9-2 AND 3-1 WINNERS AS MAGIC MONTH ROLLS ON: Is Daqman on another roll in his magic month of May? He landed two winners from bets in four races yesterday for 21 points profit through Guest of Honour (WON 9-2) and Nafa (WON 3-1).
115 POINTS PROFIT INCLUDING 12-1 SHOT: He made 115 points in the four days up to May 2 with eight winners, including Jewelled Dagger (WON 12-1) and Fencing (WON 9-2)
115 AGAIN WITH ANOTHER EIGHT WINS: On Saturday he made another 115 points, this time in just one day, thanks to Barizan (WON 8-1 from 14.5 on BETDAQ) and Battle Group (WON 13-2 from 9.4) among eight winning bets.
137 IN TWO DAYS OVER BANK HOLIDAY: In between, he scooped 137 points profit in two days on May 5 and 6 (including a Bank Holiday yankee up) and made it five winning naps out of six.
LOOK OUT AT THE BIG YORK MEETING: Now look out at York’s Dante meeting starting tomorrow, which sees the completion of the Derby trials. Daqman looked at the Derby puzzle yesterday (see Archive) and today sizes up the Oaks situation.
Hold your horses on The Oaks. The current turnkey races for the June Epsom Classic are tomorrow’s Blue Wind Stakes at Naas and the Musidora at York, followed by Friday’s Swettenham Stud Stakes at Newbury, and Friday week’s Height Of Fashion at Goodwood.
Whereas the Derby form is now complete apart from the Dante on Thursday, the Oaks is still wide open. Without the results of those four trials, you were unlikely to get the winner of the fillies’ Classic at Epsom in the last four years.
Fillies need Spring weather, some sun on their backs, and it is no coincidence that every single winner in the last decade had raced in May; nine of the 10 finished first or second.
It is also worth noting that four fillies were beaten in the four particular trials, a clear indication that you must not only wait and see those trials, but you must allow for even more improvement.
Alexandrova (2006) and Sariska (2010) were both runners-up in the Musidora and went one better at Epsom. Was (2012) was only third in the Blue Wind.
Eswarah (2005) won the Swettenham Stud Stakes on her way to Oaks glory but Dancing Rain (second, 2011) was beaten before Epsom. Snow Fairy (2010) won the Height Of Fashion.
Your best option seems to be to back a placed horse in one of this week’s trials at offers on BETDAQ, which are bound to be bigger about beaten horses, as hype contracts the odds about the winners of those races.
Eight of the last 10 Oaks winners had a career CV of only between two and five races, which is a black mark against Aidan O’Brien’s exposed Snow Queen (9 starts), fifth in the Newmarket 1,000 Guineas.
A second Ballydoyle filly, Magical Dream, is also an unlikely Oaks winner, after six appearances already on a racecourse.
That just leaves two daughters of Galileo for O’Brien: Moth (4.5 on BETDAQ) and Say (18.5 this morning).
Moth has completed her trials, breaking her maiden in April before finishing third in the 1,000 Guineas, but Say is declared for tomorrow’s Blue Wind only six days after her maiden success at Cork (in a very slow time).
Just as he’s left Telescope until the Dante, Sir Michael Stoute has delayed the reappearance of once-raced Liber Nauticus until the Musidora.
It is, therefore, a big, big York week for the veteran trainer who hasn’t won the Oaks since Unite 26 years ago.
The unexposed fillies in the Swettenham Stud Stakes include The Lark and two of John Gosdens, one of them – Woodland Aria – featuring in the Oaks market at 19.0 on BETDAQ.
But, unless Woodland Aria, who broke her maiden at Wolverhampton only last month, on her sole appearance, is an exception, it would seem that Gosden is without anything top class among his second-season animals.
Michael Bell’s The Lark is related on the dam’s side to Oaks and St Leger winners. Her sire, Pivotal, won the Oaks with Sariska, which is where I came in.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 6.6pts win CARAZAM (3.40 Beverley)
BET 11pts win (nap) INGLEBY SYMPHONY (5.10 Beverley)
BET 1.5pts win and place ANNIE BESAINT (6.00 Chepstow)
BET 2.9pts win ON STAGE (8.40 Chepstow)
DAQMAN TARGETS: A sub-standard day on the Flat. Stakes are to win 20 points. One winner covers all other bets.
NEW !!!
You can now follow BETDAQ updates on Google+
For further details – CLICK HERE
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
