DAQMAN CHECKS OUT SIX MEETINGS: Daqman sifts through three English meetings this afternoon and two tonight, plus the feature at Leopardstown in Ireland.
HE FINDS BIG OFFERS ON BETDAQ: Among his more speculative bets are two at 18.0, one at 16.5, one at 13.5 and one at 11.5 on BETDAQ. But his nap is a maximum-stakes banker at Chepstow.
18.0 RAIDER REROUTED WORTH A PLACE
Salisbury is not one of my favourite tracks. (Now he tells us). And there was no warning yesterday that it would be Henry Candy benefit day.
Henry is so laid back.. or is it his way of keeping a secret (or two, or three). He’s certainly canny with the horses. But they race for him and his owners. Not for us.
That’s one of the first lessons a punter must learn and it follows that we should study closely the habits, leanings (not too far back, Henry!) and gambits of every trainer.
Simplistic foraging of the form book will reveal that Lady Cecil is 5-6 at Salisbury, and that local trainer Marcus Tregoning does well.
2.20 Salisbury Low numbers in the draw – 3, 3, 4, 2, 2 – won five out of six yesterday but (here we go again!) the firm ground is due to be spat on – I nearly said worse – by ‘afternoon thunderstorms; chance of rain 90%’. Give us a break!
H Candy has managed to sneak one in the opener off bottom weight. Perceived is by Sir Percy (progeny have 25% strike rate on heavy) out of a Generous mare, so we can be sure Henry is leaning back looking at the heavens. May they open for my 13.5 taken on BETDAQ.
3.25 Salisbury Candy could again be in the money, with Cosette the only winner in the field on soft ground. Opera Fan is likely to take them all on, and is the alternative if the going stays firm.
Should the surface be just plain slippery, save on the starter’s hack: he’s got big feet (the hack, not the starter).
4.00 Salisbury (Sovereign Stakes) Obviously, we try to take this race seriously, as a Group 3. It always gives me an impending end-of-season feeling when I see it come around.
And, as far as Genius Boy and Master Carpenter are concerned, they look exposed already after a long year; but all others are lightly raced, and the bottommost trio of three-year-olds look likely to improve.
One of them, Willie Haggas’s Yuften, was clear favourite this morning for a stable that has been in devastating form: 22 in the frame in the last fortnight, 10 of them winners. Its 67 successes on turf this season have been achieved with a superb 27% strike-rate. Mortgage payer.
Yuften, bless him, has won on firm and been beaten only a neck in a Group 1 at Chantilly on ‘very soft’. So no worries. Pile on. There is, of course, the little matter of the other horses in the race.
Team Hannon with two barrels loaded – slow starter Producer and Lennox Stakes placed Anjaal – plus three other Group 3 winners pose potential hazards without looking dangerous traps.
But loudest alarm bell, until it was somewhat muffled by the very easy offers of 18.0 on BETDAQ early mouse, would have to be Rerouted, trained by Mike De Kock. What’s Rerouted doing over here?
The answer may be that the De Kock has brought one or two over to accompany Shea Shea, one of the leaders in the markets for next week’s Nunthorpe.
BEVERLEY Low numbers continue to dominate the sprints, and Taffetta (3.00) is worth a pound from the one draw, a son of Paco Boy from a yard which won with a juvenile at a meeting here last month: 18.0 on BETDAQ as I write.
Mayfield Girl (3.35) drops in class and in trip from gate 2 and should be hard to beat, 6.8 on BETDAQ early mouse. Poor race, and fillies unpredictable, of course.
NEWMARKET Softish already. Chance of rain: 90%. No excuses for backing firm-ground horses. But, if you still don’t know what mysteries abound behind the art of breeding and training horses, try this on for size.
Jeremy Noseda runs two in the opener (2.10), both sired by sprint champ Equiano. Courier is related on the dam’s side to a Champion Hurdle winner (2m and jumping), while Luna Moon’s mother was a sprinter (6f).
Noseda has yet to land a two-year-old winner so the short price about Luna Moon is probably based on her entry in the Cheveley Park.
Piceno (3.15) is hard to win with, but has a big chance today with the ground come in his favour, and dropped back a furlong. Kieren Fallon is likely to play catch-me.
DINE OUT ON THE DANCER THIS EVENING
7.15 Leopardstown (Desmond Stakes) A Group 3 of seven previous Group-3 winners. Custom City should turn around Spring placings at The Curragh with Sruthan, but Sruthan goes well when fresh.
And as well as Custom Cut – who has since won a Listed from the front at Pontefract – Ansgar, Brendan Brackan and Leitir Mor are also leaders or van horses and there could be some throats cut with so much pace on.
Though Joseph O’Brien is on Great White Eagle, he may not have wanted to do the weight on the filly Palace, who scored at Killarney in very fast time, and was out of her depth over a trip too far in the Irish Oaks: 11.5 this morning.
I shall also leave a pound in last-chance saloon for Harasiya. Top class in her early years, she is slowly coming right after injury, and has her ground here: 16.5 is not going to damage the wallet.
CHEPSTOW At last Sir Mark Prescott has found a sequence horse for this season, Deauville Dancer (7.25). That’s the word form the yard. And the message from the market confirms, though still odds against as I write.
Sir Mark has a 50% record with such animals on this course and jockey Luke Morris is 40% successful on rides for him.
FONTWELL A P McCoy needs 10 winners by September 4 for his fastest century. That he’s still chasing records says it all about the unstoppable champeen. His first three rides tonight were all winners last time, still standing.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 20 points)
BET 1.6pts win and place PERCEIVED (2.20 Salisbury)
BET 1pt win and place TAFFETA (3.00 Beverley)
BET 6.25pts win PICENO (3.15 Newmarket)
BET 5pts win COSETTE and 2.5pts win (stakes saver) OPERA FAN (3.25 Salisbury)
BET 3.4pts win MAYFIELD GIRL (3.35 Beverley)
BET 10.5pts win YUFTEN, and 1pt win and place REROUTED (4.00 Salisbury)
BET 2pts win PALACE and 1.2pts win and place HARASIYA (7.15 Leopardstown)
BANKER: BET 20pts win (nap) DEAUVILLE DANCER (7.25 Chepstow)
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