NAP AND 7-2 WINNER LEAD INTO NEWMARKET JULY MEETING: After netting 30 points on Tuesday, including a 6-4 nap, Daqman yesterday just about saved his bacon again with 7-2 winner Beryl The Petal. Here’s how his main bets start the Newmarket July meeting:
➡️ Supernaps: 14 out of 18 (138 points up to 20 point stakes)
➡️ Daqman 44 Pricewise 20 (285 points clear to 10-unit stake)
➡️ Bull’s-eye naps (5-10) 201 points up to recommended stakes
3-DAY VALUE FACTS AND INFORMATION ALL FREE ON BETDAQ: Daqman’s analysis of the major meetings now gives you Heads Up information in advance, plus stats and facts each day of the meeting, as well as his analysis of the form. There are Fortune Cookies, value tips in competition with Pricewise, and much, much more, all free to better bettors who know the value of BETDAQ. Headlines:
🔹 NEWMARKET JULY CARD HEADS UP
🔹 EAGLES COULD LAND THE OPENER
🔹 VISINARI SUPERNAP FOR FRANKIE
🔹 SLY PLOT FOR DAZZLING 10-1 WIN
🔹 STOUTE MAKES ‘MIRAGE’ OF FORM
🔹 TURGENEV ANOTHER FOR DETTORI
🔹 BALLYDOYLE PEARL AT BETDAQ 7.2
NEWMARKET JULY CARD HEADS UP
LEADING TRAINERS (10 years; all three days): Mark Johnston 14, Charlie Appleby 11, Richard Fahey 11, John Gosden 11, Aidan O’Brien 11, Saeed Bin Suroor 9, Andrew Balding 8, Richard Hannon 8, Sir Michael Stoute 6, Charlie Hills 4, Ralph Beckett 3, Michael Bell 3, Ed Dunlop 3, David Elsworth 3.
JOCKEYS: Ryan Moore 23, Frankie Dettori 12, Paul Hanagan 11, James Doyle 8, Tom Queally 5, Silvestre De Sousa 5, Harry Bentley 4, Adam Kirby 4, James Macdonald 4, David Probert 4, Joe Fanning 4, Jim Crowley 3, Robert Havlin 3, Jamie Spencer 3.
TODAY’S DRAW:
1.50 race (10 years): nine winners from stalls 1 to 5.
3.00 race (8 years): five winners from five highest stalls; two from stall 3.
4.05 race (8 years): stalls 1 to 4 five wins.
TODAY’S FAVOURITES: 11 outright favourites won in 66 races (none in the 3.00 race), four of them in the 2.25.
EAGLES COULD LAND THE OPENER
1.50 Newmarket (Bahrain Trophy) Among eight straight winners from stalls 1 to 5, John Gosden has trained four. It’s a small field but still a worry that his Waldstein comes out of gate 7.
Waldstein has had only four starts but still a worry that his only success was in his maiden, always a bad sign. At least it was here on the July Course.
But there’s a third worry: three of his four starts have been on soft going, and he was out of the frame on his sole fast-ground start.
Barbados (BETDAQ 5.9 offers) has improved for each step up in trip, rising a stone in the ratings for his last three starts, culminating in a narrow Queen’s Vase defeat at Royal Ascot (Nayef Road third).
Eagles By Day, a 3.25 exchange in the orange, didn’t get the luck in running when third in the ‘Ascot Derby’ (King Edward V11 Stakes), and his dam’s side is solid with stamina.
He had been four lengths behind Nate The Great in the Lingfield Derby Trial, won by Anthony Van Dyck, but the ground was soft that day.
VISINARI SUPERNAP FOR FRANKIE
2.25 Newmarket (July Stakes) Frankie Dettori won this last year on subsequent Commonwealth Cup winner Advertise.
Looks the ideal partner for Visinari, trained by Mark Johnston, who won this July Stakes in 2017 with Cardsharp.
Visinari has already made all the running over this course and distance on his only start to date.
Guildsman was third in the Coventry but the fourth horse, Fort Myers, has been beaten much further since in the Railway Stakes.
Same thumbs down for the form from Makyon, stone last at Sandown after being beaten less than five lengths at Royal Ascot.
SLY PLOT FOR DAZZLING 10-1 WIN
3.00 Newmarket Jamie Spencer is the man for a big-field occasion, and his mount, Woven, a hidden horse, was back in the frame on the last day. Better than the bare form, says my man in the long grass. ‘Big’ at 27.0 in the BETDAQ orange this morning.
David Probert, who has steered the winner of this home four times since 2010, is riding at Epsom tonight but has been secured by Pam Sly to take the one ride at Newmarket on Dazzling Dan (around the 10-1 mark this morning).
Dan is only 3lb higher than when winning under Probert on the Rowley Mile course in May, and the combo was sixth of 22 at York afterwards although rain did not help their chances.
STOUTE MAKES ‘MIRAGE’ OF FORM
3.35 Newmarket (Princess Of Wales’s Stakes) There are ifs and buts about the Fortune Cookie, Dashing Willoughby, a 17.0 BETDAQ outsider dropping back in trip after taking the Queen’s Vase.
Now racing with the going on top, which he’s not used to, and attempting to win this for the three-year-olds for first time since 2006.
Not a great year to defend the second-season animals against a previous Derby winner, Masar, and the half-length runner-up in last year’s renewal of this, Mirage Dancer.
Being in the care of Sir Michael Stoute, Mirage Dancer could improve on his Hardwicke Stakes third, when Masar was fifth and Communique was last.
I imagine Communique trying to set this up for Royal Ascot handicap winner and Mark Johnston stablemate Baghdad, whose four wins in five starts have him up 29lb but still half a stone short of this level unless he can produce more in a tactical race.
I shall assume that Dashing Willoughby will be better in the autumn, unless the rain today is more than the forecast ‘showers’. Alternative: Mirage Dancer (3.6) for more Stoute improvement, backed to cover the Fortune Cookie stake.
TURGENEV ANOTHER FOR DETTORI
4.40 Newmarket Fortune Cookies has another outsider here in Bell Rock at 21.0 offers on BETDAQ. I gave you the Heads Up on this one: highly regarded, out of his depth in the St James’s Palace Stakes, but dropping back here to Listed company for a stable that does well at this meeting.
Roger Charlton’s Momkin also comes to this from a Royal Ascot defeat at Group-3 level, only sixth in the Jersey Stakes after a poor start, when Urban Icon was fourth.
Momkin ought to have done a lot better than sixth in the Jersey last but ran into trouble (despite first-time blinkers) for the third time I can remember.
Expect plenty of use of Turgenev by Frankie Dettori – 2.78 offers – after just failing to hold on in the Britannia (Duke Of Hazzard and Motafaawit both behind).
BALLYDOYLE PEARL AT BETDAQ 7.2
7.55 Leopardstown (Stanerra Stakes) A quartet of three-year-olds are looking for a five-timer for their age group in this race. The four are all trained by Aidan O’Brien.
They have to demolish last year’s winner, Cimeara, and Jaega, trained by Dermot Weld, who has won the race eight times this century, seven of them with older horses. Fascinating stuff!
Jaega was beaten by True Self at Gowran Park and was also behind Cimeara at Cork in the Spring and it’s not easy to bet on two reversals.
My idea of a punt is Ballydoyle’s South Sea Pearl (BETDAQ 7.2), who is lightly raced and has just now got the hang of things, winning as she liked last week.
This Galileo filly is a full sister to Ernest Hemingway, who won the Curragh Cup over today’s trip on summer ground. She has the stamina to kick on and play catch-me.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.50 Newmarket (win 20, win 10)
BET 4pts win BARBADOS
BET 4.5pts win EAGLES BY DAY
2.25 Newmarket (supernap)
BET 20pts win VISINARI
3.00 Newmarket (both win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET 5pts win DAZZLING DAN
BULL’S-EYE BET 2pts win and place WOVEN
3.35 Newmarket (win 20)
BET 7.5pts win MIRAGE DANCER
4.40 Newmarket (win 20)
BET 11pts win TURGENEV
7.55 Leopardstown (win 30)
BET 4.75pts win SOUTH SEA PEARL
FORTUNE COOKIES
(20pts level stakes)
DASHING WILLOUGHBY 3.35 Newmarket
BELL ROCK 4.40 Newmarket
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