WINNER-A-DAY DAQMAN IS READY FOR THE BIG WEEKEND: Daqman left it late but maintained his winner-a-day tipping momentum with success by moonlight at Kempton last night. Can he keep it up with five cards to choose from today, the AW Finals tomorrow and an Easter weekend of seven meetings on Saturday, six on Sunday and the Irish Grand National on Monday?
Monday
WON 5-4 DANNY KIRWAN (nap)
Tuesday
WON 7-2 WUDASHUDACUDA
Wednesday
WON 7-4 AU CLAIR DE LUNE
IRISH NATIONAL WEIGHTS GO UP IF TIGER ROLL IS OUT: There were 60 left in the Irish Grand National yesterday but half of those declared will lose out at the final cut-off stage. A decision about Tiger Roll will be left until late. A key factor (the weights) will change in Daqman’s top 20 ABC guide if he is withdrawn.
IRISH GRAND NATIONAL TOP 20
⭕ 5.00 Fairyhouse, Monday (Irish Grand National) ABC STATS GUIDE without Tiger Roll who scores only C and D of the key requirements below. If he is withdrawn as top weight, then the current weights go up.
A WEIGHT: 18 out of 20 and 26 out of 29 carried below 11st
B AGE: 17 out of 20 single-figure age; none aged 11 or more since 1997
C DISTANCE: Won over at least 3m (19 out of 20)
D COURSE: Raced at Fairyhouse before (14 out of 20)
E TRAINER: Jonjo O’Neill 2 wins 4 placed; Mouse Morris 2 wins .six placed
F JOCKEY: Three winners claimed off in last eight years
G SIRE: Presenting (3 between 2016 and 2019); 14 out of 17 Irish bred.
X Trainer in form
ABCDX COURT MAID (Thomas Mullins)
Four out of six, two at Fairyhouse including the Grade B Porterhouse Chase (3m 5f) in November; Scoir Mear fifth. Raised 11lb.
ABCDX COKO BEACH (Gordon Elliottt aka Denise Foster)
Going for a hat -trick after winning at Gowran Park (beat Run Wild Fred four lengths in the Thyestes) and Navan (beat Espanito Bello four lengths)
ABCDX ESCARIA TEN (Gordon Elliottt aka Denise Foster)
Unexposed after just four chases. Third in NH Chase (3m 6f) at Cheltenham.
ABCDX RUN WILD FRED (Gordon Elliottt aka Denise Foster)
Now 6lb better for four-lengths defeat by Coko Beach at Gowran Park.
ABCX LATEST EXHIBITION (Paul Nolan)
Second three times to Monkfish in the Albert Bartlett and two Grade-1 novice chases at Leopardstown.
ABC THE BIG DOG (Peter Fahey)
When stepped up to 3m 4f, beat Screaming Colours and Moyhenna in the Punchestown Grand National Trial. Quirky but very strong stayer.
ABC THE JAM MAN (Ronan McNally)
Sauntered to the front two out, winning the Ladbrokes Troytown (3m Grade B, Navan, November). Scoir Mear 20-lengths third; Discordantly fourth.
ABDX AGUSTA GOLD (Willie Mullins)
Never out of the first four in 20 starts. Beat Moyhenna in 2m 5f mares chase on this course in January.
ABDX DISCORAMA (Paul Nolan)
Placed Grade 1 and Grade 2; third in 2020 Ultima at the Cheltenham festival (3m 1f)
ABDX FARCLAS (Gordon Elliottt aka Denise Foster)
Third to Off You Go in Leopardstown Chase (2m 6f); now 3lb better for three lengths or so. Also three-lengths runner-up at the Cheltenham festival, trying to give 13lb to The Shunter.
ABDX FITZHENRY (Paul Nolan)
Placed in a series of big races, including second in the Ladbrokes Troytown and third in last month’s Leinster National, giving weight to the first two, Scoir Mear and Ten Ten
ABDG HOME BY THE LEE (Joseph O’Brien)
Three wins out of five at 2m 4f-6f and Grade-1 third here at Fairyhouse in the Drinmore.
ABDG OFF YOU GO (R P Burns)
Loves Leopardstown. Twice winner of the Ladbrokes Hurdle; won the Leopardstown Chase (see Farclas).
ABD DISCORDANTLY (Jessica Harrington)
22-lengths fourth in the Ladbrokes Troytown to The Jam Man; unseated in the Thyestes and fell in the Punchestown Grand National Trial.
ABD ESPANITO BELLO (Barry Connell)
Beat Coko Beach 18 lengths in a beginners’ chase but four lengths to find on that one after one-two in Ladbrokes Ten Up Chase at Navan (3m).
ABD MOYHENNA (Denis Hogan)
Distant 13th in the Troytown behind The Jam Man but better form this year, second in Grade 3 to Agusta Gold here and third to The Big Dog in the Punchestown Grand National Trial.
ABD SEMPO (Joseph O’Brien)
‘A horse with a future,’ according to his stable. Sixth in the Albert Bartlett (2020) and runner-up in Flyingbolt Novices Chase at Navan in March. Unexposed.
ABD TEN TEN (J P Dempsey)
Improved form when second in the Leinster National at Naas in March; 9lb better with two-lengths winner, Scoir Mear; Fitzhenry was third.
ACDX SCOIR MEAR (Thomas Mullins)
Third in the Troytown to The Jam Man; fifth to Court Maid here in the Porterstown Chase; and same place behind Off You Go in the Leopardstown Chase. Galloped away with the Leinster National in March.
ACGX BRAHMA BULL (Willie Mullins)
Unexposed despite being 10; last time he was placed he ran second to Gold Cup winner, Minella Indo, at Navan in November.
POLE POSITION FOR BARRICHELLO
⭕ 1.15 Wetherby I said yesterday the Jockeys Championship was getting interesting and so it proved. Harry Skelton narrowed the gap to just one over Brian Hughes and has also now gone favourite to lift the trophy.
Hughes gets an early chance to increase his slender lead on Barrichello and hopefully for the jockeys sake he won’t be catching the seconditis that Barrichello appears to have have.
Form figures of 32222 don’t immediately fill you with confidence but as usual you need to look under the bonnet.
The positives first. Barrichello is trained by Donald McCain who is running at a very respectable 5 winners from his last 25 runners.
Secondly, there is every chance that Barrichello has bumped into some decent winners in his last two starts. He was beaten six lengths by Omar Maretti at Catterick – that one followed up by the same margin under a penalty next time out, also at Catterick.
Last time Barrichello finished second to Up For Parol who is odds-on to win at Ffos Las (2.25) later this afternoon and looks a decent prospect. The margin from the third Fete Champetre (runs again today) back to the fourth was 25 lengths that day and I don’t think there is anything in today’s race that looks as unexposed as the winner. In short, a repetition of his latest run should be enough.
The BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE market makes Monarchofthegrange the danger but he is 0-8 and looks modest with his best form coming on soft ground.
A bigger danger could come from Fete Champetre who has five lengths to find on the nap and could find himself chasing him home again today, hopefully at a respectful distance.
CLAIMS ON NATIONAL
⭕ 4.37 Ffos Las (West Wales National Handicap Chase) As regular readers will know I love a National and the West Wales edition has thrown up the most competitive race of the day, by far. So much so we can have an interest in three with limited downside. I’ve staked in such a way today that we need the NAP to cover the other bets.
The claimers seem to mopping up plenty of the big races at the moment and my shortlist is Seaston Spirit (Kai Lenihan claims 10), Legends Gold (Angus Cheleda claims 7) and Pobbles Bay (Niall Moore claims 10).
If pressed, I prefer Seaston Spirit who landed a Bull’s-Eye bet for me at 6/1 in the Sussex National back in January. He wasn’t at the races subsequently with a poor effort at Wincanton but he’s thrown in a poor run in the past and come back with a win.
Pobbles Bay is the only course and distance winner in the field – winning this in 2019 and if the first time cheekpieces have a positive impact I don’t want to leave him out of the calculations.
The mare Legends Gold has a 5-15 career record and is interesting on her first test over an extreme trip.
MARTA MIGHT STRIKE
⭕ 7.50 Chelmsford Marta Boy might be vulnerable here to one of the improvers but at face value looks the one to be on given his recent consistent form.
Tamaska and Adace are prominent in the market but haven’t shown much at all and both hail from stables that are out of form.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.15 Wetherby (win 10)
BET 10.7pts win (nap) BARRICHELLO
4.37 Ffos Las (win 20)
BET 1.2pts win SEASTON SPIRIT
BET 2.2pts win POBBLES BAY
BET 1.9pts win LEGENDS GOLD
7.50 Chelmsford (win 10)
BET 1.8pts win MARTA BOY
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
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