DAQMAN LANDS TWO OUT OF THREE: Daqman scored in two races out of three yesterday and made a profit of 11.80 from four bets. His nap was third but follows a 1-2 winning supernap on Sunday. The Monday pair were both big value on BETDAQ.
WON 7-2 MARIS ANGEL BETDAQ 6.0 taken
WON 6-4 INVESTMENT MANAGER BETDAQ 3.0
LEOPARDSTOWN WEEKEND DOUBLE: Today Daqman checks out the stats and ratings for two Group-1 Irish races at the Leopardstown weekend festival: Saturday’s Irish Champion Stakes and the Irish St Leger on Sunday.
CHAMPION TARGET: ECONOMICS
⭕ 3.20 Leopardstown, Saturday (Irish Champion Stakes): Aidan O’Brien is on five in a row – and a dozen Champion Stakes winners in total – as he fields last year’s winner, Auguste Rodin, and this year’s Irish Derby winner, Los Angeles, in a bid for the six-hit against hot favourite Economics.
123 AUGUSTE RODIN (Aidan O’Brien) Did the Derby double at Epsom and the Curragh last year but has flopped in the King George two years running, his only success in his last four starts, the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes at Royal Ascot.
121 ECONOMICS (William Haggas) Won the top Derby trial, the Dante Stakes, but had to miss most of the season, until a strong revival in a Group 2 at Deauville, 3-3 for the year.
118 GHOSTWRITER (Clive Cox) A ‘nearly horse’ at the very highest level: Newmarket Guineas and French Derby 4th, Eclipse and Juddmonte International third.
118 LOS ANGELES (Aidan O’Brien) Curragh Derby winner after Epsom Derby third, and won the Great Voltigeur, a grade lower, at York after a break.
O’BRIEN HAS LEGER TOP TWO
⭕ 4.45 Leopardstown, Sunday (Irish St Leger): Four-year-olds now regularly turn over the Classic generation, with four consecutive.
An English raider won last year for the first time since 2014, when Aidan O’Brien started a run of four out of eight (2015 to 2022) which also coincides with a sequence of higher ratings.
Winners since 2015 have included 120 rated, 119, 117 and 115, which you’d expect when older, more exposed horses win.
Nevertheless, O’Brien has left in top three-year-olds Jan Brueghel and Illinois, as well as the favourites Kyprios and Continuous, who won the Doncaster St Leger last year, as top rating. On Sunday, the current ratings have the pair one-two:
120 KYPRIOS (Aidan O’Brien) The 2022 winner of this race, second last year has scored four in a row this term, including a Cup-race double at Royal Ascot (2m 4f) and Goodwood (2m).
119 CONTINUOUS (Aidan O’Brien) Took the Great Voltigueur route to winning the St Leger at Doncaster, and was a close fifth in the Arc. Returned to form last month, dropped back to 1m 2f.
119 GIAVELLOTTO (Marco Botti) Beat last year’s winner of this Irish St Leger when they met in the Yorkshire Cup last Spring and it was in the same race one year on that he returned to winning form this year, defeating Vauban eased down.
Has had a long break after backing that up by beating Arrest at the July meeting, soon clear.
THE GLORY HUNTER
⭕ 4.00 Lingfield Havana Sky popped up for a first career success at Thirsk last time out but his form prior to that, including on the all-weather, was quite modest and I’m not sure I want to be playing at the top of the Betdaq Betting Exchange market off a revised handicap mark.
Nordic Glory is Mr Consistent at this level and whilst he has plenty of miles on the clock for a five-year-old, he just about sets the form standard. He’s a five time course winner who arrives in good form having followed up a success at Brighton with a silver medal at Brighton last time out.
Lion Ring also comes into the reckoning – despite a career CV of 1-34. The drop back in trip brought about an improved run at Chelmsford last time out and there can’t be many horses in training whose last four starts have come over 2m (hurdles at Worcester, 7f, 1m and 5f.
It’s hardly a conventional placement but it’s possible he remains on the right side of the handicapper over the minimum trip.
⭕ 5.35 Lingfield Kalamunda can make it 4-4 on the all-weather. He just seems a totally different horse on the artificial surface and I am willing to take the short odds.
He looked to have plenty in hand when scoring at Southwell last week and overcame trouble in running in a style to suggest the statutory 5lb rise won’t rain on his parade.
LATTAASH TO BE LASHING HOME
⭕ 7.00 Newcastle There’s a fair chance the prize for this one mile novice event will stay in the north as both Barefoot Warrior and Lattaash look credible alternatives to the Gosden trained Stanage who is proving slightly frustrating and expensive to follow.
Stanage ran his best race to date at Windsor last time out when a neck second to New Chelsea – the pair finished well clear. My rating of that form has dropped like a stone given New Chelsea’s two subsequent starts – last of seven at Goodwood and 6th of eight at Kempton last time out.
Add to the mix that Stanage is having his first start on the all-weather and I prefer to look elsewhere.
Barefoot Warrior was heading the morning Betdaq market on the back of two good runs at Thirsk – a third and a win last time out for which he now carries a penalty. The extra weight is always tough to overcome in these novice events and again he is trying the surface for the first time.
I’ll take a chance with the best priced of the trio Lattaash to follow up his debut success at Southwell. Same comments apply regarding the penalty but at least he has won on the surface and should come on bundles on his second start.
DAQMAN’S BETS
4.00 Lingfield (win 10)
BET 5.0pts win NORDIC GLORY
5.35 Lingfield (win 10, nap)
BET 13.3pts win KALAMUNDA
7.00 Newcastle (win 20)
BET 3.2pts win LATTAASH
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