THE WINNERS’ MARKET PLACE: Golden rules for finding value and spotting winners: follow DAQMAN every day and explore the BETDAQ offers up to the ‘off’ from incredible markets like this morning’s 101 and 102% at Sandown, 104% in play at Ffos Las and 106% for a hot chase at Naas. Compare with the bookies’ Total SP in the same races last year: 115%, 118% and 122%.
FAREWELL TO THE FLAT
YESTERDAY: Final-fling nap, Danielle (WON 10-11) by nine lengths.
TODAY: The punters trainers and why they win for you.
TOMORROW: How Daqman hit the bull’s-eye with BETDAQ value
AND NOW JUMP TO IT..
TUESDAY: Hot Spots: eyecatchers at the races.
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: Cheltenham weekend previews
FRIDAY/SATURDAY/SUNDAY: 3-day Cheltenham meeting
THE PUNTERS TRAINERS
Flat out all year! The season ended where it began at Doncaster yesterday when – more than seven months apart – William Haggas saddled the November Handicap winner, Castle Cove, to add to his Lincoln success with Godwinson in March.
Percentage wise, Haggas was the punters play of the year. Though Charlie Appleby had a 32% strike rate, winners to runners, Haggas had 24% for more than double the number of starters at 680.
His 164 winners total was beaten only by Andrew Balding, whose 188 produced more than £7m in prizemoney in a sensational season.
There were 29 earnings millionaires, three making more than £7m each, topped of course by Aidan O’Brien (with over £8m) in front of Balding and Team Gosden.
Each-way punters had massive consistency from Balding (459 in first, second or third), followed by Tim Easterby (410) and Charlie Johnston (354).
But shouldn’t trainer ability be measured by wins per horse, not wins to number of runs? If so, Roger Varian (50% ) comes into the big league behind Gosden, Haggas, Johnston and Appleby, with O’Brien right out of the picture.
NARDARAN LIKES IT SOFT
⭕ 2.40 Sandown Another disappointing card blamed on the weather has Paul Nicholls running three over hurdles.
He somehow managed to win with three (two hurdlers) at Wincanton yesterday from a contingent of eight sent on various special missions but it was heart-in-the-mouth at times.
That only two out of four favourites won suggests the yard is not yet firing on all cylinders and his in-and-out score in the last nine days of racing reveals how trappy is betting at this time, even on a 14-times-champion trainer.
He could be lucky in this one as he was at Wincanton in that Nardaran will relish the ground.
Royal Way looks well in against him but has twice been well beaten after the break and the Moores are only 1-28 over jumps, with form of their own favourites in the last two weeks: 0220.
TOWERING COURSE WINNER
⭕ 2.27 Naas (Brown Lad Hurdle) Fairyhouse Gold Cup winner, Spillane’s Tower, returns to hurdles off a mark 34lb lower than when he was second in the Punchestown Gold Cup in April.
Not seen since but it seems a strong pointer to his chances that connections elect to make this reappearance on the track where he won his only hurdle race in 2023.
⭕ 2.50 Ffos Las Boston Joe has won twice in the autumn (October 2023 and October 2024) and three of his five chase wins have been here.
Trainer Rebcca Curtis, who had a good win with Sean Bowen at the Newbury meeting last week, has booked another red-hot rider, Ben Jones (eight recent strikes, one of them at the last Ffos Las meeting).
POCKET GOES WELL FRESH
⭕ 3.02 Naas Inthepocket has had the longest holiday among these but goes well fresh for a stable in form, his nearest rivals penalised under the race conditions.
His jumping let him down in the race won by Ile Atlantique on this course in January but it was Ile Atlantique who then fell apart when raised in class.
He was twice beaten by Champ Kiely but that one needs further than this two miles unless the going turns heavy.
DAQMAN’S BETS on Betdaq Betting Exchange
★ 2.27 Naas (win 12 nap)
BET 8pts win SPILLANES TOWER
2.40 Sandown (win 10)
BET 10pts win NARDARAN
2.50 Ffos Las (win 10)
BET 4pts win BOSTON JOE
3.02 Naas (win 10)
BET 4pts win INTHEPOCKET
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Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
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