5-1 YORK WIN FOR NAP-HAPPY DAQMAN: Daqman landed a first-day double at York in consecutive races yesterday, one of them 5-1, following a BETDAQ 5.25-1 winner and even-money nap on Tuesday. Yesterday’s best bet was raised to supernap status and gave him four in a row and a seventh winning nap in the last 10 days. He now leads Pricewise 42-31.
WON 5-1 ALFRED BOUCHER
WON 2-5 BAAEED (supernap)
FOUR NAPS IN A ROW
WON 2-5 BAAEED (Wednesday, supernap)
WON 10-11 BRAZEN DIAMOND (Tuesday, nap)
WON 2-9 REMEMBERING (Monday, nap)
WON 9-10 ETERNAL PEARL (Sunday, nap)
DAY-TWO CLASH OF THE OAKS WINNERS: There’s a Fortune Cookie, outsiders at 23.0 and 29.0 on BETDAQ, and a clash of Oaks winners. It’s York Day 2, with the headlines:
NO DOUBT! BAAEED THE NEW FRANKEL
DRAMA OF FAVOURITE’S RED FLAGS
HERE’S WHY YOU CAN DARE TO HOPE..
THERE’S AN EXPRESS RUNNING TODAY
ALPINISTA CAN SEE OFF THE FILLIES
NO DOUBT! BAAEED THE NEW FRANKEL
Ten out of ten. The perfect score. The perfect racehorse. They need never have worried about stepping Baaeed up in trip: he was still on the bridle coming to the final furlong of yesterday’s International at York.
Then Jim Crowley let go the elastic in the catapult, needing not to ask for heart – no fight needed – just to raise the tempo and shoot clear by nearly seven lengths over last year’s six-lengths winner, Mishriff.
The clamour begins. As Crowley said, he has always given him the feeling that he would win at whatever distance, July Cup or Arc.
Trainer William Haggas resisted comparisons with Frankel, and instant demands for the Sea The Stars four-year-old to go for the Arc.
But he will have to resist them many times over between now and Longchamp in October, even though he was adamant: Baaeed goes for the Champion Stakes. ‘That was the plan and we’re sticking to it!’
Confirming my story yesterday – how this Classic season has fallen apart – the nearest (and only) three-year-old taking on Baaeed yesterday (Irish 2,000 winner Native Trail, beaten half a length in the Eclipse) finished nearly 14 lengths behind, fifth of six.
DRAMA OF FAVOURITE’S RED FLAGS
⭕ 1.50 York (Lowther Stakes) I declared last Thursday in my preview that Ascot form is best for this race, and seven with these credentials have survived from my list.
LAYS LOGIC: But favourites (1-10) and penalised fillies (1-10) have poor records in the decade, and both apply to one of the seven, Dramatised!
Maria Branwell was a well-beaten third behind Dramatised in the Queen Mary, and just 3lb and an extra furlong has to make the difference.
Another penalised filly, Mawj, second in the Albany, has an outside draw in 11 here, but is better than Kinta on a line through Lezoo, who swerves the race today.
Breeders Cup hope Lady Hollywood stepped up 23lb for back-to-back wins, including defeat at Naas of Mauiewowie and Treasure Trove, who afterwards finished one-two in a Listed at the Curragh.
Trainer Alice Haynes knows the Albany form through Lady Bullet (sixth) and, while Lady Hollywood’s hat-trick over 5f shows her speed, she is bred for further.
It’s for sure Queen Me has been aimed at this race; Kevin Ryan, who won the sprint with Bergerac yesterday, would have been crazy not to.
By Dubawi out of the Frankel mare Queen Kindly, Queen Me’s dam, granddam and great granddam all won the Lowther.
She only had to be pushed out to score on good to soft on the first of last month and, though no rain is forecast, there has been such watering that there were races run 3secs and 6secs slow yesterday.
The ground also implies another good run from Kerindia, who was third at Deauville to the 106-rated colt The Antarctic, previously runner-up in the prestigious Prix Robert Papin.
Betdaq Betting Exchange 15 Lady Hollywood, 23 Queen Me, 29 Kerindia
HERE’S WHY YOU CAN DARE TO HOPE..
⭕ 2.25 York (Premier Yearling Stakes) In yesterday’s opening sprint, nothing came from the back and low numbers down the far rail did best. I said in my preview for this race, four of the last five winners had four or five previous races.
Combine these stats and you get Dare To Hope (out of 2), second in a CD nursery, and Mill Reef hope Redemption Time (from 8); but no doubt the jocks will all want to go middle-to-far side.
The wise owl among them yesterday was Silvestre De Sousa, who came across from stall 15 and almost pinched it but the rail got Bergerac home.
Richard Hannon has won this four times in the last six seasons and Shouldvebeenaring, well drawn in 7, will like the easy ground.
BETDAQ 4.1 Shouldvebeenaring, 8.3 Dare To Hope, 12 Redemption Time
THERE’S AN EXPRESS RUNNING TODAY
⭕ 3.00 York LAYS LOGIC No winning favourite in the decade; no winners aged three or over the age of six.
You need a good start in this mile handicap, like the one Cruyff Turn (stall 8) got last year; stalls 1, 2 and 4 have also won in the last six years but, after the long left-hander, they usually bunch down the middle, where the winners in 2018 and 2019 came out of the pack from stalls 14 and 15.
Cruyff Turn won again here at the Dante meeting, beating Brunch, and they are now weighted to run a dead-heat but the third that day, Lion Tower, is worse off because he franked the form at Redcar the last day.
Orbaan, Blue For You, Revich and Ouzo were 1-2-3-4 in the Golden Mile at Glorious Goodwood (Shining Blue badly hampered). Orbaan has won again since and he’s been whacked with a total of 12lb in penalties.
Northern Express has beaten Orbaan over 7f but hasn’t tried a mile for more than a year, though ran to the line at Ascot as if it’s time he did.
Echo Point has never been out of the first four but has won only his maiden, always a bad sign.
BETDAQ 11 Northern Express, 13 Shining Blue, 15.5 Cruyff Turn
ALPINISTA CAN SEE OFF THE FILLIES
⭕ 3.35 York (Yorkshire Oaks) Only Enable in recent years has been a mare able to overcome the three-year-old fillies (who lead 7-1). She had an edge in that she’d won the race before.. as a three-year-old!
Enable in 2017 (when aged 3), and subsequently Sea Of Class, Love and Snowfall had all won an Oaks at Epsom or the Curragh before scoring here.
They constitute the last five favourites – all won – but results this season so far when young and old clash is that this year’s Classic generation is the walking wounded.
Let the ratings be my guide: 12 out of 12 winners had a rating of 112 or more, so 118 Alpinista (3.0 on BETDAQ this morning); 115 both La Petite Coco and Tuesday.
Alpinista has been shrewdly placed on the continent by the super-sequencing stable of Sir Mark Prescott, and is unbeaten in six starts in 2021-22, including four Group-1 strikes and defeat last August of the subsequent surprise Arc winner, Torquator Tasso.
La Petite Coco, who seemingly gets the cut in the ground she needs if those times yesterday are anything to go by, reached Group-1 level the last day when winning the Pretty Polly at the Curragh.
Tuesday is in and out like most of the three-year-olds; she did win the Epsom Oaks (Nashwa third) when Emily Upjohn came too late on the scene, but she was slammed 10 lengths in the Irish Derby.
Magical Lagoon won the Irish Oaks beating the 101-rated Toy, who was way out of the back door in Nashwa’s French Oaks.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.50 York (win 50)
BET 3.5pts win LADY HOLLYWOOD
BET 2.25pts win QUEEN ME
BET 1.75pts win KERINDIA
2.25 York (win 20 x 2, win 10)
BET 2.75pts win DARE TO HOPE
BET 1.75pts win REDEMPTION TIME
Bet 3.25pts win SHOULDVEBEENARING
3.00 York (win 50, win 20 x 2)
BET 4pts win SHINING BLUE
BET 2pts win NORTHERN EXPRESS
BET 1.3pts win CRUYFF TURN
3.35 York (win 20 nap)
FORTUNE COOKIE
BET 10pts win ALPINISTA
4.10 York (win 20)
BET 4pts win MIMIKYU
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.
