DAQMAN’S 12-1 SATURDAY STRIKE TAKEN AT 18.5 ON BETDAQ: Big-race ace Daqman flipped more trump cards yesterday when two bull’s-eye bets at Wolverhampton produced a 12-1 winner, plus winner and third at 10-1 together in the same race, for a total profit on another memorable Saturday of 48 points (61 overall for from four winners Friday and Saturday).
WON 12-1 ASSIMILATION (from 18.5 on BETDAQ)
WON 2-1 URBAN ICON
(3RD 10-1 MARIE’S DIAMOND same race)
TODAY: NAAS OUTSIDERS AT 19.0 AND 22.0: At Naas for the Leinster National today, Daqman cuts the pack and reveals two more outsiders, taken at 19.0 and 22.0 in the BETDAQ orange this morning. His NAP runs in the Southwell finale.
TOMORROW: PURE GOLD FOR CHELTENHAM: Tomorrow he rates the Gold Cup one of the strongest for years, an ‘A’ team of quality in quantity where a super seven of the probables have all the trending qualifications.
ALLEN BALLYMORE BOUND AFTER ALL
⚠️ HEADS UP: While walking the track at Cheltenham this morning, Gordon Elliott did a U-turn and put Envoi Allen back on the grid for the Ballymore.
Was it really a U-turn? Had it been fake news all along, the usual high-fever hysteria of desperate Klingon bloggers which shook the Supreme Hurdle market after Elliott’s Friday night grinning assertion: ‘He could run in the Supreme if it’s deep ground.’
This morning, instead of facing the melee of Press and bloggers, Gordon tweeted plainly: ‘After walking the track and speaking to the owners, I’ve decided to run Envoi Allen in the Ballymore Novice Hurdle on Wednesday.’ And that’s that.
ALTIOR DOUBT
⚠️ HEADS UP: Breaking news on Sunday morning. Altior is lame and Nicky Henderson has said he faces a “battle against time” to get the horse ready for the Champion Chase on Wednesday.
COB LOOKS BEST OF MOB
⭕ 2.00 Warwick The market is dominated by the last time out winners Trincomalee and Nickolson with the sexy 1-1 form figures.
But the problem for short odds backers is that they are both penalised and in receipt of 6lb The Cob could be snapping at their heals.
The Cob’s form is pretty strong coming into this. His second to Ubetya at Uttoxeter looks good enough and Nico De Boinville takes over from Bryony Frost today. The Ben Pauling stable are in good form with three winners from their last 14 runners. De Boinville and Puling also combine with Your Darling who will be hot favourite for the bumper at 5.10pm.
Nickolson has done nothing wrong, winning a bumper at at Ayr and then making a nice winning debut over hurdles at Wincanton. That win came on good ground so he has soft to cope with today and the penalty. He might well leave me red-faced but surely you don’t want too many question marks when you are backing at around even money?
Trincomalee drops back from 2m 5f – the distance he won over at Warwick last time out. He has fair enough form at this trip too, so it shouldn’t be a problem but at the same time it’s slightly surprising given he was staying on so strongly at Warwick. The Lucy Wadham stable are 0/6 from their recent runners including an odds-on shot beaten.
LINO LONE NAAS CD WINNER
⭕ 3.15 Naas (Leinster National) Archrivals at Cheltenham next week, Willie Mullins and Gordon Elliott are running horses in this that just ‘can’t’ win.
I mean can Gordon win it with a 10-year-old that last won a race in September 2017? Cheb De Kerviniou has only ever scored at Auteuil.
Can he win it with the 11-year-old General Principle, whose last seven races include PFPPP returns? He’s likely to miss the Grand National this year, as number 83 on the card.
Or can Willie win with Bonbon Au Miel, who was absent only six races back for 892 days and returns again today after another 725-day holiday?
Their form contrasts sharply with Castle Oliver’s 111 of a rising six-year-old. It all makes for a typical mix of a big chase in Ireland, when a small bet just for the craic can make you a big winner.
When Pairofbrowneyes who’s won it for the last two years, took it first in 2018, he’d been down the field four times in a row, beaten a total of 76 lengths.
Interesting that the runner-up that day was Space Cadet, when trained by none other than Gordon Elliott! He’s given a bit of a squeak today on his fourth at Navan in November in the Ladbrokes Troytown Chase behind next Friday’s Gold Cup hope, Chris’s Dream.
Right alongside among the bottomweights for J P McManus is Mon Lino, who was only run out of it in the last few yards in the Grade B Porterstown Chase over the Fairyhouse Irish Grand National course and distance.
Mon Lino is the only Naas course-and-distance winner in today’s field and he just might remember the place!
At 19.0 offers in the BETDAQ orange early doors, was worth a euro, just in case he feels like putting in the same performance again, now that the cheekpieces are back on.
The handicapper was brutal to Gordon Elliott’s Monbeg Notorious after he won the 2018 Thyestes and then ran second in the Punchestown Champion Novice. But during last year he dropped him 10lb, and Davy Russell could supercharge this quirky customer today: BETDAQ 22.0
ALMINAR TO RELISH STAMINA TEST
⭕ 3.35 Warwick This class 3 will be a real slog over the 3m 5f Warwick fences.
It’s easy to see why Fleminport is proving popular given has given the impression he will be suited by the step up in trip.
Echo Watt bids for a hat-trick and is another up in distance but also up 6lb for a hard fought victory last time out.
Although Alminar fits the same criteria of up in distance and weights he showed no signs of stopping when bolting up by five lengths over 3m at Chepstow last time out and remains relatively progressive in the context of the race.
LONDONIA CALLING
⭕ 5.30 Southwell Oleg has to to be feared from the Paul Nicholls stable but having his first start on the flat for 576 days is hard to assess on first run since a wind op and on his first start at Southwell.
There are far less variables with Londonia who scooted up over course and distance last week on his Fibresand debut and the excellent Hollie Doyle rides.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked as advised on each race)
2.00 Warwick (win 10)
BET 2.7pts win THE COB
3.15 Naas (win-50 bulls’-eye bets, 10 a place)
BET 2.7pts win and place MON LINO
BET 2.3pts win and place MONBEG NOTORIOUS
3.35 Warwick (win 20, place win 10)
BET 2.7pts win and 5.5pts place ALMINAR
5.30 Southwell (win 10)
BET 4.5pts win (nap) LONDONIA
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