Barry Geraghty prefers him to Travertine, and it’s not a race that will take much winning.
KARISMA KING CAN LAND ENGLISH NAP
1.55 Exeter The handicaps here are difficult but there are young potential stars on show in England as well as Ireland, with good reports in this one of Label Des Obeaux and Missed Approach.
Sandwiched between them in the BETDAQ market is American, a more delicate type; I certainly don’t see him as a robust three-miler first run back.
Alan King has a better record at Exeter (50% in novice chases) and much better recent form than Warren Greatrex, so I took 5.4 Label des Obeaux.
But I remember Private Malone (6.4 offers) running Silsol to a nose first time up last season, and that Daryl Jacob is 50% riding for Emma Lavelle. This is quite a contest, one to take the winner out of the race.
2.40 Uttoxeter Moidore (holds Lower Hope Dandy on form) would have to break the stable’s duck at Uttoxeter; 53 Adam Pogson runners in nearly three years have all been beaten.
I can see Cloudy Too – a great offer at 3.55 in the BETDAQ orange – taking them all on here, and landing the first leg of a Sue Smith double. She got two on this card a year ago.
3.45 Uttoxeter I shall try a double whammy here. The lay is the morning favourite, Black Ivory who has never won on other than good ground and has been beaten on soft.
Additionally, he’s a four-year-old giving weight away in a handicap, notably to Karisma King, second on his seasonal comeback and trained by Sue Smith, bidding for a stable double (I hope).
Transient Boy won first time last season but is rated 34lb higher now and the handicapper may have got hold of him. I thought Karisma King was a sporting English nap at 5.2, worth a Daq Multiples double with my best Irish bet.
DAQMAN’S BETS (to win 20 points each)
BET 5pts win LABEL DES OBEAUX and 4pts win PRIVATE MALONE (1.55 Exeter)
BET 6.5pts win (Irish nap) JER’S GIRL (2.20 Punchestown)
BET 8pts win CLOUDY TOO (2.40 Uttoxeter)
BET 2pts win and place RUSSIAN ROULETTE (3.25 Punchestown)
LAY to lose 10pts BLACK IVORY, and BET 5pts win (English nap) KARISMA KING (3.45 Uttoxeter)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 2pts win double Jer’s Girl (2.20 Punchestown) with Karisma King (3.45 Uttoxeter) and 2pts win treble the two with Bacardys (1.25 Cork)
FORTUNE COOKIES: Timi Roli (12.50 Cork)
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