DAQMAN 33, PRICEWISE 9: The Daqman v Pricewise challenge resumes tonight at the Sandown Whitsun Cup meeting with the current Flat-season score 33-9 to Daqman, who leads 72-21 overall (Daqman tipped Chatez (WON 7-1) on Sunday). Now they clash in the 7.15 and 7.50.
FIVE NAPS UP OUT OF SIX: Daqman has made 156 points profit in the last week with five naps up out of six at 11-4, 2-1, 13-8, 5-4 and 4-6, with yesterday’s, Loch Ma Maire (2nd 3-1), beaten half a length at the line. There’s a banker nap today.
BLUE THE CLUE AT BATH
Jay Bee Blue looks overdue another success and can strike at Bath this afternoon.
It was just like the old Extel commentary days yesterday. The final furlong that went on forever. My nap Loch Ma Naire (3/1) had a healthy lead at the furlong marker and traded around 1.08 in running on BETDAQ but the post just couldn’t come soon enough.
The big action of the day comes up at Sandown tonight and I have previewed the big races below but there’s a busy afternoon programme too with eight races at Bath.
Ladweb goes for his hat-trick in the 3.30 but he only scrambled home at Nottingham and it may well be that the 6lb penalty is enough of an anchor. The other last time out winner, Lager Time, also has the 6lb penalty but his win came on the all-weather at Kempton in a lower grade race.
I keep coming back to Jay Bee Blue who is long overdue another success and came within a neck of winning last time out when a course, distance and grade second to Diamondhead. The ground was firm on that occasion and on the soft side today but there’s no evidence that he is not equally as effective with give in the ground. His style is to be held up so expect a late rattle.
Soft ground is also the order of the day at Haydock where Red Icon can build on his debut fourth at Chester by landing the maiden at 3.20. He’s up against five debutants which would normally put me off but that fact he has had a run and we know he handles the soft ground stack the odds firmly in his favour. So much so that I rate him a banker bet.
Finally, at Worcester, guess what? It’s also soft. Well, we are approaching June – what else did you expect ? !! While You Wait looks solid for the claimer. He bolted home at Towcester in a similar event last time and if anything this looks easier. Should be another winner for team Gary and Jamie Moore.
TIGER, TIGER BURN BRIGHT TONIGHT!
6.10 Sandown Old boys such as Chain Of Events, Gaelic Silver and Zafranagar don’t normally win this but stats can sometimes go out of the window on heavy ground.
Cathedral and Nordic Quest are the likely leaders, while Kastini and Indian Trifone are the potential improvers, aged only four. But this is a poor start to the evening (class 5) and I don’t want to get involved.
6.40 Sandown (National Stakes) Rizeena last season restored some Pattern respectability to the race – it’s a Listed – when she went on to capture the Queen Mary and the Moyglare.
Stablemate Via Via won over a furlong further than this without being given a hard race at Ripon; the dam’s best on the Flat scored on heavy, and Ryan Moore has been booked.
Bonnie Grey, Cock Of The North, Escalating and Tiggy Wiggy have already scored on soft. Tiggy Wiggy is the standout on collateral form, and fillies have won two of the last three runnings.
I took a slice of 6.4 the Clive Brittain colt, Via Via, on BETDAQ this morning, with a saver Tiggy Wiggy at around 3.0
7.15 Sandown (Henry 11 Stakes) Good recent form is essential to take this. All bar one of the last eight winners subsequently ran in the Ascot Gold Cup, with two placed: a second and a third. In fact, the race has a better than 50% record for one of its runners taking the ‘gold’ in June.
Goodwood Cup winner Brown Panther looked better than ever when taking the Ormonde (Group 3) on the soft at Chester, albeit in a four-horse race run in such a slow time the valets had the boots polished for the riders in the next.
I tipped the Ebor (soft) winner Tiger Cliff for the Yorkshire Cup at the Dante meeting and he stayed on to get within a length of the winner at the line. He’s improved a stone in his last three runs, and was tight up to Brown Panther (4.9) at 5.0 on BETDAQ early mouse.
Camborne was seventh behind Tiger Cliff at York (High Jinx also staying on well). Despite his tendency to hang, Camborne landed the Mallard and the so-called Arc Trial (soft) at Newbury back to back last autumn.
El Salvador is the heavy-ground horse but has won only moderate February-April early-season races, and was tried in a hood last summer; now he wears cheekpieces.
With the Ballydoyle connection, still ‘could be anything’ but is up to 10lb off four or five of these on all known form, and they clearly don’t know him yet. He’s entered middle distance (Hardwicke) and long distance (Gold Cup).
Whiplash Willie doesn’t get too painful a rise for scoring at Salisbury; Menorah could go round twice; and two soft-heavy lovers, Girolamo and Seismos, have both won Group-1 races, with Seismos in front on the ratings but Girolamo a year younger.
7.50 Sandown (Brigadier Gerard Stakes) Of the last three winners, two had been winner or placed in the previous year’s Derby. All three went on to record Royal Ascot places without scoring.
Remote, a half-brother to Kingman, improved so quickly last Spring that he was switched from the Britannia to win a Group 3 at Royal Ascot, and shot up 22lb for two runs, putting him just 4lb off Hillstar (likely favourite; now an absentee). But his wins have all been on top of the ground.
Sharestan and Top Notch Tonto are soft-heavy winners but the one is only about Listed level and the other has form only up to a mile. However, Sharestan’s form is disguised and he has been working well, with the Hardwicke and the Eclipse on the agenda.
Sheikhzayedroad may be a bit more than a handicapper but not at this trip. His previous posing as a Pattern horse produced a Group-3 third over 1m 4f, staying on as if today’s 10 furlongs will be well short of his potential. Often starts slowly; hence the hood.
8.20 Sandown (Heron Stakes) End Of Line, a winner on soft, was slowly away here before his ninth in the French Guineas (dwelt). Nonno Giulio is another slow starter.
Master Carpenter, third in the Greenham, and second in the Sandown Classic Trial, looks a nearly-horse, and Indy and Patentar have most scope for improvement. What with the heavy ground and the tactical small field, I pass.
8.50 Sandown (Whitsun Cup) Pricewise, who is at the mercy of bookmaker betting the night before, sits this one out. We on BETDAQ have genuine punter-produced offers that change with the market not at the whim of odds setters running for cover.
In Abseil’s absence (you might not see him now until the Royal Hunt Cup), and with any one, or all, of Dark Emerald, Tinghir and Tobacco Road potential front-runners, I took a bit of 6.8 George Cinq, a CD winner who will like the ground.
DAQMAN’S BETS:
BANKER BET 20pts win (nap) RED ICON (3.20 Haydock)
BET 5.7pts win JAY GEE BLUE (3.30 Bath)
BET 10pts win WHILE YOU WAIT (3.40 Worcester)
BET 3.7pts win VIA VIA and 1.8pts win (stakes saver) TIGGY WIGGY (6.40 Sandown)
BET 5pts win TIGER CLIFF and 1.25pts win (stakes saver) BROWN PANTHER (7.15 Sandown)
BET 12pts win SHARESTAN (7.50 Sandown)
BET 3.5pts win GEORGE CINQ (8.50 Sandown)
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