NAP AND DOUBLE UP WITH GRANDEUR: Daqman claimed that Grandeur was a ‘confident nap’ at Goodwood yesterday. Sure enough, Grandeur (WON 6-4) obliged and Daqman completed a double with Mushir (WON 4-5) in a BETDAQ-sponsored race at Kempton Park last night.
BACK-TO-BACK DAILY PROFIT: Daqman also scored in two other BETDAQ races at Kempton with Havelovewilltravel (WON 5-2) and Cat O’Mountain (WON 11-10) for a profit of 39.80 to add to 5.60 on Tuesday.
LOOK OUT FOR A NEWMARKET NAP: The Cambridgeshire meeting opens today, with race-by-race analysis from Daqman, who naps there on the opening day, and previews the big race with his ABC guide to what he considers the top 13 contenders.
LUCKY-13 CAMBRIDGESHIRE ABC:
A 14 winners out of 20 were aged 3 and 4
B 9 out of 10 in the frame in 14-runner-plus handicap
C 7 out of 10 rated 94 to 102
+Will have to carry more weight in future
D 7 out of 10 won over CD or 1m 2f on another course
E 7 out of 10 were drawn from 15 or higher (watch for news)
ABCD Bronze Angel Last year’s winner from a break after running third in the Britannia at Royal Ascot, so clearly goes well fresh and trainer Tregoning is a man to get them to the start in top condition after an absence.
The snag is that the stable is struggling right now, without a recent winner. What’s more the last two Tregoning-trained favourites were beaten, one of them at odds on. Bronze Angel is 6lb higher than in 2012.
ABCD Danchai The John Smith’s Cup winner at York in July failed to follow up under a 7lb penalty at Haydock afterwards and was well behind Gabrial The Great and the luckless Educate. Can he bounce back?
ABCD Gabrial The Great Well in here with Educate on that Haydock form – though Educate was trapped on the rail – but was hammered five lengths by Ascription at Doncaster.
ABCD Red Avenger Like Educate – see below – Red Avenger showed there was not much between the lower pattern level and the handicappers when he ran well at York in August (Group 3) but he ‘wants a road’ and current conditions may not be in his favour.
ABCD Strictly Silver Has been on the go all season, gradually creeping up the handicap and is 5lb higher than when winning over 1m 2f on the next-door July Course.
ABC+ Ascription Second to Graphic – the ‘moral’ beaten two lengths giving 12lb – and burst on to the Cambridgeshire scene with a five lengths and five despatch of Gabrial The Great and the Lincoiln winner Levitate on good to soft at the Doncaster St Leger meeting.
ABC+ Graphic Despite being ‘tonked’ 8lb for beating Ascription, Graphic went on to frank the form in cheekpieces for the first time with a solid performance at Kempton Park to land back-to-back success.
ABC Arsaadi One of several in this to step up from handicaps into the pattern without disgrace, albeit her Group-3 second was in Turkey. Previously third to Belgian Bill in the Royal Hunt Cup.
ABC Chapter Seven Though not far away in Lincoln Handicap, Spring Cup and Wolferton at Royal Ascot, has gone up only 3lb since the Spring and that for a half-length second to Haafaguinea, giving a stone, at Newbury recently.
ABC King George River Highly tried after his second to subsequent French Derby winner Intello in the Spring, culminating in good third at the Ebor Meeting, giving 13lb to Short Squeeze.
ABC Queensberry Rules Came to prominence in the Britannia, loving the big field and fast pace but, not helped by his draw, finished third. Poor early pace beat him at York. Should revel in Saturday’s cavalry charge if the going is on top.
ABD Educate How on earth does Educate rise 16lb for winning a three-horse race at Lingfield and placing in a Haydock handicap? The answer is that the handicapper believes his hard-luck stories.
He was the ‘moral’, trapped on the rail at Haydock, but what really opened the handicapper’s eyes was his close fifth in the Group-2 Celebration Mile at Goodwood, squeezed up as the race was unfolding or he might have been placed.
AC+D Haafaguinea Lightly raced, steady progress this year, fifth in the Ripon Rowels after he lay too far out of his ground. Came good a week ago over 1m 2f at Newbury. The step up in trip meant he could be ridden in the van and he won cozily from Chapter Seven. Worse off at the weights now.
ABC Seek Again, ABD Boonga Roogeta, Tandem, ACD Code Of Honor, AC Forgive, Nine Realms, Top Notch Tonto, AE Tha’ir, BE Prince Of Johanne, BCD Chancery, King’s Warrior, Proud Chieftain, Sam Sharp, BC Dance And Dance, Fury, Robert The Painter, Two For Two.
CASH IN ON CAUCUS TODAY AT NEWMARKET
2.00 Newmarket Some smart pedigrees here, like Lady Cecil’s Sea The Stars colt, Touch The Sky, out of an Oaks winner who usually produces stamina colts.
Divisional, King’s Land, Love Tangle, Oracle Boy and Rainbow Rock also seem out of the top drawer. Carthage impressed in his yearling development, bought for 30,000euros but resold for 100,000.
We are all partially blind unless the market tells us there is a ‘monster’ in among them. Otherwise, I shall ‘leave a pound’ on Roskilly at 24.0 on BETDAQ this morning, likely to have improved no end for his run, as Andrew Balding’s horses do, and with a couple of lengths advantage provided by Oisin Murphy’s claim.
2.35 Newmarket Cambridgeshire hope Red Avenger won this last year, after already placing at this class-2 level in a handicap. That applies only to Photography today.
He’s 7.2 on BETDAQ this morning, up 4lb, but the others have to climb a couple of grades, barring Safety Check, who won a class 3 but then seemed found out by a 6lb rise.
Of the Hannon pair, Richard Hughes prefers Gold Top, despite the debut nursery stinker he ran on the July Course, but he’s drifted like a lonely dog on a raft this morning, well over my betting weir for such a contender at 15.0.
Newmarket Warrior is from a race the handicapper liked and he’s up 4lb in future. Add Oisin Murphy’s 5lb claim and he’s been given around four lengths start! If you could trust the form, that would be something to bet on.
3.10 Newmarket (Princess Royal Stakes) Three-year-olds are six out of seven in this, a Listed containing winners of 32 races. Astonishing was the ‘moral’ over CD five days ago, beaten a length giving weight to the winner but John Gosden’s Phiz has the BETDAQ market lead as I write.
Are punters right to be bubbling about Phiz, second to The Lark at the St Leger meeting? Gosden’s seeming second string, Tempest Fugit (a play on words to rival any of mine in this column) had Altea Lilea further behind at Chester than did Phiz at Doncaster, and Phiz was a long way adrift of Astonishing in a maiden at Kempton in July.
The snag with all that is we are talking about fillies. They can make sudden leaps of improvement. Or they can grow slowly in confidence under the tender care of a Gosden. Or they can come into season and ruin everything. Just like a woman.
At this time of year, we expect to be able to trust them and, with a fast pace on from Court Pastoral, Special Meaning and Souviens Toi, I shall put my faith in Astonishing, expecting Ryan Moore to ride a better race on her than he did when Miss Dashwood got her nose in front of them at Goodwood.
Miss Dashwood has done that lonely dog on a raft act and is sunk beyond the betting weir, no chance at 17.5 (famous last words).
3.40 Newmarket (Somerville Tattersall Stakes) Richard Hannon is 1311 in this but three of the last four winners had already had four races, and the fourth was well exposed with no fewer than seven starts.
Those stats suggest that experience is vital up the long and lonely straights of Newmarket heath, so we have to respect Cable Bay, placed in the top two-year-old tests of Richnond, Gimcrack and Chamagne Stakes.
Hannon’s Championship looked good at Newbury (form franked by the Chesham winner Berkshire) but flopped in the Coventry, when he was jarred up by the ground. He may remember that on today’s drying surface.
Silent Bullet has done nothing wrong but the one I hear good reports of is God Willing, said to have come on the proverbial bundle during his break after the debut win.
4.15 Newmarket Last year’s winner, Caucus, came to that success from the Ascot Gold Cup (eighth). He has been equally lightly raced but not so adventurous this season.
Caucus was second in the Group-3 Sagaro Stakes but his win CV has had only another Listed added, though even that means a 3lb penalty for this afternoon.
But the one snapping at his heels in the BETDAQ market this morning, Repeater, has finished well adrift of him twice during the summer.
You see, Repeater overtakes Caucus on the official ratings – taking the Caucus penalty into account – because the handicapper was impressed when he ran third in the Doncaster Cup.
But surely that boosts Caucus, and Repeater is very hard to win with (has failed to score for two years now). Caucus, nap!
DAQMAN’S BETS (target 20 points per bet)
BET 3pts win TOUCH THE SKY, and 1pt win and place ROSKILLY (2.00 Newmarket)
BET 6.6pts win NEWMARKET WARRIOR and 3.2pts win PHOTOGRAPHY (2.35 Newmarket)
BET 3pts win ASTONISHING and 1pt win (stakes saver) PHIZ (3.10 Newmarket)
BET 6.6pts win CABLE BAY and 3.4pts win GOD WILLING (3.40 Newmarket)
BET 7.6pts win (nap) CAUCUS (4.15 Newmarket)
NEW !!!
You can now follow BETDAQ updates on Google+
For further details – CLICK HERE
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also
log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
