ROYAL ASCOT A WEEK IN ADVANCE: Today starts race-by-race Royal Ascot guides seven days in advance, Tuesday to Friday of the meeting next week. Among stats and facts will be ante-post bets, Fortune Cookies, See How They Won, Lays Logic and Thoroughbred Toffs of the two-year-old scene.
EQUALITY IS AS DAQMAN DOES! Daqman went into Royal Ascot 28-20 in front of Pricewise last year. Right now he is 28-14 ahead, maintaining his results at the same level. His daily bets were back to form yesterday with an easy victory for Equality (WON 3-1) at Windsor last night.
ROYAL ASCOT DAY-BY-DAY GUIDE
⭕ 2.30 Royal Ascot, next Tuesday (Queen Anne Stakes, 1m)
AGE: Four year olds (5 out of 6).
DRAW: Single-figure stall (10 out of 12).
RATING: Recent average 116/117; but last two years 125
TRAINER: Aidan O’Brien has won it four times.
FAVOURITES: 6-9: Baaeed (2022) and Palace Pier (2021) both odds on
⭕ 3.05 Royal Ascot, next Tuesday (Coventry Stakes, 6f)
AGE: 2yo only
DRAW: Ten years: 1, 15, 1, 10, 13, 22, 3, 6, 17, 2.
TRAINER: Aidan O’Brien has won it nine times but not since 2019.
FAVOURITES 2-12: Nando Parrado (Clive Cox) 150-1, Berkshire Shadow (Andrew Balding) 11-1 and Bradsell (Archie Watson) 8-1 have won the last three years.
THOROUGHBRED TOFFS: Fandom (Wesley Ward), son of Showcasing; No Nay Mets (George Weaver), son of No Nay Never.
⭕ 3.40 Royal Ascot, next Tuesday (King’s Stand Stakes, 5f)
AGE: Between three and eight
DRAW: Middle to high best: 7, 8, 8, 10 (three times) 14 (twice) and 18.
RATINGS: Recent winning English ratings 120, 121, 126, 117.
LAYS LOGIC (FAVOURITE): Only one winning favourite in 10 seasons.
SEE HOW THEY WON: 2022 Australia had the winner; 2017 America won.
⭕ 4.20 Royal Ascot, next Tuesday (St James Palace Stakes, 1m)
AGE: 3yo only
DRAW: 1 to 7 (10 out of 11)
RATINGS: Classic winners of this include Dawn Approach (125), Kingman (125), Gleneagles (122), Coroebus (121) and Poetic Flare 118.
SEE HOW THEY WON: Clearly Guineas form is a good guide.
FORTUNE COOKIES: Chaldean, Paddington
TRAINERS: Team Gosden (3), Aidan O’Brien (2).
FAVOURITES: Six out of 10 and bidding for a hat-trick this year.
⭕ 5.00 Royal Ascot next Tuesday (Ascot Stakes, 2m 4f)
AGE: Look beyond the four-year-olds: ages 5, 6 and 7 are 12 out of 14.
RATINGS: 91-98 (8-12).
TRAINER: Willie Mullins 4, Ian Williams 2; mixed yards do best.
FAVOURITES (2-12): Hurdlers have won 10 out of 12. Double-figure SPs: five in a row
⭕ 5.35 Royal Ascot next Tuesday (Wolferton Stakes, 1m 2f)
AGE: 4yo have won 14 out of 20
DRAW: Stalls 5, 6, 7, 8 have landed eight of the last 12; none lower. TRAINER: Team Gosden has won it four times.
LAYS LOGIC (FAVOURITE): Just the one winning favourite (2015); three of the last six winners were 14-1, 20-1, 25-1.
⭕ 6.10 Royal Ascot next Tuesday (Copper Horse Handicap, 1m 6f) new race in 2020.
AGE: 6yo 2, 4yo 1
DRAW (winner by stall) : 16, 9, 7
FAVOURITES: just the one; in the two other years 16-1 and 33-1.
A GOLDEN NAP
4.20 Brighton today Single digit field sizes across the seven races at Brighton this afternoon and the only standout bet for me comes in the 4.20 where Panning For Gold is expected to make light of his 6lb penalty for last week’s Yarmouth win.
There’s every chance the David Simcock trained runner is ludicrously well handicapped and it’s not surprising. The handicapper had very little to go on after his first four all-weather starts where he was beaten an aggregate of 61 lengths and failed to place better than ninth.
The penny dropped big time though at Yarmouth on his first turf start where he seemed to relish the quick conditions that he gets again this afternoon. He won going away and still ran green so further improvement looks likely.
The usual caveat of low grade horses following up back to back is in the back of my mind but this one could be a simple case of mathematics and him having so much in hand that he can simply fall in.
He’s already one up on his eight rivals in that he has managed to win a race – something his opposition have failed to do between them.
I thought Deep Spirit looked a little overpriced on Betdaq Betting Exchange but am sticking with Panning For Gold for today’s NAP.
WATCHING PAINT ON DRY?
7.00 Ayr Painters Palette was 2 from 2 for Rebecca Menzies after he joined the yard from Dermot Weld but was a little disappointing at Ripon last time out when only third. The soft ground might have been a contributing factor but then again he has yet to face ground as quick as tonight either.
He looks worth opposing at the top of the market with Hortzadar who was running in class 2’s at York, Epsom and Ascot last year and has been steadily dropping down the weights – hinting at a return to winning form recently.
EVENING RAINBOW
9.00 Wetherby Nibras Rainbow might be worth the wait for the final race on Wetherby’s flat card.
He seemed to show improved form for the first time fitting of blinkers at Lingfield last time out when going down by just a nose. He seems just as effective on the turf and has a win over tonight’s trip and ground to his name at Leicester.
He should prove too strong for Azeezan who hinted at form at Kempton last time out and starts life in handicap company off a fair mark.
DAQMAN’S BETS
4.20 Brighton (win 10, nap)
BET 8.9pts win PANNING FOR GOLD
7.00 Ayr (win 10)
BET 2.5pts win HORTZADAR
9.00 Wetherby (win 10)
BET 5.1pts win NIBRAS RANBOW
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
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