FIVE BANKERS UP OUT OF SEVEN: Daqman stepped up his maximum stakes to 30 points yesterday, with a gold banker on Idaho in the Great Voltigeur St Leger trial at York, taking their earnings to 80 points:
WON 4-5 Walpole
WON 7-4 Adool
WON 5-6 Alyssa
WON 9-10 Sweet Sounds
WON 5-6 Idaho (gold)
BULL’S-EYE BETS IN TWO RACES: Today there’s another Gold Banker plus Bull’s-Eye Bets to win 50 points each in two other York races. Look out for his fancies for huge offers at 27.0 and 18.0. He meets Pricewise head on in the 1.55, 3.05 and 3.40 with the scores Daqman 65, Pricewise 28
18.0 ‘DOWN’ CAN COME UP FOR CANDY
1.55 York Which side to go? Low numbers are best, according to yesterday’s sprint, but the last five winners of this have been drawn 13 or higher. We need one in each split.
Kevin Ryan, who tries to follow up 2010 and 2011 success, probably had that in mind when giving himself four chances today.
His pair, Heir Of Excitement (soft, class 4) and Hemingway (firm, but placed horses beaten since), have won races and are likely to help set a strong pace for the low stalls, but seem a stone behind some, as do those he has on the other side, Perfect Madge and Perfect Symphony.
But Perfect Madge has form in line with the last two winners of this, who had scored at least once among four previous races, with one run each in Group 2.
Rusumaat and Stormy Clouds also fit that bill, with Stormy Clouds running for Richard Hannon in place of Legendary Lunch.
Stormy Clouds’ experience, and her late finishes behind Mrs Danvers over the minimum would give her a chance here, wherever she’s drawn.
And, in fact, the single-figure stalls have pace on from Mr Hobbs and Miss Infinity as well as from the Ryan pair.
On the high side is another strong finisher, Henry Candy’s Angel Down, who got close to subsequent Robert Papin winner Tis Marvelous at Newbury, and looked progressive when scoring on firm at Windsor on the last day.
1.55 BETDAQ VALUE (104% overround) must surely be 10.0 Stormy Clouds and 18.0 Angel Down on lines to Group form.
ADAMANT EVA HAS THE FRANKEL MANNER
2.30 York (Lowther Stakes) Frankel’s daughter Fair Eva holds both Kilmah (at Ascot) and Nations Alexander at (Newbury) four lengths, whereas Roly Poly beat them in the same race at Newmarket (Cherry Hinton) by only about a length and in slower time.
Though closing down Roly Poly by about a length from previous Curragh form, Magical Fire was in among that Newmarket finish, so has to improve as they do, if they are to trouble Fair Eva.
That leaves another daughter of Frankel, Queen Kindly (dam won the Lowther), needing to make the step up from her Albany third at Royal Ascot.
The runner-up that day at Ascot, just in front of Queen Kindly, was Bletchley, the disappointing favourite, sixth, behind Rol yPoly in the Cherry Hinton.
As I warned yesterday, we are making collateral comparisons on different ground, but all the signs are that Fair Eva is a monster, or nearly so, like her dad.
BIRDMAN COULD FY HOME AT HUGE 27.0
3.05 York Five times a winner last Spring and summer, Birdman, badly hampered behind Chil The Kite in this race last year, is the one who comes out best at the weights from that form.
His David O’Meara yard has not had a great year but may have turned the corner with Mondialiste’s victory in the Arlington Million at the weekend, and the trainer has won this before with a six-year-old from a similar berth in 2014 (Mont Ras made all).
Three-year-olds used to do well (three out of four up to 2010) and Mustashry is a cool placing by Sir Michael Stoute, though he won’t be happy with an outside stall.
But, though a low draw seems an obvious advantage for the bend in to the straight, in fact gates 9 to 18 have won seven out of nine, albeit the racereaders report on 2014 scorer (the aptly named) Short Squeeze gives you some idea of what you’ll be up against: ‘Not clear run and repeatedly switched’
Azraff has been thereabouts in some big-field handicaps, and the Cambridgeshire winner, Third Time Lucky, is due to bounce back any time, though both probably prefer better ground.
3.05 BETDAQ VALUE (106% overround); 6.8 Mustashry, 27.0 Birdman.
TRUST STOUTE TO BOWL OUT BALLYDOYLE
3.40 York (Yorkshire Oaks) Three-year-olds are going for a hat-trick, 6-4 in front of the four-year-olds.
Eight-times runner-up from 16 starts tells you the trouble with Found but it’s hard to find against her as a lay, as she’s beaten Golden Horn and run second to Postponed.
What have the others done remotely as good as that? A question that should be answered by Aidan O’Brien, who also saddles Seventh Heaven, his Curragh Oaks winner, who had all others of today’s Classic crop against her then, excepting Queen’s Trust and the lower class Fireglow. And Queen’s Trust ran second in the Nassau at Goodwood to another Ballydoyle star, Minding.
But Queen’s Trust deserves to be rated not 112 but around 116 for the Nassau (check it out) andthe Irish Oaks ratings is all to cock, too, because the 113 Architecture raced off that day puts Seventh Heaven on 116 and Harlequeen on 111.
The handicapper has since confirmed Architecture at 112 and Harlequeen at 110 but wants to give Seventh Heaven only 114.
Suffice it to say there is very little difference Between Queen’s Trust and Seventh Heaven
3.40 BETDAQ VALUE (105% overround): Racing’s great horse-whisperer and cricket fan Sir Michael Stoute has brought Queen’s Trust along steadily for this and no one would baulk at a runner-up to Minding taking the prize. Yet I can get 7.0 where Seventh Heaven is 5.2
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.55 York
BULL’S-EYE BETS (win 50): 5.5pts win STORMY CLOUD; 3pts win and place ANGEL DOWN
2.30 York
GOLD BANKER: 30pts win (nap) FAIR EVA
3.05 York
BULL’S-EYE BETS (win 50): 8.6pts win MUSTASHRY; 2pts win and place BIRDMAN
3.40 York
BET (to win 30) 5pts win and place QUEEN’S TRUST
Fortune Cookies
3.40 York 20pts win FOUND
Two-Year-Olds To Follow
2.30 York 20pts win FAIR EVA and ROLY POLY
£25 IN FREE BETS
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