DONNACHA KEEPING IT IN THE FAMILY: Daqman explores the best-quality racing on a near-eight-hour day of quantity on seven English and Irish cards between Sandown and Doncaster, with the big race at Leopardstown sandwiched in between. He reckons Charlie Appleby the trainer to follow and Aidan O’Brien’s eight-in-a-row sequence in the Tyros race may be ended by his son, Donnacha.
TOMORROW: Day 1 of the King George meeting at Ascot.
APPLEBY-BUICK ‘CROSS’ DOUBLES
⭕ 1.50 Sandown (7f 2-y-o) Here’s the race in which the 2020 winner of the 2,000 Guineas, Kameko, broke his maiden, and Zechariah beat Westover at Newbury after winning this class-4 contest last year.
The Frankel colt Arrest catches the eye, and Nostrum is a half-brother to Australia, but the market speaks for the Dubawi colt Golden Speech, narrowly beaten over today’s CD by Charlie Appleby stablemate One Nation.
I think Appleby has laid out his stall for a hat-trick, with Fairy Cross (2.25) and After The Rain (4.10) the pick of their trio.
⭕ 2.25 Sandown (7f Listed 2-yo) Inspiral won this before her May Hill and Fillies’ Mile victories, but her winning jockey, Frankie Dettori, takes a rare ride for David Menuisier here.
Though his mount, Pure Gold, is by Golden Horn out of a Nathaniel mare, she cost only 32,000 guineas as a yearling and wasn’t fancied on her Kempton debut as one bred for double the distance. She belied her 28-1 SP, though the time was slow.
Team Johnston has taken this twice recently, and Dance In The Grass, who turned over the odds-on One Nation – Sandown CD in June – could get a boost from Golden Speech (1.50), who ran One Nation to half a length on the first of July, also over this CD.
Fairy Cross, a One Nation stablemate, was well behind Mawj at Newmarket in May before winning easily on the July Course there from a next-time winner.
Tagline, fourth to Mawj at Group-2 level, had caught the eye on the Newmarket July course, but there are eight last-time winners in this race, and the collateral form suggests Fairy Cross (BETDAQ 3.85).
⭕ 4.10 Sandown Charlie Appleby and Wlliam Buick can follow up Fairy Cross with After The Rain, who is almost certain to set the pace on her four-timer bid. I took BETDAQ 2.82.
The danger, Amanzoe, tries 1m 2f for the first time and Buick will want to stretch her off her mark 10lb higher than when winning a four-runner affair at Hamilton.
PROUD PICK OF THE TYROS MARKET
⭕ 6.30 Leopardstown (2yo Tyros Stakes, 7f Group 3) Aidan O’Brien (Age Of Kings) has won this eight years running, including with Gleneagles (2014) and Churchill (2016) in different circumstances, one just a maiden winner, one following up victory in the Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot.
Age Of Kings was seventh in the Coventry then – with a tongue-tie – was fourth in the Railway Stakes. Maybe this extra furlong will help.
Today it is Pearling Path who tries to follow up from the Chesham, in which he finished a length down after running green: before the race third, fourth, five, sixth, seventh were all winners the last day.
Pearling Path’s performance at 80-1 was a surprise to connections, who declared they didn’t know whether to geld him or enter him in the pattern! Doesn’t give you much faith, does it.
Hellsing was bought with sales’ races in mind but could have the Curragh Futurity next month on his diary if coming well out of this.
Donnacha O’Brien runs the Galileo colt Proud And Regal, a debut winner at the Curragh in late June, and Joseph O’Brien saddles Voce Del Palio, who was the ‘moral’ on this course five weeks back when beaten little more than a length giving 6lb to the winner.
Six of the last eight winners of this were odds on but there seems to be a playable market today. Proud And Regal is brother to a 2yo Group-3 winner and might be good enough. Betdaq Betting Exchange 3.7.
TWEE LOOKS THE LATE-NIGHT NAP
⭕ 8.55 Doncaster Dandy Dinmont, Lady Raeburn and Raydoun were one, two, three over the CD in June, and should finish in a line under the revised weights.
But Willem Twee’s maiden win over the same CD was in faster time and he is hardly exposed after just three starts. Ten would win you eight in early exchanges.
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.25 Sandown (win 12)
BET 4.25pts win FAIRY CROSS
4.10 Sandown (win 10)
BET 5.5pts win AFTER THE RAIN
6.30 Leopardstown (win 10)
BET 3.75pts win PROUD AND REGAL
8.55 Doncaster (win 12, nap)
BET 15pts win WILLEM TWEE
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.