NO MYSTERY: DAQMAN’S THE KING: Winner-a-day Daqman was king of the tipsters again yesterday with Mystery Monarch, a better bet on BETDAQ for another profitable day.
WON 11-2 MYSTERY MONARCH (Monday) BETDAQ 7.71 taken
WON 6-4 MQSE DE SEVIGNE (Sunday)
WON 9-2 INISHERIN (Saturday)
WON 10-11 ROSALLION (supernap) Haatem 2nd 6-1 same race
WON 9-4 ELECTRIC STORM (Friday nap) BETDAQ 6.4 taken
WON 1-2 ROYAL RHYME (Thursday supernap)
SEE HOW THEY WON: Daqman today starts his countdown to the Derby and Oaks, matching his survey of where the winners come from to this year’s contenders.
OAKS: YLANG YLANG LOOKS GOOD
🥇 SEE HOW THEY WON: Fashions change but generally speaking the Spring Classics and trials throw up the winner of Friday’s Epsom Oaks.
In the last decade, the Newmarket 1,000 Guineas has been the best guide, with two winners and a third going on to Oaks success.
The race was boosted twice on Sunday when Fallen Angel stepped up from her Guineas 8th to win the Irish version, and Darnation (17th) won the German equivalent.
Nearly four lengths in front of Fallen Angel at Newmarket was Ylang Ylang (5th, only a length off the winner, staying on). Like most of Aidan O’Brien’s this season, she will have needed the run.
Two Musidora winners have taken the Oaks in the decade. That points up Secret Satire, who beat Francophone in the York trial. Francophone then cheekily won the Goodwood trial, Height Of Fashion Stakes.
A regular influence on the Epsom Classic, the Lingfield Oaks Trial has seen the one-two, You Got To Me and Rubies Are Red, flip in the market, with Rubies Are Red the shorter price.
DERBY: FRIENDLY FANSHAWE HIT
🥇 SEE HOW THEY WON: The Dante continues to lead the Derby trials but, though Economics won six lengths at York, trainer William Haggas has snubbed Saturday’s Epsom Classic in favour of the ‘Ascot Derby’, King Edward V11 Stakes.
Ancient Wisdom, trounced into second that day, is still among the front four for Saturday, with Charlie Appleby hoping for the soft ground that saw the colt back up his Newmarket success in October by making all in the Futurity at Doncaster.
Another winner by a long, long way, Ambiente Friendly, in the Lingfield Derby Trial is not shy of Epsom; James Fanshawe’s colt crashed in the betting.
The third colt home in the 2,000 Guineas has twice won the Derby but sole starter on Saturday from the Newmarket Classic is likely to be City Of Troy, who tired into 9th in a strongly-run race, though the trainer added another excuse that ‘it might be the way I trained him.’
TAKING THE MEASURED APPROACH
⭕ 4.35 Redcar Shifter is a previous course and distance winner here at Redcar but the bulk of her form has come on quicker ground and on her only previous start on today’s soft she only beat one home at Brighton.
She was also heading the morning Betdaq Betting Exchange market and is opposable on form grounds alone, before you even factor in the 7lb hike in the weights she has received for a comfortable win at Ayr earlier in the month.
Golden Melody has form figures a bit like her trainer Tim Easterby. Very scattergun and if you land on the right day you deserve to be paid but her last win came in 2022 and Easterby is currently 3 winners from his last 83 runners.
Measured Moments is by no means out of it, even though her current form figures don’t immediately leap off the page.
She has run well on soft previously, gets a 2lb drop in the weights and is also dropping two levels in class having contested a class 3 at Brighton last time out. That all might add up to be good enough to land this.
RED ALERT FOR CRIMSON
⭕ 8.10 Lingfield This looks a tasty little race on the all-weather tonight despite there being a field of just five.
Even the outsiders Night Safari and Endosser can be given a squeak on some of their form but the percentage call has to be Crimson Road to get the better of Cambria Legend – which is the flip side of how the market was seeing it in mid-morning trading with Cambria Legend just preferred.
James Fanshawe’s runner undoubtedly looked smart when romping to a near five length win at Haydock last time out on good to firm ground but it’s not form to get too carried away about given it was only a class 5 and the resulting 9lb hike is surely a serious steadier?
I’m also concerned that Cambria Legend has not run well on the all-weather in his two attempts at Kempton.
Crimson Road on the other hand has, and showed his best piece of form on handicap debut at Chelmsford last time out when third in a similar class 4. He’s still capable of more improvement and looks the bet.
SPECIAL NAP
⭕ 8.25 Bangor Saving the nap until last and Special Dragon looks set to follow up on her easy Ludlow win in April – she’s run well after a short break before.
The training duo of Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero remain in good form and she looks more progressive than chief rival and recent Sedgefield winner Barrons Land.
DAQMAN’S BETS
4.35 Redcar (win 10)
BET 2.8pts win MEASURED MOMENTS
8.10 Lingfield (win 10)
BET 4.3pts win CRIMSON ROAD
8.25 Bangor (win 10, nap)
BET 8.3pts win SPECIAL DRAGON
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.
