19.0 WINNER IN 113-1 ONE-TWO: Daqman has served it up on a plate for punters this weekend, his main course a sensational one-two from just two tips for the Northumberland Plate, returning a 113-1 Ladbrokes straight forecast from the first running of the race on the new Tapeta track:
WON 16-1 Antiquarium (from 19.0 Betdaq)
2nd 13-2 Seamour (from 10.0 Betdaq)
TRIPLE-VALUE 121 POINTS PROFIT: Daqman backed Antiquarium at 19.0 as a triple-value bet which you can only get with the low overround on BETDAQ. More about that tomorrow. In fact, he won 121 points from the win and place of this Pot Of Gold.
ANOTHER ‘FORTUNE” AS WHISPERS WIN TWO RACES OUT OF TWO: While Antiquarium and Seamour were ‘hidden horses’, Dannyday was one of two (and only two) special ‘whispers’ which he revealed in advance on Thursday:
WON 2-1 Huge Future (banker), ‘ a handicapping error,’ said our man.
WON 7-2 Dannyday, co-opted to Daqman’s Fortune Cookies last week.
SECOND TON: DAQMAN PRICEWISE PROMISE
Will there be less French racing now we’ve left the EU? That’s a Cleethorpes betting-shop question if ever I heard one! But it does suddenly feel quiet on the eastern front, with a blank Sunday in France.
Such is the action here that it’s even got Pricewise working on a weekend, tipping in two big handicaps, the Uttoxeter Summer Cup and the Rockingham Handicap at The Curragh.
It’s Daqman 52, Pricewise 23 with more than half the season left, so I’m going to declare my target now: to get another 100 wins against him this Flat season.
The 2015 Flat ended Daqman 105, Pricewise 23; so I know I can do it, though I see he’s hit last year’s total already and is in better form this season.
Also it coincides with my new spread of bets – as yesterday showed – for which more will be revealed tomorrow.
COME ON MY SON! IT’S SUMMER SOLSTICE
3.00 Uttoxeter One For The Guv’nor could be a hidden horse here. I’ve been looking at theshort end of the market and losing face – and money – on too many ‘obvious’ naps.
One For The Guv’nr might be on a hat-trick here if he hadn’ trun in a conditionals race, then tripped when every chance on the last day, returning afte a long absence. I took 8.6 on BETDAQ, but we have also to back stablemate Baratineur (7.0 at the time).
3.30 Uttoxeter (Summer Cup) Tipping winners takes immense concentration and getting inside the form, so I don’t often leap with delight at the Jumps game when it comes up in the summer during the hard eork of the Flat.
But Uttoxeter and Market Rasen in particular have tasty sunshine handicaps that force me to take the dust covers off the Jumps stats and other areas which furnish the form. The level is strong (Listed), and the handicap range 26-28lb.
In fact, there was nearly three stone top to bottom in the long handicap for this one and, theoretically, no less than half the field carries overweight of between a pound (What A Warrior) and 25lb (the bottom two) because of the presence of Menorah.
Those punters who instantly strike out the bottom 11 for their crime of being out of the handicap (with inadequate form) should note that most winners of this race were only just out of novice status, like Solstice So, and with On The Bridge and Tony Star particular tricky to calculate because hunter-chasers.
The one that stands out for me in the bottom half is Ballykan, a fine young stayer in the making who has dropped from Graded chases, including a try at the Grand National fences in the Topham Chase.
As for Menorah himself, the Charlie Hall (2014) apart, he has won only one race (three times) at Sandown, since December, 2012. And, like the 2015 winner, Shuil Royale, and two or three others in this, is now aged 11.
Shuil Royale made nonsense of a competitive contest last year, being called the winner a long way out. He didn’t score again until dropped back near that mark and that Newton Abbot win in May takes him back to 139, his highest ever rating.
There are three issues at this time of year: is the stable in form, or capable of producing something special out of season, as it were? Which horses will act on the summer surface? Which have raced in late May and June, and should, therefore, be at peak?
Philip Hobbs, Paul Nicholls, Ian Williams, Neil Mulholland, Nigel Twiston-Davies and Peter Bowen are all winning races.
And among the winningmost trainer-jockey combinations (connected with On The Bridge, Saint Roque and Solstice Son) is that man Nicholls.
It may be as simple as backing Saint Roque and Pacha Du Polder, which are both sent out from Ditcheat.
Katkeau and Gas Line Boy, first and second at Uttoxeter in a similsr big-field handicap in April (What A Warrior behind) could both do with more rain than is forecast.
Scottish National winner Al Co loves a sound surface but this once-a-year winner to 2014 has scored only once since then and is another 11-year-old.
VERDICT: Pacha Du Polder (9.6 on BETDAQ) has been used as a fun horse since he won the Greatwood off 9lb higher. He’s carrying two stone less than for his exploits with Valerie Pendelton and, under Sam Twiston-Davies, should be involved in this.
Sam’ s father, Nigel, hjs yet another young stayer in the making in 22.0 BETDAQ offer Ballykan, a ‘hidden horse’ in that he’s been mixing it with Graded chasers and Grand National types.
Three seven-year-olds have won in the four years of this race and Anthony Honeyball’s Solstice Son (15.5 best offers) is another ‘could be anything’.
KASBAH CAN ROCK FOR IRISH: BETDAQ 10.5
4.20 The Curragh (Pretty Polly Stakes) Fortune Cookie Minding seems to have a simple task to add the Pretty Polly to her English Classic double of 1,000 Guineas and Oaks.
4.55 The Curragh (Rockingham Handicap) David Nicholls, who successfully raided with Masta Plasta (2008), sends over the ultra-consistent Kimberella who has been running in better-class races, but he’s won only once in 17 starts since last July, and ultra-conisistency means no let-up by the handicapper.
Strictly on the book, he would find it difficult holding 7.8 BETDAQ offer Desert Law at the revised weights. I thought the rain would stop that one, but trainer Paul Midgley doesn’t seem worried and is ‘expecting a big run.’
The English usually win this and Dutch masterpiece is a CD winner and could bounce back but the bet would be full of risk, even at 9.4
I like Johnny Murtagh’s Kasbah (10.5) who drops back to a fast-run 5f, which will suit, and is at last weighted to turn around the form with his old rival Ardhoomey.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 20 points unless otherwise stated)
BET 2.5pts win (nap) ONE FOR TH GUV’NR and 3.3pts win BARATINEUR (3.00 Uttoxeter)
BULL’S-EYE BETS (to win 50 points): 3.4pts win and place SOLSTICE SON, and 2.3pts win and place BALLYKAN with 1.5pts win (stakes saver) PACHA DU POLDER (3.30 Uttoxeter)
FORTUNE COOKIE: Minding (4.20 The Curragh)
BET 3pts win DESERT LAW and 2pts win and place KASBAH (4.55 The Curragh)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 4 x 1pt win trebles ONE FOR TH GUV’NR and BARATINEUR (3.00 Uttoxeter) with MINDING (4.20 The Curragh) and with DESERT LAW and KASBAH (4.55 The Curragh)
£25 IN FREE BETS
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
