8-1 AND 17-2 DAQMAN WINNERS: Yesterday and today is all about value. Daqman nailed top Monday prices across the cards at Leicester and Plumpton for a profit of 11 points on the day:
✅ WON 17-2 ROBINSHILL
✅ WON 8-1 JEN’S BOY
EXPLOIT BETDAQ BIG-RACE VALUE: Today he has Answer No 2 from his research yesterday, introducing a new bonus bet, calculated to exploit the value in big-race markets. The shorter the price in his calculations, and the bigger the offer taken, the more he wins without changing the stake.
MAKE VALUE WORK FOR YOU
Are you at odds with yourself as a punter? You complain about short prices, but at the same time complain about the long-odds bets you have because they rarely win?
The answer is to look at your bets as a sequence, not as one-offs, and keep a record of them, if you are to win money or, essentially, not lose.
Fortune Cookies Our new list of horses to follow which started yesterday is recorded at level stakes. The same with naps.
But on a daily basis in the week we show you how to manipulate the odds with a staking plan, so that a series of BETDAQ bets – in this case usually three on the day – will return enough from one winner to cover stakes on the three, hopefully with a profit on the day, like yesterday.
Check out Fortune Cookies and naps in the long term and stake according to their overall success, devising a staking plan that suits your wallet.
Bull’s-eye value bets Currently, value bets – particularly on big races and in the challenge to Pricewise – are described as ‘bull’s-eye bets’, staked to win 50 points at the BETDAQ offer taken.
But, in future, the value intrinsic in the BETDAQ offer may be staked as a bonus. Explanation:
Daqman picks bull’s-eye bets because, in his opinion, they are underrated or underbet. If such a horse is offered at 11.0, he will stake 5pts to win the 50.
But in future, if he thinks that the horse in question is really a 6.0 shot, he will back the horse at that price, even though the offer is 11.0, using the same stake.
So, as if to win 50 at the 6.0, he stakes 10 points. Keeping the same 10-point stake at 11.0 means he actually bets to win 100. That’s a built-in bonus of 50! These bets will be called ‘bull’s-eye bonus bets.’
Note: Staking plans are facilitated by ‘points’. A point is your minimum stake; it can be a pound, a euro, or more, bearing in mind the above systems require you to modify your stake as dictated by sequential betting or by the value in the offer.
SALLEY TO BLOOM
⭕ 1.15 Fakenham Small fields are the general order of the day across today’s meetings with no races at Fakenham or Lingfield managing to breach double figures.
A really interesting quartet go to post for this handicap hurdle which is certainly competitive given all four have won races in their last two starts.
Salley Gardens is taken to defy his 7lb penalty for an easy win at Huntingdon last time out and trainer Olly Murphy is clearly keen to get another run in given he also holds entries this week at Warwick on Wednesday and Ascot on Friday.
He won with plenty in hand at Huntingdon and remains progressive. The current form of the stable is an obvious bonus.
Presenting Yeats notched up a double at Warwick and Hereford before finishing third at Taunton last time out when the hike in weights may have caught up with him.
Say Nothing was unlucky at Hereford when coming down at the last but the handicapper hasn’t shown her much sympathy by hiking her up another 2lb and this looks tougher.
Railway Muice has won three out of four since joining Sarah Humphrey. She returns to hurdles after a defeat over fences last time out but her handicap mark over hurdles has shot up 6lb.
HOOKED ON HOUKA
⭕ 1.30 Lingfield The novices’ hurdle here looks an interesting contest despite the six runners. Houka D’Oudairies won twice in France before joining Gary Moore and made a pleasing UK debut when chasing home Trapista at Huntingdon. She was no match for that easy winner who looks well above average but put a decent 10 lengths between herself and the third home.
I prefer her chance to that of Pipesmoker who was heading the BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE earlier this morning. This one left Nicky Henderson’s yard to join Kim Bailey and will need to do better than he did on his first start for the yard when a beaten favourite at Ffos Las and beaten 21 lengths.
A bigger danger may come from Moveit Like Minnie who hails from the in-form yard of Nigel Twiston-Davies. He was unbeaten in two bumper starts and although they came in modest events defying penalties in bumpers is never easy so he is upgraded for his second win.
THE X FACTOR
⭕ 3.00 Fakenham Xcitations could be the value call here. The Pam Sly trained runner made a pleasing chasing debut at Huntingdon when finishing second to Millers Bank. He inherited that spot after the sad fall of Cadzand but even so it was an encouraging first start over the bigger obstacles.
There are question marks against his chief market rivals. Quoi De Neuf is racing for the first time since pulling up at Southwell in February and No Comment may be the bigger danger given he escapes a penalty for last week’s Huntingdon win in a conditional jockeys event.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 10 points)
BET 10.0pts win (nap) SALLEY GARDENS (1.15 Fakenham)
BET 3.8pts win HOUKA D’OUDAIRIES (1.30 Lingfield)
BET 3.0pts win XCITATIONS (3.00 Fakenham)
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
