STAKING TO COPE WITH THE DELUGE OF MEETINGS: Daqman’s staking plan today aims at one winner to break even. But tomorrow and Thursday call for extra bets as there are 13 meetings in England and Ireland before he concentrates on the opening of Newmarket on Friday. Today‘s headlines:
🔹 CATCH A TIGER FROM THE TAIL..
🔹 CLEVER PLACING TO OUTRUN THEM
🔹 SPENCER KEEPING HOPE ALIVE..
🔹 COUNT FOUR FROM FIVE ON SOFT
STUNNING RIDES FOR THE HORSES-TO-FOLLOW LIST: Daqman’s Arc wrap concludes with two stunning rides and the globetrotting of a French trainer. Now look out tomorrow for the revised Fortune Cookies list, with the big autumn prizes in mind, starting at the weekend with the Dewhurst and the Cesarewitch.
CATCH A TIGER FROM THE TAIL..
You Only Win Twice. When Tiger Tanaka, named after the James Bond villain, won the Marcel Boussac for Daqman’s selections at 8-1 on Sunday, my outsider for the race was the one that caught my eye.
Even without a place bet on Tasmania (2nd 14-1), or a dual forecast on my pairing (72.20), I felt I was looking at two winners in my one-two finish.
I followed Tasmania throughout the race; couldn’t take my eyes off the boggling ride by Maxime Guyon.
Restraining the two-year-old in the rear, he deliberately looked along the outside of the bunched field and, as if he had prescience of the subsequent bumping and barging, he elected to swerve sharply right and go round the back of them to the far-side rail.
Turning in, after the five-furlong pole, he got the filly galloping and, neither shaken nor stirred by Guyon’s urgings, she willingly bolted down that rail.
I read in the French Press that trainer Carlos Laffon-Parias wants her to go to America. I suggest that an alternative way of flying is in an aircraft!
Spanish-born Carlos is a master trainer of fillies at Chantilly and won the 2012 Arc de Triomphe with Solemia at 33-1.
A year ago he won the Opera with a three-year-old filly, Villa Marina, who went to Santa Anita but lost out to Joseph O’Brien’s Iridessa in the Breeders Cup Filly And Mare.
In 2018, it was the Moulins at Longchamp which Laffon-Parias won with the colt Recoletos, choosing to swerve the Arc meeting in favour of the Champions mile at Ascot (beaten a length and threequarters by Roaring Lion).
A Siyouni filly called Seachange, whose Sadlers Wells dam is sister to a Grade-1 winner in America, could be the Wertheimer ‘dark horse’ of the late-season campaigns.
British Champions meeting or the Breeders Cup, the stable which fronts the Wertheimer operation is sure to have a go at something big.
Two more ‘flying machines’ I’ll be adding to my Fortune Cookies are Raaeq, who landed me a handicap strike by five lengths at Ascot on Friday, and High Definition.
‘He’s a big-striding colt and his next race could be the Guineas,’ said Aidan O’Brien after High Definition came from last to first to win the Beresford.
CLEVER PLACING TO OUTRUN THEM
⭕ 2.00 Catterick Richard Fahey has won this nursery five times in eight years, and seems to have Outrun The Storm placed perfectly in the handicap. BETDAQ 4.0 taken.
The Ayr winner in class 2 will carry a pound less in this class 3 and, still unexposed, steps up a furlong, which should suit.
He’s getting more than a stone from hat-trick-seeker Paws For Thought, up in grade and 8lb worse off with his Chester runner-up, Blowing Wind.
Hugo Palmer thought enough of London Palladium to raid for a big Curragh auction prize but he’s brought him back down to earth, visored first time.
SPENCER KEEPING HOPE ALIVE..
⭕ 2.20 Leicester Rhythmic Intent is versatile, a winner three times from 1m 2f to 1m 5.5f, but up 11lb since scoring at York in July and with trainer Stuart Williams 0-18.
That includes defeat for his last two favourites and confidence has so dropped away that three of his recent runners have started at 50-1, 100-1 and 2001.
Though he’s tried different trips, Win O’Clock’s three wins have all come at 1m 2f (this is two furlongs further) and Roger Charlton is also badly out of form: 0-20 including 2-2 beaten favourites.
A gelding op is said to have put Brentford Hope on the straight and narrow. He’s always been well regarded as having ability if he wants to use it, and Jamie Spencer has stuck by him. Strongly fancied at 3.4 in the BETDAQ orange, as I write.
COUNT FOUR FROM FIVE ON SOFT
⭕ 2.50 Leicester I was on Count D’Orsay on the last day at Haydock, which usually rides soft, but it was good ground with very little cut in it.
Count D’Orsay’s form in the last 14 months on soft is 11211, in which time he’s risen through the grades and by 24lb in the ratings. BETDAQ 3.0.
Ainsdale’s hat-trick late last year, all on soft-heavy, cost Karl Burke’s colt a rise of 22lb, and his 3lb pull for defeat by Count D’Orsay at Haydock leaves him with more to find.
Blue De Vega is a firm-ground horse on all known form but Robert Cowell hires Ryan Moore, who landed a double yesterday at Pontefract.
Acclaim The Nation has also owed his success to a sound surface and presumably his new trainer (he’s moved from Eric Alston to Michael Attwater) is finding out about him today,
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.00 Catterick (win 15, nap)
BET 5pts win OUTRUN THE STORM
2.20 Leicester (win 10)
BET 4pts win BRENTFORD HOPE
2.50 Leicester (win 10)
BET 5pts win COUNT D’ORSAY
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Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
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