20-1 DAQMAN WINNER ‘ALL ABOUT EVE’: With winners at 8-1, 18-1 and 20-1 in the last 10 days, Eve Johnson Houghton is the punter’s trainer to follow. Daqman got in on the act, as he brought history to life at Brighton yesterday, and was rewarded with a 20-1 strike. It’s all about Eve again today as Daqman checks out the evening meetings.
WEDNESDAY: profit on the day 25 points
WON 20-1 UNCLE DICK (bull’s-eye bet)
TUESDAY: profit on the day 20.75
WON 2-1 TOULEEN (nap)
WON 11-8 DREAM DEAL
WON (Lays Logic) MISS CARTESIAN unplaced 15-8 favourite
WON 6-1 MISTER SOX (Monday)
THE ONE TO WATCH AT 20-1
⭕ 6.00 Chepstow Charlie Bishop has ridden the two previous winners of this, both for Eve Johnson Houghton (one of them, Great Acclaim, who runs in the 6.30 over 7f this time around).
Trainer George Scott takes the hint, not only booking Bishop for a hat-trick bid in this mile handicap but fitting blinkers first time to Watch And Shoot, who has been beaten only a length in each of his last two starts. Too big at around 20-1 this morning.
The three-year-old returns to the mile of his penultimate start, when he was denied a clear run inside the final furlong.
LAYS LOGIC: Sword has strong recent form – third in the International at the King George meeting – but was also third, beaten favourite, in class 4 before that, and the Team Gosden cast-off has never won at a mile.
Ratings wise, Sword is no sharper than he was at Kempton exactly a year ago, blinkered first time that day but beaten at odds on, and on exactly the same rating (87) as today.
Great Blasket isn’t improving either; just a pound higher than his rating last June, so I’ll chance Watch And Shoot as my pick of the three-year-olds.
The two others, Boubyan and Jarham, weakened out of a similar handicap at Newbury, a grade lower in class 5.
GREAT MATCH WITH BRIAN
⭕ 6.30 Chepstow Bishop is back with Eve Johnson Houghton here on last year’s mile winner at the meeting, Great Acclaim, who scored in first-time blinkers at Goodwood last week.
Great Acclaim won the 6 o’clock last year and one week later followed up off 10st at Windsor, so no worries about tonight coming quickly with a penalty.
The three-year-old with potential in this is Brian, third as a juvenile in both the Chesham at Royal Ascot and the Sirenia at Kempton, with winners awarded 108 and 111 ratings.
Brian drops to a handicap here (on 100) after a seasonal debut fourth in the Commonwealth Cup Trial, a couple of lengths off Big Mojo, and was then carried across into the group on the losing side in the Group-3 Jersey Stakes, back at the royal meeting.
Betdaq Betting Exchange 3.6 Great Acclaim, 8.5 Brian
FORM FAVOURS MURTAGH
⭕ 6.23 Leopardstown (Desmond Stakes) Three-year-olds, which have won seven out of nine in this, have just the one runner this year, Alakazi, trained by the 2021 winning yard of Johnny Murtagh.
Alakazi broke his maiden here and has been placed in two Listed races since. The alternative is stablemate Chicago Critic who, though he has turnkey form, was 9.2 in the BETDAQ offers this morning.
Placed in the Jersey Stakes last summer, he won a Listed at Leopardstown, when last year’s winner of this, Mutasarref, was third and the 2023 winner, Lord Massusus, was fifth.
CLASH OF TOP TWO JOCKEYS
⭕ 6.53 Leopardstown (Ballyroan Stakes) Colin Keane (56) and Dylan Browne McMonagle (55) are neck and neck at the top of the Irish Flat jockeys’ championship, with identical strike rates (17% each) and near-identical earnings (€1.6m each).
McMonagle rides Sons And Lovers for Joseph O’Brien for whom he won this race in 2022, while Keane is going for a Ballyroan hat-trick, having scored the last two years running on hot favourites.
His 2024 winner, Crystal Black, completed five in a row but flopped in April on his first start since that Ballyroan. He was a well-beaten fourth and has not been seen since (so another ‘holiday’ of 117 days).
And, though this is his first attempt at 1m 4f, Sons And Lovers has been seen (over 10 furlongs) behind Group-1 winner Los Angeles, and when short of room behind Haatem at Royal Ascot.
DAQMAN’S BETS on Betdaq Betting Exchange
6.00 Chepstow (win-50 bull’s-eye bet)
BET 2.5pts win WATCH AND SHOOT
(4pts place to win 12 at 4.0)
6.23 Leopardstown (win 20, win 10)
BET 2.5pts win CHICAGO CRITIC
BET 4pts win ALAKAZI
6.30 Chepstow (win 20, win 10)
BET 2.5pts win BRIAN
BET 4pts win GREAT ACCLAIM
★ 6.53 Leopardstown (win 12, nap)
BET 5pts win SONS AND LOVERS
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