FILLIES’ MILE AND DEWHURST THIS WEEK: The top two-year-old tests for next year’s Classics are featured at Newmarket this week, the Fillies Mile on Friday and the Dewhurst for the colts on Saturday. It’s an opportunity for Daqman to make a ratings assessment of the top two-year-olds so far:
TODAY: The top two-year-old fillies. How Fillies Mile ratings compare.
TOMORROW: Top two-year-old colts. How Dewhurst ratings compare.
THURSDAY: Cesarewitch form and stats preview.
THREE FOR TUESDAY: Daqman has three bets today including a nap at Huntingdon.
THE TOP TWO-YEAR-OLD FILLIES
⚠️ HEADS UP: Top two-year-old fillies by rating so far, ahead of the Fillies Mile due to be run at Newmarket on Friday, for which Commissioning is likely to start favourite.
Top winners’ ratings of the Fillies Mile in the decade: 110 Inspiral, 110 Minding, 107 Rhododendron.
Top-rated probables for Friday’s renewal: 112 Commissioning, 104 Sparkling Beauty, 100 Never Ending Story.
118 TAHIYRA form 11, Dermot Weld (half-sister to Tarnawa, by Siyouni out of a Cape Cross mare): beat Meditate, with Never Ending Story fourth, in the Moyglare at The Curragh last month.
114 LEZOO form 11211, Ralph Beckett; beat Meditate and Mawj in the Cheveley Park Stakes at Newmarket last month.
112 COMMISSIONING form 11, John and Thady Gosden (Kingman out of a sister to Irish Derby and St Leger winner Capri): hooded, comfortable winner of the Rockfel Stakes at Newmarket, 7f good.
112 MEDITATE form 111122, Aidan O’Brien; daughter of No Nay Never; won the Albany from Mawj, 6f, Royal Ascot, GF (See Tahiyra and Lezoo).
110 BLUE ROSE CEN form 011211, Christopher Head; Churchill filly, beaten a short neck at Deauville by Victoria Road, 1m good, in August; since then won back to back at Longchamp, beating Heavenly Breath in a Group 3 and winning the Marcel Boussac, clear; Never Ending Story third, 1m very soft.
109 MAWJ form 12143, Saeed Bin Suroor (half-sister to Modern Games), see Lezoo and Meditate.
106 POLLY POTT form 041111, Harry Dunlop (by Muhaarar): won the May Hill Stakes, 1m Doncaster, good to soft, pushed out to beat Novakai
104 SPARKLING BEAUTY form 212, Richard Hughes; divided Wed and Never Ending Story at Deauville, 7f, August.
103 NOVAKAI form 102, Karl Burke (Lope De Vega out of a Nathaniel mare); see Polly Pott.
100 NEVER ENDING STORY form 311343, Aidan O’Brien. See Tahiyra, Blue Rose Cen, Sparkling Beauty
100 STATUETTE form 11, Aidan O’Brien (closely related to Tenebrism).
TIME TO COLLECT
⭕ 2.15 Huntingdon In a week where the jumps season ramps up with Chepstow on Saturday there looks to be a nap on the Huntingdon card in the shape of Collectors Item.
Trained by Jonjo O’Neill, the five-year-old tackles hurdles for the first time having run two huge races and should prove too strong for his rivals here. After a winning Irish point debut at Kildorrey he ran well at Newbury on his UK debut when chasing home Weveallbeencaught in a Newbury bumper back in March.
Unusually, none of the placed horses from that race have been out again since but Newbury bumper form is usually solid and the winner that day looks a nice prospect having also won an Irish point.
Stable form is an important consideration at this stage of the season and the O’Neil yard have scored with two of their last five runners – both sent off favourite as Collectors Items is set to this afternoon on the Betdaq Betting Exchange.
Rock Legend has a penalty for winning a weak three runner race at Newcastle and he was disappointing when last seen out at Uttoxeter.
The danger looks to be Great Heart’Jac on his best form. His latest efforts have been disappointing but they were in much stronger races and these are calmer waters.
JUST FINE FOR A ROYAL FIRST
⭕ 3.10 Leicester Just Fine has the chance to become the first winner for The King in the Royal silks. A drop in the weights and the class ladder might be enough.
Regular pilot Ryan Moore is in the saddle again and the four-year-old is dropped to class three level for the first time in over a year. The last time he ran at class three he was a ready winner at Sandown off a mark just 2lb lower than today.
Despite a disappointing run at Newbury last time out, Sea The Casper remains progressive and looks a danger whilst Mr Professor could run well at bigger odds having come to form at this stage of the year 12 months ago when winning a Listed race at Pontefract.
A LITTLE BIRD TELLS ME
⭕ 8.00 Southwell The best race on the Southwell card tonight presents an opportunity for Tequilamockingbird to add to her Lingfield and Kempton wins this year.
She proved she goes well here too with a solid second last month behind Haunted Dream and can go close again, despite the pound rise in the weights.
Standing in the way are Sir Mark Prescott and Luke Morris who aren’t in bad form themselves! They team up with Omniscient who is quite hard to quantify. He hasn’t shown his best form on the all-weather so far and was disappointing at Goodwood last time out having previously won well at Yarmouth. He was said to have run too freely at Goodwood but there has been no headgear applied today.
DAQMAN’S BETS:
2.15 Huntingdon (win 10, nap)
BET 10.0pts win COLLECTORS ITEM
3.10 Leicester (win 10)
BET 4.0pts win JUST FINE
8.00 Southwell (win 10)
BET 2.3pts win TEQUILAMOCKINGBIRD
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