FOUR WINNING DAYS OUT OF FIVE: Buddy Love (WON 7-2) and the nap, Little Boy Boru (WON 11-8), made it 19 points profit on the day yesterday, the fourth winning day out of five, following Thursday (27 points up), Friday (38) and Saturday (19).
DOUBLE OF BANKERS AT DONCASTER: A new day dawns at Doncaster, thanks to BETDAQ sponsorship of seven races. And two horses of real quality and potential suggest a double of Daqman bankers.
HENDERSON TREBLE BIG ODDS ON BETDAQ
Six days of sunshine, only two with light showers. That’s the forecast for next week’s run-in to the Hennessy Gold Cup at Newbury on Saturday, November 29.
A fair-weather week would be an early Christmas present for trainer Nicky Henderson, whose potential protagonists, Triolo d’Alene and Hadrian’s Approach, are both goodish-ground performers.
Yet Triolo d’Alene, last year’s winner of the race, though 14-1 in a place with bookmakers, was 34.0 on BETDAQ this morning. And Hadrian’s Approach, as low as 12-1 in two places, according to Oddschecker, was around 27.0 in the orange.
Triolo d’Alene won like a good’un last year and, though worse off with the runner-up Rocky Creek, is the year-younger horse and has had a breathing operation in the close season.
On the other hand, he hasn’t had a run back, whereas the ultra-reliable ‘Rocky’ was second in the Champion Chase at Down Royal on the first day of November.
Henderson stablemate Hadrian’s Approach was unseated in the Hennessy last year, when a shorter SP (only 12-1) than the 20-1 winner.
‘Hadrian’ made up for that by winning the Graduation Chase on the same course but his big day came in April when he won the Sandown Gold Cup, in which he’d been only fifth the year before. So a horse strengthening up and still only seven.
Since 1999, seven-year-olds have won eight times, with four successful at age six. Henderson goes for a hat-trick this year, Bobs Worth having won the year before Triolo.
Others bigger than they should be in the BETDAQ market if the bookies are right, include Buywise (20.0 but 14-1 with Ladbrokes) and Black Thunder (34.0 but also 14-1 with Ladbrokes).
LULU IS RECKONED TO BE LISTED LEVEL
12.50 Doncaster (Betdaq Betting Exchange £30 Free Bet Handicap Chase) The Paul Nicholls protégé, Dan Skelton, has four runners on the BETDAQ card this afternoon, but has yet to break his Town Moor ‘maiden’ after eight from the stable have started there to date.
Guiding George, winner of a Kilbeggan maiden hurdle, has been no great shakes since in hurdles or chases, though promising at Wincanton on his first run for the Skelton stable.
The trainer has dispensed with the hood the horse wore in Ireland but Alan Brown is hoping that blinkers first time will transform Harris, pulled up three times out of four.
Carli King has won on his reappearance before, and Tom Scu takes the ride for the first time. He is easily the most consistent and Guiding George makes a price for us.
1.20 Doncaster (Betdaq 50% Commission Refund Juvenile Hurdle) Skelton thinks quite a bit of Boss Des Mottes, who jumps well at home.
He takes on his old governor, Nicholls, who saddles the big, strong Hurricane Run filly, Annalulu, getting the sex allowance here. She missed the hurdles bog at Leicester yesterday for the better ground at Donny.
A Deauville handicap winner on the Flat in July, she is well enough regarded to have a Listed hurdle as her target if all goes well on the debut, as I’m confident it will. The old trainer boss should beat the new horse Boss. Banker.
1.50 Doncaster (Betdaq ‘£200 Games Bonus’ Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase) Though Nicholls regards Vide Cave as needing time, he could still win this ordinary race on his chasing debut.
But the one with most experience over fences, yet nearly twice the price, is Saints And Sinners, who drops back from an open class-2 handicap to this novices-only class 4.
2.20 Doncaster (Betdaq 3% Commission Mares Maiden Hurdle) Rose Pageant’s form reads like she will chalk up legs-eleven Doncaster losers for Dan and jockey Harry, the Skelton and Skelton team which sounds like a firm of solicitors from Bleak House.
In fact, prospects look pretty bleak for the entire field in opposition to The Pirate’s Queen, who is 36lb clear of any other officially-rated rival on the strength of her short-head defeat in the EBF Finale at Newbury in March. This is a Graded hurdler in a maiden.
2.50 Doncaster (Betdaq No Premium Charge Handicap Chase) This is where Skelton and Skelton could hit target with another one here at Doncaster today with a huge run in its history, second in the Great Yorkshire on this course.
That race will again be the target for Baile Anrai, but it’s doubtful whether he’s going to be ready first time, though he did win a Point when fresh yonks ago (he’s 10 now).
Robbie is another getting long in the tooth and Lucky Landing is consistent without winning much these days. Di Kaprio has won when fresh before, but is high in the handicap.
Shadows Lengthen looked good on the last day and is capable of putting back-to-back wins together but is also on a high mark now, giving weight all round.
I’d be looking for something younger, with scope. Crazy Jack – he’s only six – won a 3m Point and stayed on up the Towcester hill without the whip for aid (the jockey dropped it) on his chasing debut under Rules.
Uriah Heep (back to Dickens!) and Wakanda are both only five. They have to step up from novice company and Uriah Heep has to prove he can get this 20 furlongs, while Wakanda made mistakes at Aintree.
A Westerner, Wakanda should improve but Shadows Lengthen looks classy and Crazy Jack well in. I’ll play the Jack; he could be an ace of the future, with the Kim Bailey stable sustaining its revival.
3.20 Doncaster (Cash Out On The Betdaq+ App Handicap Hurdle) After a hopalong feature planner in the Press hailed the battle of O’Neill, Henderson and Nicholls this season, Philip Hobbs calmly hoisted his flag to the top of the trainers’ table with yet another sensational weekend.
Cloud Creeper doesn’t figure among the main troops in the Minehead beach assault but the handicapper has given him a chance today, and only Alan King seems capable of taking a shot at him with Monksgold.
Monksgold gets a good word in the trainer’s Racing Post stable tour, as one who’s done well during the summer break and is ‘expected’ this season.
3.50 Doncaster (Betdaq 0% 12.45 pm Saturday EPL Match Mares’ Standard Open National Hunt Flat race) The last time I took part in a bumper was in my fresher days at Bullingdon. No, it’s all right David, George and Cleggie, put the year book away.
My Bullingdon was closer to Foggy, Compo and Clegg, a farm in Lincolnshire (for ‘fresher’ read ‘thresher’, adjacent a town which had a jailed MP who became a failed novelist. But that’s another Tory.
Out Of The Mist I spy a Flemensfirth mare, well related (to Mistanoora and Misternando), and breeding doesn’t lie in racing as often as in politics.
DAQMAN’S BETS (each horse backed to win 20 points, unless a fixed-stake banker)
BET 8.8pts win CARLI KING (12.50 Doncaster)
BANKER: BET 20pts win (nap) ANNALULU (1.20 Doncaster)
BET 4pts win SAINTS AND SINNERS (1.50 Doncaster)
BANKER: BET 20pts win THE PIRATE’S QUEEN (2.20 Doncaster)
BET 5pts win CRAZY JACK (2.50 Doncaster)
BET 9pts win MONKSGOLD (3.20 Doncaster)
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