ROBBIN THE LAYERS WITH FIVE WINNERS: Three winners and a second in a yankee! That’s how close Daqman came to the big payout yesterday, but he made a profit on the day and has now landed five winners and two seconds in two days. Yesterday:
WON 9-4 Robbin’Hannon
WON 7-4 Buttercup
WON 4-5 Alemaratalyoum
A WEEKEND ROUND THE WORLD: Look out this weekend! Daqman hunts for value in the two-day Newbury meeting starting tomorrow. Then there’s the World Cup at Meydan on Saturday, and the Irish Lincolnshire on Sunday, which Daqman previews today.
ROUND TWO IS ROUND 1 TO BOLGER?
Stats anoraks beware. Naas plays host at both start and finish of the Irish turf season. So the old Irish Lincolnshire facts and figures go out of the window for Sunday’s first big Flat race of both England and Ireland, switched from the Curragh.
Naas has the Flat (turf) launch on Sunday and the farewell meeting on November 5, as the Curragh fixture list is concertinaed from mid-May to mid-September to facilitate redevelopment.
Leading trainer at Naas? None other than Aidan O’Brien, who currently has an Irish Derby contender of last June, Claudio Monteverdi, in the Lincolnshire,
Leading trainer at Naas on value (with a big level-stakes profit) is Ger Lyons, who can choose from Brendan Bracken and Sea Wolf.
Lyons has a 37% strike rate this year on AW but also in form are Dermot Weld (Sikandarabad) and Patrick Prendergast (Canary Row, fifth in the 2015 Irish Lincolnshire).
Jim Bolger, too, has been among the AW winners, which is a big bonus for his fans who remember a vey slow start last season. Bolger can choose from Round Two and Stenographer.
Of all those I have mentioned, Sea Wolf is of particular interest as one who changed stables (Michael Dods to Ger Lyons) last summer and showed the benefit by scoring twice in four starts, including defeat of Sikandarabad in the Irish Cambridegshsire.
Sea Wolf is up only 2lb for that but Sikandarabad could have improved some from three to four.
Round Two is eye-catching as a winner first time out last season, here at Naas, going on to take the Marble Hill and then run down the field in the Coventry. A Spring horse, Round Two could be a knock-out for Bolger.
SPINNER SHOULD LAND THE NAP
3.50 Chepstow Loughalder (8.2 offers in BETDAQ) showed signs of a return to form on the last day.
He has a 50% win-and-place strike rate over fences, six of his eight wins coming between March and May.
Trainer Matt Shepherd is 6-17 with chasers here, but his most notable statistic is a massive level-stakes profit, which suggests that we have to catch them at Loughalder’s price.
Pink Gin should win it, but Nigel Twiston-Davies’ poor Cheltenham and low-key1-32 in the last fortnight puts me right off. I’ll just have a soft drink.
4.10 Ludlow Red Spinner returns to his winning trip and can take a race of front-runners for Kim Bailey, who has a modest strike rate here unless employing David Bass.
The jockey has figures of just under 20% when they team up, and Red Spinner was 3.9 on BETDAQ this morning, challenging Speredek to maintain his winning sequence after a 7lb rise.
4.40 Ludlow Is there a chink in Galway Jack’s armour? If there is, 6.0 BETDAQ offer New Ben might find it out under Mr Alex Edwards.
A prolific Points winner, New Ben is said to be ‘close up’ in the Philip Rowley yard to Barel of Laughs, who was beaten two necks in the Foxhunter at Cheltenham partnered by the the same jockey.
6.50 Chelmsford Louis Steward is 2-3 for Michael Bell who is, himself, 2-3 in the last 12 days, and – as a dual hurdles winner in the late summer – Taper Tantrum is better than the bare form figures, and would be hard to catch if he can run the race for stamina.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked 1 to 9 for strength)
BET 3pts win and place LOUGHALDER (3.50 Chepstow)
BET 7pts win (nap) RED SPINNER (4.10 Ludlow)
BET 4pts win NEW BEN (4.40 Ludlow)
BET 6pts win TAPER TANTRUM (6.50 Chelmsford)
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