SIX HIT! BETDAQ VALUE BANKERS: Daqman landed another banker but it was BETDAQ value that scored again, as he made it six maximums out of seven, with yet another odds-against ending up odds-on. Bristol De Mai (WON 10-11) was around 7-4 in the morning.
WON 4-5 Thistlecrack
WON 1-1 Felix Yonger
WON 2-7 Pain Au Chocolat
WON 7-4 Halo Moon
2nd 11-10 Brise Vendeenne
WON 8-11 Jaleo
WON 10-11 Bristol De Mai
SIX HIT! 7-4 ON LAY ONLY THIRD: Daqman deliberately dodged the hot-pots at Leopardstown and tore into two favourites at Sandown instead. In Bristol De Mai’s race, he landed a double whammy by opposing Tea For Two (3rd 7-4), and earlier laid odds-on Peace And Co (3rd 4-7). That takes him to six winning lays out of seven:
WON (lay) Oakley Girl (2nd 8-13 fav)
WON (lay) Sire De Grugy (2nd 11-4)
WON (lay) Megara (2nd 11-4)
LOST (lay) As De Fer (won 9-4 fav)
WON (lay) Tambura (3rd 5-2 fav)
WON (lay) Peace And Co (3rd 4-7 fav)
WON (lay) Tea For Two (3rd 6-4)
9.4 CHELTENHAM TOUCH ON 4-1 SHOT: Daqman also scored a fourth winning bet yesterday with Le Reve (WON 4-1) – so it’s now Daqman 25, Pricewise 10 – and he got the ‘overs’ at Cheltenham for Bristol De Mai (win-50 bull’s-eye bet) in the JLT Chase at 9.4 on BETDAQ. Trading 5.8 and as low as 4-1 with Ladbrokes.
CHARBEL VALUE AT SCOTTISH CHELTENHAM
1.00 Musselburgh (Supreme Novices’ Scottish Trial) Nicky Henderson has scored 100% win and place (three winners, a second and two thirds out of six) in February so far.
Apart from Vaniteux, his winners in the last fortnight have all been youngsters – and he is only seven – so Brain Power takes high rank in the Seven Barrows seven-horse raid on Musselburgh’s Cheltenham-style Scottish championships meeting today.
Brain Power’s Kempton success in November has been boosted by the third but only at class-4 novice level, and you could argue that Charbel is the value at 5.0 on BETDAQ early mouse.
Sold for 280,000euros after his Punchestown Festival Grade-1 bumper fourth to Bellshill, he was the moral, giving weight to the winner at Doncaster in November, after scoring at Stratford first time over obstacles.
Then he ran second at Ascot to the now-158-rated Yanworth, wow-factor winner of the Neptune trial at Cheltenham at the end of last month.
LOOK OUT FOR A LATE GEAR SHIFT..
1.30 Musselburgh (Scottish Champion Chase) Horses of a double-figure age don’t win this, nor have they taken the equivalent championship at Cheltenham in the last decade, though all four here will enjoy the change of going.
Nicky Henderson appears to have another cracking shot, Full Shift also getting his ground. Against the 2m 4f winner is the drop back in trip, but Got The Nac and The Grey Taylor should make it a strong pace.
That is expected to bring Full Shift’s stamina into play. He’s two out of three on a right-handed track.
IS IT SILVER? OR IS SIR’S 5.1 PURE GOLD?
2.00 Musselburgh (Scottish Triumph Hurdle Trial) Sir Chauvelin is two from two at Musselburgh and had the better of Sikandar there on New Year’s Day.
He’s had three hurdle races, so triple the experience of odds-on Tommy Silver, who ran up to Fixe Le Kap at Newbury before that one stormed 28 lengths clear at Warwick to earn an 8-1 quote from Ladbrokes for the Triumph Hurdle at Cheltenham.
Tommy Silver gets 8lb from Sir Chauvelin but backing potential over experience is a dangerous game, particularly if you’re forced to take 5-2 on.
I’ll have a bit of 5.1 against Sir Chauvelin, admitting that it’s partly because I’ve been put away by Ditcheat’s crowing about Old Guard.
Now they seem to be hailing Connetable for the Triumph (7-1 in a place) after he won a small-field stop-start Listed off a light weight at Sandown yesterday, with the odds-on favourite, Peace And Co, head held high as if out of love with the game.
I can’t lay Tommy Silver – he should be good enough here – but it’s clear that the yard is clutching at straws for Cheltenham. In much better form now, it still has to bounce back to the old championship level.
SAMETEGAL IS A BANKER ON STAMINA
2.30 Musselburgh (Scottish Future Champions Novices Chase) Ittirad’s fourth to Ar Mad at Kempton in a very fast race would have made him my choice here but that was 2m.
Sametegal is proven at today’s longer trip, and the Flat-bred Ittirad may be outstayed, and concedes 5lb.
This time, in this second successive four-horse race, we can get 80-100 the favourite. So here I go entrusting a banker to P. Nicholls for the first time since his slump and apparent revival. Eyes wide shut.
COULD BE HENDERSON HEAVEN IN THIS ONE
3.00 Musselburgh (Scottish County Hurdle) The placed horses, Pearly Castle and Zaidiyn do nothing for the form of Aristo Du Plessis’s course-and-distance win at the New Year’s Day meeting. Both are on a losing run.
I would wipe out my lays profits if he won (5.4 on the BETDAQ green as I write), so I’ll stick to finding one to beat him!
Nicky Henderson no doubt has Cardinal Walter revved up for this but he had to be hooded to win his first hurdle in 2014 and improved only a pound last year. The other Henderson runner, Days Of Heaven, under Barry Geraghty, has an equal chance at a better price.
Hawk High has his ground, returning after a break since overfaced at Cheltenham. He’d run up to a decent sort in Glingerburn at Kelso earlier.
Apart from Zaidiyn, Brian Ellison has two others in the bottom half of the handicap, Shrewd cant beat Zaidiyn on previous form on today’s course. Vendor has a place chance.
The obvious thing is to dutch the Henderson pair at 5.8 Cardinal Walter and 9.8 Days Of Heaven.
FAGAN BRED TO STEAL THIS THREE-MILER
3.30 Musselburgh (Albert Bartlett Scottish Trial) No sign of Willie Mullins but here’s the spectre of Gordon Elliott to lay down the Irish challenge to Henderson’s O O Seven.
Only four horses again but this is dangerous stuff, since Fagan and O O Seven have been winning at 2m (that ‘D’ in the cards against Fagan refers to his Points double last Spring).
This is 3m, and both Calivigny and Delusionofgrandeur have won at the trip hardly off the bridle.
A case for checking out the pedigree. And you come up with Calivigny and Fagan, one not the slightest bit fancied at 58.0 but the Irish horse second favourite.
O O Seven’s Grade-1 second is easily the best form but six-wins-in-a-row Fagan has easily the best pedigree, and he’s backable in what turns out to be a duel.
4.00 Musselburgh (Scottish Foxhunter Chase) I think I’ve got a bit of Loose Change for some Daq Multiples.
THERE’S A BIG PUNT ON CUP FINAL
4.30 Musselburgh (The Scottish Pertemps) Winner of the Pertemps Final, Call The Cops hasn’t won first run back the last twice, and the stable won it last year with a lightly weighted youngster.
Step forward Cup Final to do the double, in a race that should fall to the lightweights, since Drum Valley is likely to go haring off in the direction of Princes Street
We haven’t seen Cup Final for 428 days but the layers have blown the worry whistle this morning and he is clear favourite (2.62 on BETDAQ) with his stablemate Call the Cops leading the bar at 7.6.
I shall just put a pound on Drum Valley (20.0 offers) to hang on into a place and put Cup Final in the Multiples.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 20 points)
BET 5pts win CHARBEL and 2.5pts win (stakes saver) BRAIN POWER (1.00 Musselburgh)
BET 6pts win FULL SHIFT (1.30 Musselburgh)
BET 5pts win SIR CHAUVELIN (2.00 Musselburgh)
BANKER: BET 20pts win (nap) SAMETEGAL (2.30 Musselburgh)
BET 4pts win CARDINAL WALTER and 2.2pts win DAYS OF HEAVEN (3.00 Musselburgh)
BET 10pts win FAGAN (3.30 Musselburgh)
BET 1pt win and place DRUM VALLEY (4.30 Musselburgh)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 3 x 3pts win double and 1pt win treble SAMETEGAL (2.30 Musselburgh) and NO LOOSE CHANGE (4.00 Musselburgh) with CUP FINAL (4.30 Musselbugh)
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